Al Faisaly
Al Faisaly
1 vs 3

Pro League · Matchday

2026-10-23 13:30:00 · 21:30 · Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah)

Al Nassr
Al Nassr

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 1-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Al Faisaly
ALF
0 - 2
Al Nassr
ANA
63%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
10.0%Home
13.5%Draw
76.5%Away
10.6%Home
13.3%Draw
76.2%Away
**Al Nassr** enter this Pro League clash as heavy favorites, with A. Salem A Al-Safari ruled out for **Al Faisaly**, further weakening a home side that has won just twice in their last five H2H meetings. The key matchup lies in Al Nassr's attacking quality exploiting a depleted Al Faisaly defensive unit. AI pick: Al Nassr Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or ANA
90% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
62% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreCristiano RonaldoAlso: Joao Felix, Saad Haqawi

Goal Probability

ALF ANA
61%
0%
0
39%
11%
1
0%
56%
2
0%
33%
3+

Odds Comparison

10%
10%
-0.3%
14%
16%
-2.0%
76%
74%
+2.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3659.505.251.22-5.0%-29.1%-6.7%
PinnacleVALUE10.027.451.20+0.2%+0.6%-8.2%
1xbetVALUE10.806.971.19+8.0%-5.9%-9.0%
WilliamHill9.005.801.22-10.0%-21.7%-6.7%
bwin8.506.251.28-15.0%-15.6%-2.1%
Unibet10.006.001.210.0%-19.0%-7.4%
Ladbrokes8.506.001.28-15.0%-19.0%-2.1%
Interwetten9.006.001.27-10.0%-19.0%-2.8%
Coral8.506.501.28-15.0%-12.2%-2.1%
MansionBet8.606.101.24-14.0%-17.6%-5.1%
Macauslot9.906.101.16-1.0%-17.6%-11.3%
MelBetVALUE11.907.291.17+19.0%-1.6%-10.5%
Sbo7.405.401.24-26.0%-27.1%-5.1%
MarathonbetVALUE10.256.251.16+2.5%-15.6%-11.3%
Dafabet9.806.401.26-2.0%-13.6%-3.6%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Al Faisaly 1–3 Al Nassr | Pro League | 23 October 2026

Result Summary

Al Nassr claimed a convincing 3–1 away victory over Al Faisaly in the Saudi Pro League, with goals from Abdullah Al Hamdan, Cristiano Ronaldo, and late substitute Ângelo Gabriel sealing three points for Angelos Postecoglou's side. Théo Bongonda's header provided a brief moment of hope for Giovanni Solinas's team, but it ultimately proved little more than a consolation on a difficult afternoon for Al Faisaly.


Match Analysis

Al Nassr wasted no time imposing themselves, with Abdullah Al Hamdan breaking the deadlock in just the 4th minute, converting a right-foot effort from a Sadio Mané assist. That early goal set the tone and immediately forced Al Faisaly into a reactive posture for much of the opening half.

Despite being reduced to a more defensive role, Al Faisaly were not without their moments. The home side matched Al Nassr in overall ball possession at 50–50 and even edged their opponents in total shots (12 vs 10) and key passes (9 vs 8), suggesting Giovanni Solinas's team attempted to play through the pressure rather than simply absorb it. However, the gulf in quality was revealed in the most critical metric: shots on target, where Al Nassr held a commanding 5–2 advantage.

The second half opened with Al Nassr immediately extending their lead. Cristiano Ronaldo headed home from a João Félix assist in the 49th minute, making it 2–0. A notable VAR check involving Ronaldo followed at the 53rd minute, though the goal stood. Al Nassr's dangerous attacks (38 vs 29) and overall attacking intent throughout underlined their superiority in the final third.

Al Faisaly responded with a triple substitution at the hour mark, introducing Théo Bongonda, Jaime Seoane, and Abdullah Al-Sabeat. The changes sparked an immediate impact — Bongonda headed home from a Mohammed Al-Shanqiti cross in the 66th minute to make it 2–1, briefly reigniting the contest. However, Al Nassr moved quickly to extinguish any comeback hopes. Substitute Ângelo Gabriel, introduced in the 67th minute, struck with a composed left-foot finish in the 79th minute, restoring the two-goal cushion and effectively closing out the match.

Al Nassr's discipline was mildly tested — Awad Aman (14') and Samuel Almeida Costa (24') both picked up yellow cards in the first half — but those bookings had no major bearing on the result. Al Faisaly committed 13 fouls to Al Nassr's 19, reflecting Al Nassr's aggressive pressing reflected in their 88 attacks versus Al Faisaly's 79.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 0–2 Al Nassr victory, with Al Nassr given a 76.5% probability of winning at a confidence level of 63/100. The direction of the prediction was correct — Al Nassr did win comfortably — though the actual scoreline of 1–3 saw Al Faisaly contribute more to the game than the shutout we anticipated. Bongonda's introduction and subsequent goal demonstrated that Al Faisaly retained attacking threat even when under pressure, something not fully captured in our model's projections.


Key Takeaways

  • Al Nassr's clinical efficiency was the defining factor — five shots on target converted into three goals.
  • Early pressure paid dividends: the 4th-minute opener from Al Hamdan shaped the entire match dynamic.
  • Bongonda's impact off the bench was the standout moment for Al Faisaly, but it came too late to alter the outcome.
  • Al Nassr's attacking depth was evident as Ângelo Gabriel sealed the win shortly after coming on as a substitute.
  • Al Faisaly's passing accuracy (83%) was respectable, but an inability to convert chances proved their undoing.

Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Al Faisaly and Al Nassr: Al Faisaly 2W · 11D · Al Nassr 13W.

2

11

13

Sat, Jan 15, 2022Al Nassr4-0Al Faisaly
Thu, Aug 19, 2021Al Faisaly2-1Al Nassr
Wed, May 5, 2021Al Nassr4-3Al Faisaly
Thu, Dec 31, 2020Al Faisaly2-3Al Nassr
Sat, Mar 7, 2020Al Faisaly3-2Al Nassr

Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr?

PredictNext's AI model favours Al Nassr with a 76% win probability — Al Faisaly 10%, draw 14%, Al Nassr 76%.

What is the predicted score for Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr, generated with 63% model confidence.

Will Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr.

How accurate was the Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 1-3. The winner call was correct.

More Pro League AI Predictions