Al-Qadsiah
Al-Qadsiah
3 vs 3

Pro League · Matchday

2026-09-11 15:25:00 · 23:25

Al Ettifaq
Al Ettifaq

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 3-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Al-Qadsiah
AL-
2 - 1
Al Ettifaq
AL
65%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
70.0%Home
17.0%Draw
13.0%Away
74.4%Home
14.2%Draw
11.4%Away
Al-Qadsiah enter as clear favorites with a commanding 71% win probability, backed by strong home advantage in the Pro League. The key tactical battle lies in Al-Qadsiah's attacking pressure against Al Ettifaq's defensive structure, where controlling the midfield could prove decisive in unlocking space for the predicted goals. AI pick: Al-Qadsiah Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
87% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
62% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Al-Qadsiah Al Ettifaq
0%
51%
0
15%
49%
1
54%
0%
2
31%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

70%
74%
-4.1%
17%
14%
+2.6%
13%
12%
+1.5%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Al-Qadsiah 3–3 Al Ettifaq | Saudi Pro League | September 11, 2026

A pulsating six-goal thriller at Al-Qadsiah's ground produced one of the most dramatic draws of the Pro League season so far, with both sides trading blows in a match that swung decisively in either direction before ultimately settling at 3–3.

Match Analysis

Brendan Rodgers' Al-Qadsiah set the tempo early, and the opening exchanges immediately rewarded them. Julián Quiñones broke the deadlock in the 12th minute, finishing with his right foot from a Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat assist, before Mateo Retegui doubled the lead just three minutes later, converting a Christopher Bonsu Baah delivery in equally clinical fashion. At 2–0 inside 15 minutes, the hosts looked firmly in control.

Al Ettifaq, however, refused to fold. Bersant Celina pulled one back in the 26th minute with a composed left-foot finish assisted by Abdoulaye Kanté, giving Arthur Papastamatis' side a foothold before the interval. The match had already produced five bookings by the break — including yellow cards for Meshal Alaeli and Yasir Al-Shammari on the visiting side, and Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat for the hosts — signalling the physical edge running beneath the open football.

The second half became a different game. Papastamatis made bold changes at the break, introducing Álvaro Medrán and Madallah Alolayan, and the tactical refresh paid dividends. Medrán himself struck the equaliser in the 64th minute, finishing from an Ondrej Duda assist to make it 2–2. Al-Qadsiah responded through their own substitutes: Mohammed Al Qahtani restored the home lead in the 81st minute, converting a Turki Al-Ammar cross with his left foot after coming off the bench. Yet the drama wasn't finished — Jordan Larsson levelled for Al Ettifaq in the 85th minute, assisted by the impressive Medrán to complete a stunning comeback.

Statistically, the match was remarkably even. Al-Qadsiah edged ball possession at 55% to 45% and led on corners 3–0, while Al Ettifaq registered slightly more on shots on target (4 to 3). Both sides shared an identical 85% successful pass rate, and key passes were near-identical — 8 for the hosts, 7 for the visitors. Al Ettifaq generated 36 attacks to Al-Qadsiah's 30, underlining their second-half intensity despite trailing on the scoreboard. A wave of late bookings — five in the final ten minutes including cautions for Moussa Dembélé, Jack Hendry, and Al Qahtani — reflected the feverish closing stages.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–1 Al-Qadsiah home win with 70% confidence, backed by a 65/100 overall confidence rating — a prediction that proved incorrect. The home side's quality was evident in their fast start and their ability to retake the lead late on, which initially appeared to validate the bullish forecast. However, the model underestimated Al Ettifaq's resilience and their second-half adaptability, particularly the impact of their halftime substitutions. The draw reflects a more equitable contest than our analysis anticipated.

Key Takeaways

  • Substitute impact was decisive: Medrán, Larsson, and Al Qahtani all scored or assisted from the bench, making this a game shaped heavily in the dugout.
  • Al-Qadsiah's early explosiveness — two goals in three minutes — was ultimately insufficient against a side that showed remarkable character.
  • Brendan Rodgers' side will rue not converting their dominance into a more commanding cushion, having led twice and conceded late on both occasions.
  • Al Ettifaq's tactical flexibility at half-time proved the difference between a heavy defeat and a hard-earned point.

Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?

PredictNext's AI model favours Al-Qadsiah with a 70% win probability — Al-Qadsiah 70%, draw 17%, Al Ettifaq 13%.

What is the predicted score for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq, generated with 65% model confidence.

Will Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq.

How accurate was the Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 3-3. The winner call was incorrect.

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