
Pro League · Matchday
2026-08-22 15:45:00 · 23:45 · Al Fateh Club Stadium

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 0-1
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Match Report
Al Fateh 0–1 Al Ettifaq | Pro League | 22 August 2026
Result Summary
Al Ettifaq claimed all three points in a tightly contested Saudi Pro League encounter, edging Al Fateh 1–0 thanks to a late Jack Hendry header in the 78th minute. The victory, sealed deep into the second half, rewards a dominant Al Ettifaq performance across most key statistical categories and moves them further clear of their hosts in the league standings.
Match Analysis
For the majority of the contest, Al Ettifaq were the more purposeful side. Their statistical superiority was considerable: 55% possession against Al Fateh's 45%, 91 total attacks compared to just 62, and a striking disparity in dangerous attacks — 69 to 29 in Al Ettifaq's favour. The corner count told a similar story, with Al Ettifaq winning 11 set-piece opportunities to Al Fateh's six.
Yet, for all their dominance, the final scoreline remained in doubt until the 78th minute. Al Fateh's backline, marshalled with discipline, limited Al Ettifaq to just three shots on target — fewer than their own four — even as the visitors piled on the pressure. It was a reminder that raw attacking statistics don't always translate immediately into goals.
The decisive moment came when Álvaro Medrán delivered the assist that found Jack Hendry, who powered a header past the Al Fateh goalkeeper. It was a fitting way for the goal to arrive — a set-piece opportunity capitalised upon, entirely consistent with Al Ettifaq's dominance in aerial and dead-ball situations throughout the evening.
Al Fateh coach Khaled Fahad Al-Atwi attempted to change the dynamic with his substitutions, introducing João Victor Oliveira dos Santos at the hour mark and then making a flurry of four changes in the 79th and 86th minutes, bringing on Abdulelah Al Khaibari, Fahad Aqeel Al Zubaidi, Abdul Rahman bin Talal Abdulaziz Al Khaibari, and Saad Al-Shurafa. The changes failed to generate the breakthrough, however, with four offsides and an inability to convert their shots on target underlining Al Fateh's bluntness in attack.
Al Ettifaq coach Arthur Thomas Papastamatis managed his resources sensibly, replacing Rayane Messi with Matija Gluščević just before the goal and then making a series of late substitutions — including Bersant Celina, Meshal Alaeli, and Abdullah Mohammed Madu — to protect the one-goal lead and see the game out. Notably, assist-maker Álvaro Medrán was withdrawn in the 90th minute, having already made his decisive contribution.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–2 Al Ettifaq victory, with a slight edge given to the away side (38% probability against 37% for Al Fateh and 25% for a draw). While the exact scoreline differed — the match ended 1–0 rather than 1–2 — the outcome prediction proved correct, with Al Ettifaq taking the win. Given the low confidence rating of 43/100, this was always considered a closely balanced fixture, and the statistics ultimately validated the assessment: Al Ettifaq were the stronger side, even if the margin remained narrow.
Key Takeaways
- Jack Hendry's 78th-minute header was the sole difference between two evenly matched defensive units.
- Al Ettifaq's attacking volume — 91 attacks and 69 dangerous attacks — was significantly superior, though clinical efficiency remained modest.
- Al Fateh's late defensive resilience was notable, but their attacking output ultimately lacked the quality to salvage a point.
- Al Ettifaq's ability to win tight, low-scoring encounters through set-piece moments will be an asset as the Pro League season develops.
Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Al Fateh and Al Ettifaq: Al Fateh 14W · 8D · Al Ettifaq 8W.
14
Al Fateh wins
8
Draws
8
Al Ettifaq wins
Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq?
PredictNext's AI model favours Al Ettifaq with a 38% win probability — Al Fateh 37%, draw 25%, Al Ettifaq 38%.
What is the predicted score for Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq?
The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq, generated with 43% model confidence.
Will Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq.
How accurate was the Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 0-1. The winner call was correct.