Benevento 2–2 Vicenza | Serie B | 17 October 2026

Result Summary

A dramatic late equaliser denied Benevento all three points at home, as Vicenza mounted a determined second-half comeback to earn a share of the spoils. Lorenzo Caferri's 87th-minute strike cancelled out what had looked like a comfortable Benevento lead, leaving both sides with a point in what proved to be a compelling Serie B encounter.

Match Analysis

Benevento were the dominant force for large stretches of this contest, and the statistics underline that clearly. Antonio Floro Flores' side enjoyed 59% possession, completed passes at an 85% success rate, and registered an impressive 18 total shots — nine of which were on target — compared to Vicenza's modest two shots on target from 12 attempts. In terms of dangerous attacks, the home side led emphatically, 54 to 32.

The opening half belonged almost entirely to Benevento. Antonis Siatounis broke the deadlock in the 22nd minute, finishing with his left foot from a Mattia Maita assist, before Christian Kouan Oulaï doubled the advantage just five minutes later with a right-foot effort. A two-goal cushion before the half-hour mark, combined with their statistical dominance, suggested Benevento were well on course for a comfortable home win.

Vicenza arrived for the second half with clear intent. Coach Fabio Gallo introduced Mattia Valoti at the break, a substitution that would prove decisive — it was Valoti who provided the assist for Caferri's late leveller. The visitors gradually clawed their way back into the game, with Tommaso Corazza pulling one back in the 68th minute, converting a right-foot shot assisted by Nicola Rauti, who himself had entered the pitch just two minutes earlier.

The closing stages grew increasingly fractious. Vicenza collected four yellow cards between the 61st and 85th minutes — Nicolo Brighenti, Andrea Papetti, Alessandro Bellemo, Giulio Pellizzari, and ultimately Caferri himself — suggesting a side pushing hard and fouling often to stay in the game. Benevento were not without their own disciplinary issues, with Mattia Maita booked at the start of the second half and Gianmarco Vannucchi cautioned in the 89th minute. Despite Benevento's superior shot volume and territorial control, they were unable to protect their lead when it mattered most.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast leaned toward a Benevento home win (48% probability), with the draw assigned a 25.5% chance. The final 2–2 scoreline means the prediction was incorrect, though the underlying logic was not without foundation. Benevento's statistical dominance — particularly in shots on target (9 vs 2) and key passes (16 vs 11) — aligned with expectations of home superiority. However, our model's confidence level of 55/100 reflected genuine uncertainty, and Vicenza's resilience and second-half tactical adjustments proved just enough to force a draw.

Key Takeaways

• Benevento's inability to manage a two-goal lead is the defining storyline — dominant on virtually every metric, yet they allowed Vicenza back into the game with late-game defensive vulnerabilities.
• Valoti's impact as a substitute was critical; his entry at half-time shifted Vicenza's attacking threat, culminating directly in the equaliser.
• Caferri's brace of impact moments — scoring the leveller and collecting a yellow — encapsulate Vicenza's all-or-nothing second-half approach.
• For Benevento, two dropped points at home from a winning position will be a source of frustration, particularly given how commanding their 54 dangerous attacks and 85% passing accuracy made them look for much of the match.