
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Matchday
2026-08-21 17:30:00 · 01:30

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 0-1|Actual: 1-3
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Match Report
Aldosivi 1–3 Unión Santa Fe | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 21 August 2026
Result Summary
A composed second-half performance from Unión Santa Fe secured a commanding 3–1 victory at Aldosivi's ground, with Cristian Alberto Tarragona proving the decisive figure in the closing stages of the match. Despite Aldosivi making the brighter start and taking an early lead, Leonardo Madelón's side demonstrated clear tactical superiority across the 90 minutes to claim all three points.
Match Analysis
Aldosivi looked threatening in the opening exchanges, and their pressure paid off in the 18th minute when Andrés Vombergar powered home a header from an Alan Sosa assist to give the home side the lead. It was an encouraging start for Israel Damonte's team, yet the statistics would ultimately tell a very different story about where the balance of play lay.
Unión Santa Fe controlled large portions of possession — 57% to Aldosivi's 43% — and generated significantly more attacking threat, recording 130 attacks to Aldosivi's 100, with 54 dangerous attacks compared to just 39 from the home side. Their superiority in shot volume was equally telling: 18 total shots and 7 on target against Aldosivi's 13 and 4, respectively.
The visitors levelled matters early in the second half through Lucas Ariel Menossi, who converted with a right-foot shot in the 51st minute, assisted by Marcelo Estigarribia. From that point, Aldosivi struggled to reassert themselves. The game then swung decisively in an extraordinary two-minute spell: Cristian Alberto Tarragona headed home in the 62nd minute before adding a second with a left-foot finish in the 64th minute, assisted by Mauro Luna Diale. Two goals in two minutes effectively ended the contest.
Aldosivi's response was to introduce Nicolás Cordero and Francisco Perruzzi from the bench at the 66-minute mark, replacing Andrés Chávez and Lucas Castro, but the damage had already been done. Discipline also became an issue for the home side, with Elías Sebastián López, Bautista Dadín, and Néstor Adriel Breitenbruch all picking up yellow cards between the 71st and 82nd minutes.
On the visitor side, Juan de Dios Pintado Leines had been cautioned just before half-time, and in the 85th minute, Julián Palacios received a red card following a VAR review — a dismissal that came too late to alter the scoreline but left Unión Santa Fe reduced to ten men for the closing moments.
Key passing statistics further underline Unión's dominance: their successful pass percentage of 82% comfortably outstripped Aldosivi's 74%, and their 12 key passes to Aldosivi's 8 reflected a side that created chances with regularity.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 Unión Santa Fe victory, backing the away side at 39.5% probability with a confidence rating of 55/100. While the exact scoreline differed, the prediction outcome was correct — Unión Santa Fe did win, and the statistical indicators we identified, particularly their expected attacking superiority, were validated emphatically. The margin of victory was wider than anticipated, driven largely by Tarragona's clinical double.
Key Takeaways
- Cristian Alberto Tarragona was the standout performer, netting twice in a devastating two-minute period to put the match beyond doubt.
- Aldosivi's early goal proved a false dawn; their inability to sustain pressure against a technically superior side was exposed clearly.
- Unión Santa Fe's passing quality and attacking volume were the defining factors in this result.
- Aldosivi's three yellow cards in the second half reflect a team that was struggling to cope and conceding fouls under pressure.
- Leonardo Madelón's side travel away from Mar del Plata with maximum
Aldosivi vs Unión Santa Fe — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aldosivi vs Unión Santa Fe?
PredictNext's AI model favours Unión Santa Fe (also known as Union Santa Fe) with a 40% win probability — Aldosivi 28%, draw 32%, Unión Santa Fe 40%.
What is the predicted score for Aldosivi vs Unión Santa Fe?
The AI forecasts a 0-1 scoreline for Aldosivi vs Unión Santa Fe, generated with 55% model confidence.
Will Aldosivi vs Unión Santa Fe have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 34% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for under 2.5 goals in Aldosivi vs Unión Santa Fe.
How accurate was the Aldosivi vs Unión Santa Fe prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 0-1; the match finished 1-3. The winner call was correct.