Al Taawoun
Al Taawoun
1 vs 2

Pro League · Matchday

2026-05-11 18:00:00 · 02:00

Al Ahli
Al Ahli

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 1-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Al Taawoun
AL
1 - 2
Al Ahli
AL
55%
Confidence
Low Confidence
30.5%Home
27.5%Draw
42.0%Away
Al Ahli enter as clear favorites, backed by a dominant H2H record of five consecutive wins over Al Taawoun, while the home side are further weakened by the confirmed absence of Y. bin Al Zubaidi through knee surgery. Expect Al Ahli's attacking depth to exploit a depleted Al Taawoun defensive structure as the key tactical edge in this fixture. AI pick: Al Ahli Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
62% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?Yes
52% both teams score
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Al Taawoun Al Ahli
21%
0%
0
48%
34%
1
31%
66%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

30%
25%
+5.0%
28%
26%
+1.6%
42%
49%
-6.7%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

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Match Report

Al Taawoun 1–2 Al Ahli | Pro League | 11 May 2026

Result Summary

Al Ahli secured a hard-fought 2–1 victory away at Al Taawoun, with goals from Ivan Toney and Roger Ibañez da Silva proving enough to overcome a spirited home side who pulled level midway through the second half. The result keeps Al Ahli firmly in contention in the Pro League standings, with coach Matthias Jaissle's side showing the resilience and individual quality to grind out wins even when under sustained pressure.

Match Analysis

Al Ahli struck first and did so with real quality. In the 17th minute, Ivan Toney got on the end of a Matteo Dams delivery to head home and establish the early advantage — a composed, clinical finish that underlined why the English striker remains such a threat in the air.

Al Taawoun, to their credit, were not content to sit back. The statistics paint a telling picture: 56% possession, 15 total shots, 12 key passes, and 7 corners all point to a home side that dominated large stretches of the game in terms of territory and intent. The pressure eventually told when Angelo Fulgini levelled on 55 minutes, converting a Flávio assist with a composed right-foot finish to breathe life back into the contest.

However, the equaliser lasted barely 24 minutes. In the 79th minute, Roger Ibañez da Silva rose to head home from a Riyad Mahrez delivery, restoring Al Ahli's lead at a crucial moment. It was a decisive intervention from the Brazilian defender, and Mahrez's ability to deliver the assist — shortly before being substituted off in the 90th minute — underscored his continued influence in the final stages of the season.

Despite their statistical dominance, Al Taawoun ultimately lacked the sharpness in front of goal that would have earned them something from the match. With only 4 shots on target from 15 attempts, and Al Ahli matching that tally from just 9 total efforts, the visitors were markedly more efficient when it mattered.

Discipline was also a factor throughout the contest. Al Ahli accumulated four yellow cardsEnzo Millot (33'), Waheb Saleh (57'), Ziyad Aljohani (60'), and Abdulrahman Salem Alsanbi (90+10') — while Al Taawoun saw Muhammad Walid Al Dosari and Achraf El Mahdioui cautioned. Al Ahli's 19 fouls compared to Al Taawoun's 13 further illustrate a combative edge that occasionally tipped into recklessness.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called an Al Ahli win at 1–2, which proved to be the correct result in both scoreline and outcome. With a confidence rating of 55/100 and an away win probability of 42%, the analysis acknowledged Al Ahli's quality while respecting the challenge a home Al Taawoun side could pose. The match validated that cautious optimism — Al Ahli were never fully comfortable but had enough class to see it through.

Key Takeaways

  • Ivan Toney's aerial threat and Roger Ibañez da Silva's set-piece contribution were the decisive moments for Al Ahli.
  • Al Taawoun dominated possession and attacking volume but were undone by a lack of clinical efficiency.
  • Riyad Mahrez continued to influence proceedings with a decisive assist before being rested late on.
  • Al Ahli's ability to absorb pressure and convert limited opportunities marks them out as genuine contenders in the Pro League run-in.

Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Al Taawoun and Al Ahli: Al Taawoun 6W · 10D · Al Ahli 14W.

6

10

14

Mon, May 11, 2026Al Taawoun1-2Al Ahli
Wed, Jan 14, 2026Al Ahli2-1Al Taawoun
Wed, May 7, 2025Al Ahli2-0Al Taawoun
Sat, Dec 7, 2024Al Taawoun2-4Al Ahli
Sat, Mar 9, 2024Al Taawoun0-1Al Ahli

Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli?

PredictNext's AI model favours Al Ahli with a 42% win probability — Al Taawoun 30%, draw 28%, Al Ahli 42%.

What is the predicted score for Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli, generated with 55% model confidence.

Will Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli.

How accurate was the Al Taawoun vs Al Ahli prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was correct.

More Pro League AI Predictions