Bodø / Glimt
Bodø / Glimt
3 vs 2

Eliteserien · Matchday

2026-09-14 17:00:00 · 01:00 · Aspmyra Stadion

Sandefjord
Sandefjord

AI Predicted: 3-0|Actual: 3-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Bodø / Glimt
BOD
3 - 0
Sandefjord
SAN
68%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
79.0%Home
12.0%Draw
9.0%Away
81.6%Home
10.3%Draw
8.1%Away
Bodø / Glimt enter as heavy favorites, backed by a dominant H2H record of four wins in the last five meetings and a significant injury blow to Sandefjord, with both S. Brunstad Fet and M. Riisnæs ruled out. The hosts' attacking depth should expose a depleted visiting backline, making their high press particularly dangerous. AI pick: Bodø / Glimt Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredBOD or Draw
91% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
65% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

BOD Sandefjord
0%
68%
0
0%
32%
1
41%
0%
2
59%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

79%
80%
-1.5%
12%
11%
+1.2%
9%
9%
+0.3%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Bodø / Glimt 3–2 Sandefjord | Eliteserien | 14 September 2026

Result Summary

Bodø / Glimt secured a hard-fought home victory at Aspmyra Stadion, defeating Sandefjord 3–2 in a match that ultimately went to plan for Kjetil Knutsen's side — though not without a nervy finish. A dominant first hour of football gave Glimt a commanding three-goal cushion, before Sandefjord mounted a late rally that made for an uncomfortable closing spell.

Match Analysis

For the opening half-hour, the contest was predictably one-sided. Glimt controlled possession — finishing the match with 65% of the ball — and pressed forward relentlessly, generating 129 attacks compared to Sandefjord's 57. The deadlock was broken in the 34th minute, when Jens Petter Hauge converted from a right-foot strike, assisted by Ole Didrik Blomberg to reward the home side's sustained pressure.

Sandefjord's discipline was questionable throughout the first half. Jakob Dunsby was booked in the 23rd minute for a foul, followed swiftly by yellow cards for Ervin Gigovic (37') and Foster Apetorgbor (38'), leaving the visitors walking something of a tightrope heading into the break.

The second half opened with Glimt in ruthless form. Andreas Helmersen netted twice in the space of four minutes — in the 54th and 58th minute — both times finishing from the left foot and both assisted by Jens Petter Hauge, who delivered an exceptional creative performance before being withdrawn in the 63rd minute. With the scoreline at 3–0, the match appeared settled.

Glimt's coaching staff made a series of substitutions around the hour mark, with Joel Mvuka, Ulrik Saltnes, and Fredrik André Bjørkan all introduced. Sandefjord similarly reshuffled, bringing on Gustav Højbjerg, Sebastian Holm Mathisen, and Mathias Dahl Sauer. The visitors grew into the game thereafter. Jakob Dunsby — despite his earlier booking — pulled one back in the 69th minute, finishing with his left foot from a Mathias Sauer assist.

As the clock wound down, late substitute Evangelos Patoulidis added a second for Sandefjord in 90+1', capitalising on a Ervin Gigovic assist to set up a nervous finale. Ultimately, Glimt held on, but the final scoreline of 3–2 flatters the visitors somewhat given the extent of the home side's dominance. 28 total shots to Sandefjord's 10, and 10 corners to 2, tell the real story of the afternoon.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 3–0 Glimt victory, with a 79% probability assigned to a home win at a confidence level of 68/100. The prediction was correct in outcome — Glimt did win comfortably for large stretches — though the final scoreline of 3–2 diverged from the clean sheet anticipated. Sandefjord's late goals introduced an element of unpredictability that the statistical model did not fully account for, particularly the impact of second-half substitutions in closing the gap. Still, with Glimt's 91% successful pass rate and 124 dangerous attacks, the underlying analysis of dominance proved well-founded.

Takeaways

  • Jens Petter Hauge was the standout performer, contributing one goal and two assists before being subbed off — a world-class individual display.
  • Andreas Helmersen's brace in a four-minute window was the decisive moment of the match.
  • Sandefjord's three yellow cards in 15 first-half minutes undermined their defensive organisation early on.
  • Glimt's late defensive fragility, conceding twice after the 69th minute, is a minor concern despite the comfortable win.

Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord?

PredictNext's AI model favours Bodø / Glimt with a 79% win probability — Bodø / Glimt 79%, draw 12%, Sandefjord 9%.

What is the predicted score for Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord?

The AI forecasts a 3-0 scoreline for Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord, generated with 68% model confidence.

Will Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 65% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for under 2.5 goals in Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord.

How accurate was the Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 3-0; the match finished 3-2. The winner call was correct.

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