Pro League · Matchday
2026-10-19 15:05:00 · 23:05 · Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah)
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 2-3
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.33 | -5.5% | -19.0% | -8.9% |
| Pinnacle | 7.17 | 5.36 | 1.33 | -3.2% | -3.5% | -8.9% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 8.15 | 5.47 | 1.31 | +10.0% | -1.5% | -10.3% |
| WilliamHill | 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.30 | -5.5% | -14.5% | -10.9% |
| BetfairVALUE | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 | +8.0% | -10.0% | -10.9% |
| bwinVALUE | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.36 | +1.3% | -10.0% | -6.8% |
| LadbrokesVALUE | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.36 | +1.3% | -10.0% | -6.8% |
| Sbo | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.31 | -19.0% | -17.2% | -10.3% |
| MansionBet | 7.40 | 4.90 | 1.35 | -0.1% | -11.8% | -7.5% |
| MelBetVALUE | 8.15 | 5.47 | 1.30 | +10.0% | -1.5% | -10.9% |
| MacauslotVALUE | 7.60 | 5.20 | 1.25 | +2.6% | -6.4% | -14.4% |
| CoralVALUE | 7.50 | 5.25 | 1.36 | +1.3% | -5.5% | -6.8% |
| DafabetVALUE | 7.60 | 5.40 | 1.36 | +2.6% | -2.8% | -6.8% |
| Marathonbet | 7.40 | 4.95 | 1.28 | -0.1% | -10.9% | -12.3% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Al-Fayha 2–3 Al Ahli | Pro League | October 19, 2026
Result Summary
Al Ahli claimed a hard-fought 3–2 victory away at Al-Fayha in what proved to be an absorbing Pro League encounter. Despite twice finding themselves level and pushing for a result of their own, Al-Fayha ultimately could not contain a relentless Al Ahli side that demonstrated their quality throughout the 90 minutes.
Match Analysis
The contest came to life in the final moments of the first half. Hugo Moura, assisted by Ahmed Bamsaud, gave Al-Fayha the lead with a right-foot finish in the 44th minute — a sharp reward for the hosts who had defended resolutely against sustained opposition pressure. Al Ahli, however, hit back almost immediately, with substitute Artem Bondarenko — who had only entered the pitch in the 14th minute to replace the injured Ziyad Al-Johani — powering home a header from a Saad Balobaid delivery deep into first-half stoppage time to restore parity.
The statistics told a clear story of Al Ahli's dominance. Marino Pusic's side enjoyed 57% possession, registered 139 attacks compared to Al-Fayha's 51, and produced a remarkable 43 dangerous attacks to the hosts' 17. Most telling of all was the shots-on-target figure: Al Ahli managed 8 attempts on goal to Al-Fayha's 2, underlining how fortunate the hosts were to remain level for so long.
The second half followed a similar narrative. David Remeseiro Salgueiro gave Al-Fayha renewed hope with a well-struck free kick in the 65th minute, but the joy was short-lived. Bondarenko, who had already proven his worth once, struck again on 70 minutes — this time converting a right-foot effort assisted by Valentin Atangana Edoa — to restore Al Ahli's lead. Despite a flurry of late substitutions from coach Fábio Carille as Al-Fayha chased an equaliser, the visitors held firm to secure all three points.
Alfa Semedo Esteves picked up the only booking of the match — a yellow card for a foul in the 19th minute — in what was otherwise a reasonably disciplined affair, with Al-Fayha conceding 17 fouls to Al Ahli's 13.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis correctly identified Al Ahli as the likely winners, forecasting a 0–2 scoreline with a 68.5% probability of an away victory and a confidence rating of 69/100. While the exact scoreline differed — the actual result was 2–3 rather than the predicted 0–2 — the outcome was spot on. The statistical dominance Al Ahli displayed, particularly in attacks, dangerous attacks, and shots on target, aligned closely with the indicators that informed our forecast.
Key Takeaways
- Artem Bondarenko was the decisive figure, scoring twice after coming on as an early substitute — a significant impact from the bench.
- Al-Fayha showed character to equalise twice, but their limited shot output (just 2 on target) exposed how difficult it was to trouble Al Ahli's backline consistently.
- Al Ahli's volume of attacking play — nearly three times the dangerous attacks of their hosts — was the defining factor and confirms their status as genuine title contenders in the Pro League.
- Fábio Carille will need to address defensive resilience, particularly against sides capable of the kind of sustained offensive pressure Al Ahli produced.
Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Al-Fayha and Al Ahli: Al-Fayha 1W · 5D · Al Ahli 8W.
1
Al-Fayha wins
5
Draws
8
Al Ahli wins
Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli?
PredictNext's AI model favours Al Ahli with a 68% win probability — Al-Fayha 14%, draw 18%, Al Ahli 68%.
What is the predicted score for Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli?
The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli, generated with 69% model confidence.
Will Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli.
How accurate was the Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 2-3. The winner call was correct.