Transparency First
Accuracy
Report
We track every prediction. Full transparency, verified results.
58.3%
Top-League AI
295/506 winners
67.2%
When Confident
256/381 at 60+ conf
53.6%
Pinnacle
1044 matches
506
Matches Tracked
top leagues only
Accuracy by Confidence
Accuracy by League
Accuracy by Prediction Type
Top leagues only · 506 matches. Per-league and calibration breakdowns below cover all leagues.
| Type | Accuracy | Predictions |
|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 58.3% | 506 |
| Exact Score | 12.6% | 506 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 506 |
| BTTS | 58.9% | 506 |
Probability Calibration — AI vs Pinnacle
How well do predicted probabilities match actual outcomes? Comparing our AI model against Pinnacle's de-margined odds.
| Predicted Range | AI Samples | AI Actual % | PIN Samples | PIN Actual % | Expected % | AI Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-10% | 93 | 3.2% | 115 | 3.5% | ~5% | Good |
| 10-20% | 429 | 14.0% | 462 | 16.7% | ~15% | Good |
| 20-30% | 1334 | 24.7% | 1174 | 24.5% | ~25% | Good |
| 30-40% | 563 | 33.2% | 494 | 34.8% | ~35% | Good |
| 40-50% | 407 | 45.2% | 343 | 43.1% | ~45% | Good |
| 50-60% | 291 | 54.6% | 256 | 55.9% | ~55% | Good |
| 60-70% | 161 | 66.5% | 154 | 66.2% | ~65% | Good |
| 70-80% | 93 | 82.8% | 95 | 79.0% | ~75% | Under-confident |
| 80-90% | 29 | 89.7% | 37 | 89.2% | ~85% | Good |
| 90-100% | 2 | 100.0% | 2 | 100.0% | ~95% | Too few |
Recent Prediction Results
| Date | Match | Predicted | Actual | AI | PIN | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 22:15:00 | River Plate vs Barracas Central | 2-0 | 0-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 66 |
| 2026-07-25 00:00:00 | Santos vs Chapecoense | 2-1 | 2-2 | ✗ | ✗ | 64 |
| 2026-07-25 00:00:00 | Athletico PR vs Internacional | 1-0 | 2-0 | ✓ | — | 58 |
| 2026-07-25 20:00:00 | Newell's Old Boys vs Talleres Córdoba | 0-1 | 1-0 | ✗ | ✗ | 51 |
| 2026-07-25 18:30:00 | Luzern vs Thun | 2-1 | 1-3 | ✗ | ✗ | 57 |
| 2026-07-25 17:45:00 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Tigre | 0-1 | 1-0 | ✗ | ✗ | 59 |
| 2026-07-25 17:45:00 | Spartak Moskva vs Rodina Moskva | 2-0 | 3-0 | ✓ | ✓ | 51 |
| 2026-07-25 16:00:00 | Lausanne Sport vs Grasshopper | 2-1 | 1-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 53 |
| 2026-07-25 16:00:00 | AGF vs Brøndby IF | 1-1 | 1-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 51 |
| 2026-07-25 16:00:00 | Servette vs Basel | 1-1 | 0-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 51 |
| 2026-07-25 15:30:00 | Fakel vs Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-0 | 1-2 | ✗ | ✗ | 56 |
| 2026-07-25 15:30:00 | Kalmar vs Mjällby | 1-1 | 2-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 59 |
| 2026-07-25 14:00:00 | Kristiansund vs Start | 1-0 | 1-2 | ✗ | ✗ | 54 |
| 2026-07-25 13:15:00 | Akron vs Zenit | 0-2 | 0-5 | ✓ | ✓ | 60 |
| 2026-07-25 13:00:00 | Degerfors vs Djurgården | 0-1 | 0-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 63 |
| 2026-07-25 13:00:00 | Laos vs Thailand | 0-2 | 0-5 | ✓ | — | 44 |
| 2026-07-25 11:00:00 | Dinamo Moskva vs Krylya Sovetov | 2-0 | 0-0 | ✗ | ✗ | 64 |
| 2026-07-25 10:00:00 | Myanmar vs Malaysia | 0-1 | 1-2 | ✓ | — | 33 |
| 2026-07-25 03:00:00 | Atlante vs América | 0-2 | 1-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 52 |
| 2026-07-25 03:00:00 | Tijuana vs León | 1-0 | 1-0 | ✓ | ✓ | 56 |
Methodology
PredictNext uses a proprietary multi-factor AI prediction engine that combines historical head-to-head data, team form analysis, league-specific patterns, and market consensus data to generate match forecasts.
Each prediction is assigned a Confidence Score (0-100) based on five factors: prediction clarity, AI-market agreement, H2H consistency, form momentum, and data completeness.
After each match, we automatically verify our predictions against actual results and update our accuracy statistics in real-time.