
Pro League · Matchday
2026-10-20 18:00:00 · 02:00 · Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam))

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 1-4
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 2.87 | 3.60 | 2.05 | +9.1% | -13.6% | -22.1% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 3.02 | 3.96 | 2.06 | +14.8% | -5.0% | -21.7% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 3.02 | 3.87 | 2.08 | +14.8% | -7.1% | -21.0% |
| WilliamHillVALUE | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.00 | +10.2% | -16.0% | -24.0% |
| BetfairVALUE | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.00 | +21.6% | -4.0% | -24.0% |
| bwinVALUE | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.05 | +14.0% | -6.4% | -22.1% |
| LadbrokesVALUE | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.05 | +17.8% | -6.4% | -22.1% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 2.89 | 3.70 | 1.99 | +9.8% | -11.2% | -24.4% |
| DafabetVALUE | 3.15 | 4.00 | 2.05 | +19.7% | -4.0% | -22.1% |
| SboVALUE | 2.87 | 3.52 | 1.96 | +9.1% | -15.5% | -25.5% |
| CoralVALUE | 3.10 | 4.00 | 2.10 | +17.8% | -4.0% | -20.2% |
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Match Report
Al Ettifaq 1–4 Al Ittihad | Pro League | 20 October 2026
Result Summary
Al Ittihad delivered a commanding performance at Al Ettifaq's ground, running out convincing 4–1 winners in this Pro League clash. Jens Wissing's side were dominant across virtually every statistical category, and the scoreline ultimately reflected their superiority over an Al Ettifaq outfit that briefly threatened an upset before being overwhelmed.
Match Analysis
Al Ittihad drew first blood in the 16th minute when George Ilenikhena converted with a left-foot finish, benefiting from a well-timed assist by Richard Ríos. The early goal set the tone for a visitor-controlled contest, and the statistics underline just how thoroughly Al Ittihad imposed themselves — 57% possession, 92 attacks to Al Ettifaq's 65, and a commanding 19 total shots compared to the home side's nine.
Al Ettifaq showed genuine resilience by drawing level in the 34th minute. Sultan Ali Harun found the net with a right-foot shot, assisted by Radhi Al-Otaibi, briefly injecting belief into a home crowd that had been pinned back for much of the opening half. However, tensions boiled over in stoppage time, with Ilenikhena and Al Ettifaq's Abdullah Ahmed Khateeb both picking up yellow cards for an argument, followed moments later by a booking for Abdoulaye Raslan Kanté for a foul.
The second half proved decisive. Houssem Aouar restored Al Ittihad's lead just eight minutes after the restart, finishing from a Ilenikhena assist in the 53rd minute. Al Ettifaq attempted to respond through substitutions — Moussa Dembélé and Bersant Celina were introduced — but they could never gain the foothold they needed against a side that generated 16 key passes to the home team's eight and completed passes at a 91% success rate.
The game was effectively sealed in the final ten minutes by substitute Youssef En-Nesyri, who entered in the 73rd minute and made an immediate impact. He struck in the 80th minute with a left-foot finish after Muhannad Al-Shanqeeti provided the assist, then added a header in the 85th minute from an Ahmed Al-Ghamdi cross. The brace was a ruthless statement of quality from a fresh pair of legs and encapsulated Al Ittihad's depth and clinical edge on the night.
Al Ettifaq's 4 shots on target versus Al Ittihad's 8 tells a stark story — the home side lacked both the volume and the precision to sustain a challenge after Harun's equaliser.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast projected a 2–1 scoreline, with home and away probabilities evenly split at 38% each and a 24% chance of a draw. The prediction ultimately landed on Al Ettifaq, and with a low confidence rating of 51/100, this was clearly identified as a difficult contest to call. Al Ittihad's margin of victory — a 4–1 win — far exceeded what the model anticipated, with En-Nesyri's late double in particular pushing the scoreline beyond what the analysis foresaw. The forecast correctly sensed competitiveness early on, as Al Ettifaq's equaliser demonstrated, but underestimated Al Ittihad's ability to dominate possession and convert their attacking volume into goals.
Key Takeaways
- Al Ittihad's depth was decisive — En-Nesyri came off the bench to score twice in five minutes, proving Wissing's substitution options can change matches.
- Al Ettifaq showed early fight but lacked the sustained quality to compete against a side with superior ball retention and creative output.
- Ilenikhena's influence was felt across both ends of the scoreline — a goal, an assist, and a late booking that illustrated his combative style.
- Al Ettifaq's coach Arthur Thomas Papastamatis will need to address
Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Al Ettifaq and Al Ittihad: Al Ettifaq 8W · 10D · Al Ittihad 20W.
8
Al Ettifaq wins
10
Draws
20
Al Ittihad wins
Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad?
PredictNext's AI model favours Al Ettifaq with a 38% win probability — Al Ettifaq 38%, draw 24%, Al Ittihad 38%.
What is the predicted score for Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad, generated with 51% model confidence.
Will Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad.
How accurate was the Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 1-4. The winner call was correct.