Eliteserien · Matchday
2026-05-29 17:00:00 · 01:00 · Color Line Stadion
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 2-2
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 3.73 | 3.31 | -3.9% | -6.8% | -4.0% |
| 1xbet | 2.08 | 3.80 | 3.30 | -4.3% | -5.0% | -4.3% |
| WilliamHill | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 | -5.7% | -12.5% | -10.1% |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.10 | -3.4% | -5.0% | -10.1% |
| bwin | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.20 | -5.7% | -7.5% | -7.2% |
| Unibet | 2.06 | 3.50 | 3.20 | -5.2% | -12.5% | -7.2% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.00 | -8.0% | -12.5% | -13.0% |
| Sbo | 2.11 | 3.23 | 2.88 | -2.9% | -19.3% | -16.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.72 | 3.22 | -6.6% | -7.0% | -6.6% |
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.10 | -3.4% | -7.5% | -10.1% |
| CloudBet | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.25 | -5.7% | -8.8% | -5.8% |
| Coral | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.00 | -8.0% | -12.5% | -13.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.13 | -8.0% | -10.0% | -9.2% |
| 888Sport | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 | -5.7% | -12.5% | -10.1% |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.70 | 3.30 | -3.9% | -7.5% | -4.3% |
| MansionBet | 2.11 | 3.55 | 3.10 | -2.9% | -11.3% | -10.1% |
| MelBet | 2.07 | 3.78 | 3.26 | -4.8% | -5.5% | -5.5% |
| Macauslot | 2.00 | 3.70 | 2.84 | -8.0% | -7.5% | -17.6% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Aalesund 2–2 HamKam | Eliteserien | 29 May 2026
Result Summary
A dramatic and entertaining Eliteserien encounter at Aalesund ended in a 2–2 draw, with both sides sharing the spoils after a pulsating 90 minutes. HamKam twice led the game, only for Aalesund to show resilience and ultimately rescue a point in a match that swung decisively in the second half's opening exchanges.
Match Analysis
The game's early tempo was set by an unfortunate event: Vidar Ari Jonsson put the ball into his own net on 24 minutes, handing HamKam an accidental opener in circumstances that were far from ideal for Thomas Myhre's side. Despite the own goal, HamKam appeared composed and continued to dictate large portions of the first half — a trend confirmed by their 57% ball possession and 104 total attacks compared to Aalesund's 88.
Just before the break, HamKam added a legitimate second. Markus Johnsgård converted on 44 minutes, assisted by Patrick Metcalfe, giving the visitors a 2–0 cushion heading into the interval. A yellow card for Aalesund's Elias Kristoffer Hagen at 42 minutes for argument added to the home side's frustrations. The half-time substitution of Kristoffer Nesso for J. Ørsahl signalled Kjetil André Rekdal was looking to inject fresh impetus.
The opening minutes of the second half proved pivotal. Martin Gjone headed home on 54 minutes, again assisted by Metcalfe, extending HamKam's advantage to three goals — a remarkable situation given the match's scoreline ultimately finished level. However, Aalesund struck back almost immediately: Marcus Haagensen Reed pulled one back on 57 minutes with a right-footed finish, assisted by Endre Hjertager Osenbroch, and suddenly the game was alive again.
From that point, Aalesund pushed relentlessly. Their 7 shots on target and 17 total shots demonstrated clear attacking intent, with 8 corners to HamKam's 4 underlining where the home pressure was being generated. A VAR decision involving HamKam's Mame Alassane Niang at 72 minutes momentarily disrupted the flow, while Mathias Christensen received a yellow card at 73 minutes for a foul — he would be withdrawn shortly after. Rekdal made bold moves with his substitution bench, bringing on Simen Vatne Haram, Henrik Molvær Melland, Ivan Cabrel Djantou Tchaboutang, and Håkon Butli Hammer in search of the equaliser. It eventually came, completing a remarkable comeback from 3–0 down to level at 2–2.
Both teams maintained an 83% successful pass percentage, reflecting a technically disciplined contest, while dangerous attacks were level at 58 apiece, confirming how closely matched the sides were across the full 90 minutes.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast projected a 1–1 draw, with a 25% probability assigned to the draw outcome. While the exact scoreline differed, the prediction of a draw proved correct, earning a positive outcome overall. The confidence rating of 60/100 was appropriate — the underlying statistics showed a competitive contest, and the shared points reflected the genuine balance between these two sides.
Key Takeaways
- Patrick Metcalfe was the standout creative force for HamKam, assisting both legitimate away goals.
- Aalesund's second-half character was impressive — mounting a comeback from 3–0 down is no small achievement at any level.
- HamKam's possession dominance (57%) did not translate into a win, highlighting the risk of conceding momentum after a fast start.
- Both coaches will likely reflect on the points dropped rather than gained — a draw that satisfied neither side fully.
Aalesund vs HamKam Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Aalesund and HamKam: Aalesund 1W · 4D · HamKam 4W.
1
Aalesund wins
4
Draws
4
HamKam wins
Aalesund vs HamKam — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aalesund vs HamKam?
PredictNext's AI model favours Aalesund with a 46% win probability — Aalesund 46%, draw 25%, HamKam 29%.
What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs HamKam?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Aalesund vs HamKam, generated with 60% model confidence.
Will Aalesund vs HamKam have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Aalesund vs HamKam.
How accurate was the Aalesund vs HamKam prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 2-2. The winner call was incorrect.