Transparency First
Accuracy
Report
We track every prediction. Full transparency, verified results.
54.6%
Top-League AI
856/1567 winners
66.6%
When Confident
906/1360 at 60+ conf
52.9%
Pinnacle
3861 matches
1567
Matches Tracked
top leagues only
Accuracy by Confidence
Accuracy by League
Accuracy by Prediction Type
Top leagues only · 1567 matches. Per-league and calibration breakdowns below cover all leagues.
| Type | Accuracy | Predictions |
|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 54.6% | 1567 |
| Exact Score | 12.0% | 1567 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1567 |
| BTTS | 56.5% | 1567 |
Probability Calibration — AI vs Pinnacle
How well do predicted probabilities match actual outcomes? Comparing our AI model against Pinnacle's de-margined odds.
| Predicted Range | AI Samples | AI Actual % | PIN Samples | PIN Actual % | Expected % | AI Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-10% | 278 | 3.6% | 315 | 3.5% | ~5% | Good |
| 10-20% | 1668 | 13.2% | 1673 | 15.2% | ~15% | Good |
| 20-30% | 6746 | 24.9% | 4430 | 25.4% | ~25% | Good |
| 30-40% | 2805 | 33.4% | 1895 | 34.1% | ~35% | Good |
| 40-50% | 2103 | 44.7% | 1339 | 45.0% | ~45% | Good |
| 50-60% | 1415 | 52.6% | 958 | 52.4% | ~55% | Good |
| 60-70% | 746 | 68.9% | 556 | 67.6% | ~65% | Good |
| 70-80% | 332 | 82.5% | 314 | 81.8% | ~75% | Under-confident |
| 80-90% | 85 | 81.2% | 97 | 84.5% | ~85% | Good |
| 90-100% | 4 | 100.0% | 6 | 100.0% | ~95% | Too few |
Recent Prediction Results
| Date | Match | Predicted | Actual | AI | PIN | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 15:30:00 | Estoril vs Moreirense | 1-1 | 1-3 | ✗ | ✗ | 55 |
| 2026-10-25 15:00:00 | Bendel Insurance vs Rivers United | 1-0 | 2-1 | ✓ | — | 58 |
| 2026-10-25 15:15:00 | Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis | 1-1 | 0-0 | ✗ | ✗ | 53 |
| 2026-10-25 15:30:00 | Mjällby vs Hammarby | 0-2 | 0-2 | ✓ | ✓ | 64 |
| 2026-10-25 15:30:00 | Sion vs Lausanne Sport | 2-0 | 1-0 | ✓ | ✓ | 59 |
| 2026-10-25 15:30:00 | Basel vs Grasshopper | 1-1 | 0-0 | ✗ | ✗ | 53 |
| 2026-10-25 00:00:00 | Brujas de Salamanca vs Santiago City | 1-0 | 2-2 | ✗ | ✗ | 56 |
| 2026-10-25 15:00:00 | Warri Wolves vs Kano Pillars | 1-0 | 0-0 | ✗ | — | 58 |
| 2026-10-25 15:00:00 | Nasarawa United vs Enyimba | 1-0 | 1-0 | ✓ | — | 64 |
| 2026-10-25 15:00:00 | Kun Khalifat vs Inter Lagos | 1-0 | 0-0 | ✗ | — | 58 |
| 2026-10-25 15:00:00 | Barau vs Kwara United | 1-0 | 1-1 | ✗ | — | 64 |
| 2026-10-25 15:00:00 | Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars | 1-0 | 2-2 | ✗ | — | 61 |
| 2026-10-25 15:00:00 | Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes | 1-0 | 0-1 | ✗ | — | 61 |
| 2026-10-25 15:00:00 | Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden | 2-0 | 3-2 | ✓ | ✓ | 64 |
| 2026-10-25 15:00:00 | Colombe vs Teungueth | 1-0 | 1-0 | ✓ | ✓ | 52 |
| 2026-10-25 14:30:00 | TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1-2 | 3-0 | ✗ | ✗ | 55 |
| 2026-10-25 15:00:00 | Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold | 2-1 | 5-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 57 |
| 2026-10-25 14:00:00 | Motherwell vs Hearts | 1-2 | 0-2 | ✓ | ✓ | 57 |
| 2026-10-25 14:00:00 | Palermo vs Carrarese | 2-0 | 2-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 61 |
| 2026-10-25 14:00:00 | Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1-2 | 2-0 | ✗ | ✓ | 46 |
Methodology
PredictNext uses a proprietary multi-factor AI prediction engine that combines historical head-to-head data, team form analysis, league-specific patterns, and market consensus data to generate match forecasts.
Each prediction is assigned a Confidence Score (0-100) based on five factors: prediction clarity, AI-market agreement, H2H consistency, form momentum, and data completeness.
After each match, we automatically verify our predictions against actual results and update our accuracy statistics in real-time.