Arezzo
Arezzo
0 vs 3

Serie B · Matchday

2026-10-24 17:30:00 · 01:30 · Stadio Città di Arezzo

Benevento
Benevento

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 0-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Arezzo
ARE
1 - 2
Benevento
BEN
52%
Confidence
Low Confidence
30.5%Home
28.0%Draw
41.5%Away
32.6%Home
29.5%Draw
37.8%Away
Benevento hold the edge over Arezzo as away favourites, backed by a stronger Serie B pedigree and superior win probability heading into this fixture. The key tactical battle will likely unfold in midfield, where Benevento's ability to control tempo and exploit transitions could prove decisive against a home side under pressure to attack. AI pick: Benevento Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredARE or BEN
72% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
56% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreFrancesco SalveminiAlso: Leonardo Mancuso, Marco Tumminello

Goal Probability

ARE BEN
37%
0%
0
47%
58%
1
16%
42%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

31%
32%
-1.7%
28%
29%
-1.3%
41%
39%
+3.0%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3653.003.102.40-8.5%-13.2%-0.4%
PinnacleVALUE3.043.222.44-7.3%-9.8%+1.3%
1xbetVALUE2.873.162.47-12.5%-11.5%+2.5%
WilliamHill2.903.002.40-11.6%-16.0%-0.4%
Betfair2.803.302.40-14.6%-7.6%-0.4%
bwin2.853.252.40-13.1%-9.0%-0.4%
Ladbrokes2.753.102.30-16.1%-13.2%-4.6%
Coral2.753.102.30-16.1%-13.2%-4.6%
MelBetVALUE2.863.162.47-12.8%-11.5%+2.5%
MarathonbetVALUE2.853.162.45-13.1%-11.5%+1.7%
DafabetVALUE2.903.202.42-11.6%-10.4%+0.4%
Sbo2.693.002.25-18.0%-16.0%-6.6%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Benevento Dominate Arezzo in Convincing Away Victory

Benevento delivered a commanding performance at Arezzo's ground on Saturday afternoon, claiming a clinical 3-0 victory in Serie B to leave the hosts with no answers. Antonio Floro Flores' side were ruthless in front of goal, converting their opportunities with a composure that Christian Bucchi's Arezzo simply could not match.

Match Analysis

Despite the scoreline suggesting a one-sided contest, the opening half was relatively balanced on the surface. With possession finishing at an even 50-50 split, Arezzo had their moments in the first period, but the numbers behind that headline figure told a different story. Benevento generated 18 total shots to Arezzo's 6, with 14 key passes compared to just 5 for the home side, underscoring how much more dangerously the visitors moved the ball in the final third.

The match turned definitively in the 49th minute. Antonis Siatounis broke the deadlock, finishing with his right foot from an assist provided by David Okereke — a goal that was subsequently reviewed and confirmed by VAR. The opener settled any nerves in the Benevento camp and visibly deflated Arezzo's resolve.

Bucchi responded with a triple substitution just after the hour mark, introducing Andrea Cagnano, Emiliano Pattarello, and Pietro Cianci in an attempt to inject fresh energy. However, the changes arrived too late to shift momentum meaningfully. Okereke himself got on the scoresheet in the 66th minute, rifling a right-foot effort past Alessandro Nunziante to make it 2-0 and effectively seal the contest.

Benevento's 44 dangerous attacks to Arezzo's 29 reflected the sustained pressure Floro Flores' men applied throughout the second half. The visitors also dominated set-piece situations, earning 7 corners to Arezzo's 3, and their 85% successful pass percentage — compared to Arezzo's 79% — demonstrated a clear technical superiority on the day.

Substitute Guglielmo Mignani, who came on in the 70th minute, added gloss to the scoreline in the 87th minute, converting a left-foot finish from an Okereke assist to complete a fine personal display from the Nigerian forward, who contributed directly to all three goals. Benevento's discipline wavered only slightly, with Pietro Beruatto and Stefano Scognamillo picking up late yellow cards, but these were minor blemishes on an otherwise polished away display.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1-2 away win for Benevento, with a 41.5% probability assigned to an away victory and an overall confidence rating of 52/100. The prediction proved correct in terms of outcome, with Benevento's quality ultimately shining through as anticipated. The margin of victory — 3-0 rather than the predicted 1-2 — reflected Benevento's superiority more emphatically than the model projected, but the directional call was accurate.

Key Takeaways

  • David Okereke was the standout performer, directly involved in all three goals with one strike and two assists.
  • Benevento's shot efficiency and key pass numbers were the defining statistical differentials, despite level possession.
  • Arezzo's triple substitution at 63-64 minutes failed to alter the game's trajectory, highlighting the depth of Benevento's control.
  • Floro Flores' side will take considerable confidence from this result, while Bucchi faces questions about his team's lack of cutting edge in the final third.

Arezzo vs Benevento — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Arezzo vs Benevento?

PredictNext's AI model favours Benevento with a 41% win probability — Arezzo 31%, draw 28%, Benevento 41%.

What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Benevento?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Arezzo vs Benevento, generated with 52% model confidence.

Will Arezzo vs Benevento have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Arezzo vs Benevento.

How accurate was the Arezzo vs Benevento prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was correct.

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