Al Taawoun
Al Taawoun
0 vs 1

Pro League · Matchday

2026-10-20 15:10:00 · 23:10 · King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Al-Qadsiah
Al-Qadsiah

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 0-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Al Taawoun
ALT
0 - 2
Al-Qadsiah
QAD
64%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
13.5%Home
18.5%Draw
68.0%Away
17.1%Home
19.0%Draw
63.9%Away
Al-Qadsiah enter this Pro League clash as strong favorites, backed by a commanding 66.5% win probability that reflects their significant quality advantage over a struggling Al Taawoun side. The key tactical battle will be Al-Qadsiah's attacking structure exploiting Al Taawoun's vulnerable defensive shape, with the visitors expected to control tempo and punish on the counter. AI pick: Al-Qadsiah Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or QAD
87% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
55% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreJulian QuinonesAlso: Abdullah Al Salem, Mateo Retegui

Goal Probability

ALT QAD
70%
0%
0
30%
21%
1
0%
52%
2
0%
27%
3+

Odds Comparison

14%
17%
-4.0%
18%
20%
-1.6%
68%
63%
+5.5%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet365VALUE4.754.501.48-35.9%-16.8%+0.6%
Pinnacle5.424.891.46-26.8%-9.5%-0.7%
1xbetVALUE5.534.651.48-25.3%-14.0%+0.6%
WilliamHill4.804.201.44-35.2%-22.3%-2.1%
Betfair5.504.601.47-25.7%-14.9%-0.0%
bwinVALUE5.254.601.50-29.1%-14.9%+2.0%
LadbrokesVALUE5.254.601.50-29.1%-14.9%+2.0%
DafabetVALUE5.404.901.51-27.1%-9.3%+2.7%
MelBetVALUE5.534.651.48-25.3%-14.0%+0.6%
MansionBet5.404.651.47-27.1%-14.0%-0.0%
CoralVALUE5.504.801.53-25.7%-11.2%+4.0%
Sbo4.964.201.42-33.0%-22.3%-3.4%
Marathonbet5.304.451.42-28.4%-17.7%-3.4%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Al Taawoun 0–1 Al-Qadsiah | Pro League | 20 October 2026

Result Summary

A dramatic late winner deep into stoppage time sealed a hard-fought victory for Al-Qadsiah, who claimed all three points in Buraidah thanks to Tijjani Reijnders converting in the 90+6th minute, assisted by Christopher Bonsu Baah. The result was entirely consistent with the balance of play across 90-plus minutes, even if the scoreline flatters Al Taawoun's resistance somewhat. Brendan Rodgers' side moves on with a deserved away win, while Vuk Rašović's hosts face a sobering post-match review.


Match Analysis

From virtually the first whistle, this contest had one dominant story: Al-Qadsiah's overwhelming territorial and statistical superiority. The visitors registered a staggering 22 total shots compared to Al Taawoun's 6, and 9 shots on target versus just 2 for the home side. The 142–60 advantage in attacks — and a remarkable 106 to 18 edge in dangerous attacks — underlines just how one-sided the contest was in terms of intent and pressure.

Ball possession told the same story, with Al-Qadsiah controlling 71% of the ball to Al Taawoun's 29%. The passing quality reflected this dominance, as Al-Qadsiah completed passes at an 88% success rate against Al Taawoun's 73%, and also generated 15 key passes to the hosts' 5. The corner count — 15 to 3 — further reinforces the sustained attacking pressure Al-Qadsiah applied throughout.

Yet for all that pressure, Rodgers' men were forced to wait until the dying seconds for the breakthrough. Al Taawoun, despite offering precious little offensively, displayed stubborn defensive organisation for the vast majority of the match. The home side were also disrupted early, making two substitutions inside the first 15 minutes — Nasser Al Haleel replacing Muteb Al-Mufarrij at the 7th minute, and Mohammed Bassam Alhurayji coming on for Abdulrahman Hindi at the 14th — suggesting possible injury or tactical recalibration very early in the game.

Al-Qadsiah themselves made key adjustments mid-game, introducing Mateo Retegui at the 58th minute alongside Musab Fahz Aljuwayr, injecting fresh attacking energy. Ultimately, it was Reijnders, the standout central midfielder, who had the composure to finish from a right foot shot in the sixth minute of stoppage time, with Bonsu Baah delivering the decisive assist. The goal was late but, given the statistics, it was thoroughly merited.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 0–2 Al-Qadsiah win, carrying a 64/100 confidence rating and assigning the away side a 68% probability of victory. The outcome vindicates the directional call — the prediction was correct in identifying Al-Qadsiah as clear favourites. The final margin of 0–1 rather than 0–2 shows that Al Taawoun's defensive resilience slightly exceeded expectations, but the underlying statistical picture makes it clear that the result was never really in doubt in terms of which team was better on the day.


Key Takeaways

  • Al-Qadsiah's dominance was comprehensive across every measurable category, yet their clinical efficiency left room for anxiety right until the final whistle.
  • Reijnders proved decisive when it mattered most, underlining his importance to Brendan Rodgers' system.
  • Al Taawoun's early injury concerns — evidenced by two forced changes before the 15th minute — likely hampered any chance of a more competitive showing.
  • For Rašović's side, a 29% possession share and just 2 shots on target represent a performance level that will need significant improvement going forward.

Al Taawoun vs Al-Qadsiah Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Al Taawoun and Al-Qadsiah: Al Taawoun 6W · 5D · Al-Qadsiah 7W.

6

5

7

Sat, Feb 28, 2026Al-Qadsiah1-1Al Taawoun
Sat, Nov 1, 2025Al Taawoun2-0Al-Qadsiah
Sun, May 11, 2025Al Taawoun0-1Al-Qadsiah
Sat, Jan 11, 2025Al-Qadsiah0-3Al Taawoun
Sat, Feb 13, 2021Al Taawoun0-2Al-Qadsiah

Al Taawoun vs Al-Qadsiah — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Al Taawoun vs Al-Qadsiah?

PredictNext's AI model favours Al-Qadsiah with a 68% win probability — Al Taawoun 14%, draw 18%, Al-Qadsiah 68%.

What is the predicted score for Al Taawoun vs Al-Qadsiah?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Al Taawoun vs Al-Qadsiah, generated with 64% model confidence.

Will Al Taawoun vs Al-Qadsiah have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for under 2.5 goals in Al Taawoun vs Al-Qadsiah.

How accurate was the Al Taawoun vs Al-Qadsiah prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 0-1. The winner call was correct.

More Pro League AI Predictions