Transparency First
Accuracy
Report
We track every prediction. Full transparency, verified results.
56.2%
Top-League AI
547/974 winners
65.7%
When Confident
573/872 at 60+ conf
52.2%
Pinnacle
2507 matches
974
Matches Tracked
top leagues only
Accuracy by Confidence
Accuracy by League
Accuracy by Prediction Type
Top leagues only · 974 matches. Per-league and calibration breakdowns below cover all leagues.
| Type | Accuracy | Predictions |
|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 56.2% | 974 |
| Exact Score | 12.8% | 974 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 974 |
| BTTS | 58.0% | 974 |
Probability Calibration — AI vs Pinnacle
How well do predicted probabilities match actual outcomes? Comparing our AI model against Pinnacle's de-margined odds.
| Predicted Range | AI Samples | AI Actual % | PIN Samples | PIN Actual % | Expected % | AI Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-10% | 178 | 2.8% | 213 | 2.8% | ~5% | Good |
| 10-20% | 1065 | 14.8% | 1118 | 15.9% | ~15% | Good |
| 20-30% | 4184 | 25.0% | 2855 | 25.8% | ~25% | Good |
| 30-40% | 1726 | 33.1% | 1207 | 33.1% | ~35% | Good |
| 40-50% | 1262 | 44.1% | 845 | 44.3% | ~45% | Good |
| 50-60% | 929 | 52.1% | 628 | 53.2% | ~55% | Good |
| 60-70% | 457 | 68.7% | 373 | 66.0% | ~65% | Good |
| 70-80% | 210 | 81.9% | 208 | 81.7% | ~75% | Under-confident |
| 80-90% | 58 | 82.8% | 70 | 82.9% | ~85% | Good |
| 90-100% | 2 | 100.0% | 4 | 100.0% | ~95% | Too few |
Recent Prediction Results
| Date | Match | Predicted | Actual | AI | PIN | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 22:00:00 | Palmeiras vs LDU Quito | 2-0 | 1-0 | ✓ | ✓ | 64 |
| 2026-09-09 22:00:00 | Santos vs Atlético Mineiro | 1-0 | 2-0 | ✓ | ✓ | 55 |
| 2026-09-09 19:45:00 | Moreirense vs Benfica | 0-3 | 0-4 | ✓ | ✓ | 72 |
| 2026-09-09 19:00:00 | Chelsea vs Leeds United | 2-1 | 6-3 | ✓ | ✓ | 58 |
| 2026-09-09 18:45:00 | Exmouth vs Banbury United | 1-0 | 2-1 | ✓ | ✗ | 57 |
| 2026-09-09 18:45:00 | AFC Whyteleafe vs Crowborough Athletic | 2-1 | 2-3 | ✗ | ✗ | 61 |
| 2026-09-09 19:00:00 | Liverpool vs Atlético de Madrid | 2-1 | 2-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 60 |
| 2026-09-09 19:00:00 | Napoli vs Arsenal | 1-2 | 0-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 54 |
| 2026-09-09 19:00:00 | Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava | 3-0 | 6-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 62 |
| 2026-09-09 19:00:00 | Sporting CP vs Galatasaray | 2-1 | 3-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 50 |
| 2026-09-09 18:45:00 | Norwich City vs Birmingham City | 1-1 | 2-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 59 |
| 2026-09-09 18:45:00 | Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion | 1-1 | 0-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 56 |
| 2026-09-09 19:00:00 | Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers | 1-2 | 0-0 | ✗ | ✗ | 56 |
| 2026-08-22 14:00:00 | St. Johnstone vs Celtic | 0-2 | 0-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 65 |
| 2026-08-22 14:00:00 | Rangers vs St. Mirren | 2-1 | 1-0 | ✓ | ✓ | 62 |
| 2026-09-09 18:00:00 | Al Fateh vs Al Diraiyah FC | 0-1 | 1-2 | ✓ | ✓ | 52 |
| 2026-09-09 18:00:00 | Al Nassr vs Abha | 2-0 | 2-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 67 |
| 2026-09-09 16:45:00 | FC Twente vs Telstar | 2-1 | 1-0 | ✓ | — | 65 |
| 2026-09-09 16:45:00 | FC Barcelona vs Feyenoord | 3-0 | 5-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 64 |
| 2026-09-09 16:45:00 | VfB Stuttgart vs Viking | 2-0 | 3-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 59 |
Methodology
PredictNext uses a proprietary multi-factor AI prediction engine that combines historical head-to-head data, team form analysis, league-specific patterns, and market consensus data to generate match forecasts.
Each prediction is assigned a Confidence Score (0-100) based on five factors: prediction clarity, AI-market agreement, H2H consistency, form momentum, and data completeness.
After each match, we automatically verify our predictions against actual results and update our accuracy statistics in real-time.