Auxerre
Auxerre
1 vs 3

Ligue 1 · Matchday

2026-08-29 18:45:00 · 02:45 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Angers SCO
Angers SCO

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Auxerre
AUX
1 - 0
Angers SCO
ANG
56%
Confidence
Low Confidence
48.0%Home
27.0%Draw
25.0%Away
51.9%Home
26.5%Draw
21.6%Away
**Auxerre** hold the edge at home, where they've won three of the last five H2H meetings against **Angers SCO**, and the suspension of L. Rao-Lisoa further weakens the visitors' options heading into this clash. Auxerre's home structure should prove decisive in a tight, low-scoring contest. AI pick: Auxerre Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredAUX or Draw
75% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
64% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
68% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreTheo BairAlso: Danny Namaso, Mamadou Simbakoli

Goal Probability

AUX ANG
14%
43%
0
46%
57%
1
40%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

48%
49%
-0.6%
27%
27%
-0.6%
25%
24%
+1.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3651.903.403.80-8.8%-8.2%-5.0%
PinnacleVALUE1.973.524.13-5.4%-5.0%+3.2%
1xbetVALUE1.993.624.22-4.5%-2.3%+5.5%
WilliamHill1.913.303.90-8.3%-10.9%-2.5%
Betfair1.913.504.00-8.3%-5.5%0.0%
bwin1.933.404.00-7.4%-8.2%0.0%
Unibet1.903.354.00-8.8%-9.5%0.0%
Ladbrokes1.913.404.00-8.3%-8.2%0.0%
CloudBetVALUE1.953.454.05-6.4%-6.8%+1.2%
MelBetVALUE1.923.484.06-7.8%-6.0%+1.5%
BetVictor1.873.303.90-10.2%-10.9%-2.5%
MansionBet1.953.353.70-6.4%-9.5%-7.5%
Coral1.953.404.00-6.4%-8.2%0.0%
Macauslot1.923.303.48-7.8%-10.9%-13.0%
MarathonbetVALUE1.963.564.15-5.9%-3.9%+3.8%
DafabetVALUE1.973.504.10-5.4%-5.5%+2.5%
Sbo1.933.073.52-7.4%-17.1%-12.0%
10Bet1.903.404.00-8.8%-8.2%0.0%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Auxerre 1–3 Angers SCO: Clinical Visitors Punish Profligate Hosts

Result Summary

Angers SCO delivered a composed and efficient performance at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps on Saturday evening, defeating Auxerre 1–3 in Ligue 1 to claim all three points. Branco van den Boomen opened the scoring inside five minutes, and despite Auxerre's brief equaliser, second-half goals from Djibirin Harouna and Amine El Ouazzani sealed a convincing away victory for Stéphane Gilli's side.


Match Analysis

Angers wasted no time making their intentions clear. Van den Boomen struck with a right-foot finish in just the 5th minute, setting an early tone that would unsettle the home side throughout. The goal belied what the stats would later show — Auxerre actually dominated large portions of this contest, finishing with 60% possession, 20 total shots to Angers' 15, and 32 dangerous attacks compared to their opponents' 16. On paper, William Still's side looked the stronger team. In practice, they were undone by their own wastefulness and Angers' lethal efficiency.

Auxerre did respond positively before half-time. Rémy Labeau Lascary, well set up by Romain Faivre, pulled the hosts level with a right-foot finish in the 35th minute — a deserved reward for sustained pressure. However, the momentum shift proved short-lived. A VAR review involving Daniel Loader at the 43rd minute added further disruption to an already edgy first half, and Van den Boomen had earlier picked up a yellow card in the 28th minute for a foul.

The second half told a familiar story: Auxerre pressed and probed but lacked the precision to convert their superiority into goals. Despite 7 shots on target and 14 key passes, William Still's side found no way through until it was too late. Angers, far more measured with just 6 shots on target, struck with devastating effect. Substitute Djibirin Harouna, introduced in the 68th minute, converted a left-foot finish assisted by Amine El Ouazzani just two minutes after coming on. Eight minutes later, El Ouazzani turned scorer himself, finishing with his left foot from Ousmane Camara's assist to put the result beyond doubt.

Auxerre's frustration boiled over in stoppage time, with Clément Akpa, Sinaly Diomande, and another Auxerre player all collecting yellow cards in the final minutes. Angers' Prosper Peter also joined them in the book during a heated conclusion — a reflection of the tension that had built as the home side chased a lost cause. Auxerre's 16 fouls compared to Angers' 6 further illustrates how the visitors managed to stay composed while the hosts grew increasingly erratic.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast leaned toward an Auxerre home win with 48% probability and a confidence level of just 56/100 — a figure that already acknowledged significant uncertainty. The prediction proved incorrect, with Angers overturning expectations through clinical finishing rather than statistical dominance. This match serves as a reminder that raw attacking volume rarely tells the full story; conversion efficiency and defensive solidity on the counter can trump possession-heavy approaches on any given matchday.


Key Takeaways

  • Angers' cutting edge was the decisive factor — three goals from six shots on target underlines exceptional conversion.
  • Auxerre's volume without reward: 20 shots and 60% possession yet only one goal highlights a significant finishing problem for Still's squad.
  • Van den Boomen was central to Angers' win — scoring the opener and providing the assist for the decisive third goal.
  • Auxerre's disciplinary issues late on — four yellow cards in stoppage time — suggest a squad struggling to maintain composure under pressure.

Auxerre vs Angers SCO Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Auxerre and Angers SCO: Auxerre 3W · 5D · Angers SCO 7W.

3

5

7

Sat, Aug 29, 2026Auxerre1-3Angers SCO
Sun, May 3, 2026Auxerre3-1Angers SCO
Sun, Nov 9, 2025Angers SCO2-0Auxerre
Sun, Jan 19, 2025Angers SCO2-0Auxerre
Sun, Nov 24, 2024Auxerre1-0Angers SCO

Auxerre vs Angers SCO — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Auxerre vs Angers SCO?

PredictNext's AI model favours Auxerre with a 48% win probability — Auxerre 48%, draw 27%, Angers SCO 25%.

What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Angers SCO?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Auxerre vs Angers SCO, generated with 56% model confidence.

Will Auxerre vs Angers SCO have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for under 2.5 goals in Auxerre vs Angers SCO.

How accurate was the Auxerre vs Angers SCO prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-3. The winner call was incorrect.

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