Eliteserien · Matchday
2026-07-12 15:00:00 · 23:00 · Brann Stadion
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 2-1
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.00 | -8.9% | -9.8% | -2.0% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 1.37 | 5.43 | 7.16 | -8.2% | +3.2% | +0.2% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.39 | 5.22 | 7.27 | -6.9% | -0.8% | +1.8% |
| WilliamHill | 1.36 | 4.80 | 6.50 | -8.9% | -8.8% | -9.0% |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 | -10.9% | -5.0% | -2.0% |
| bwin | 1.37 | 5.25 | 6.75 | -8.2% | -0.2% | -5.5% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.35 | 4.80 | 6.00 | -9.5% | -8.8% | -16.0% |
| CloudBetVALUE | 1.34 | 5.30 | 7.00 | -10.2% | +0.7% | -2.0% |
| MelBetVALUE | 1.38 | 5.15 | 7.20 | -7.5% | -2.1% | +0.8% |
| 10BetVALUE | 1.36 | 4.80 | 7.75 | -8.9% | -8.8% | +8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 5.10 | 7.10 | -8.9% | -3.1% | -0.6% |
| Sbo | 1.34 | 4.55 | 6.28 | -10.2% | -13.6% | -12.1% |
| 888Sport | 1.36 | 4.80 | 6.50 | -8.9% | -8.8% | -9.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 | -10.9% | -5.0% | -2.0% |
| Coral | 1.35 | 4.80 | 6.00 | -9.5% | -8.8% | -16.0% |
| Dafabet | 1.37 | 5.20 | 6.80 | -8.2% | -1.2% | -4.8% |
| MansionBet | 1.38 | 4.90 | 6.60 | -7.5% | -6.9% | -7.6% |
| Macauslot | 1.28 | 4.95 | 6.70 | -14.2% | -5.9% | -6.2% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Brann 2–1 Start | Eliteserien | 12 July 2026
Result Summary
Brann secured a dramatic home victory over Start at Brann Stadion, coming from behind to win 2–1 in a match that was decided in the dying seconds. Start took a surprise lead through a Håkon Lorentzen header on 53 minutes, but Brann's substitutes proved the difference, with Noah Jean Holm and Kristian Eriksen turning the game on its head to deliver all three points for Eirik Horneland's side.
Match Analysis
The opening half was largely one of Brann's making in terms of territory. With 65% possession and a significantly higher volume of dangerous attacks — 71 to Start's 34 — Horneland's men controlled large portions of the contest without finding the breakthrough before the interval. Start, under Azar Karadas, sat compact and looked to threaten on the counter, finishing the match with 17 total shots compared to Brann's 15, which reflects their willingness to be direct and exploit the spaces left by the home side.
The second half opened with a shock. Just eight minutes after the restart, Håkon Lorentzen met a T. Strannegård delivery to nod Start ahead — a well-worked goal that rewarded the visitors' disciplined defensive approach. Start's mood soured slightly moments later when Erlend Dahl Reitan was booked on 55 minutes, adding pressure to their defensive task.
Brann's response was decisive and came through the substitutes' bench. Noah Jean Holm, introduced at half-time, drew the hosts level on 68 minutes with a composed left-foot finish, assisted by Niklas Castro, who had himself come on just six minutes earlier as part of a triple change on the hour. That triple substitution — also bringing on Ulrik Mathisen and Denzel De Roeve — proved a masterstroke from Horneland, injecting fresh energy and quality at a critical juncture.
As Start searched for a response and made changes of their own, Brann maintained their grip through 83% successful pass accuracy and continued to press for a winner. It arrived in the most dramatic fashion in the 90th minute: Kristian Eriksen powered home a header, again from a Niklas Castro delivery, sending the home crowd into raptures. Castro, who registered both assists in this remarkable comeback, picked up a late yellow card in stoppage time but had already made his mark indelibly on the result.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–1 Brann victory, assigning the home side a 67% probability of winning, with a confidence rating of 62/100. The prediction landed correctly in both outcome and scoreline — a pleasing outcome, though the route to that scoreline was anything but straightforward. The model correctly identified Brann's underlying dominance, and the statistics validated that reading. However, Start's resilience and their ability to generate 17 shots on the night underlined that the 14% away probability reflected a genuine threat.
Key Takeaways
- Niklas Castro was the decisive influence off the bench, contributing assists for both Brann goals and turning the match in his side's favour within a remarkable 22-minute cameo.
- Brann's depth was the difference — three impactful half-time substitutions, including the goalscorer Holm, highlighted Horneland's effective squad rotation.
- Start were unfortunate not to hold on; Lorentzen's header was well-earned, and their shot volume showed they were never simply defending.
- Brann's superior attacking output — 71 dangerous attacks to Start's 34 — ultimately proved the foundation for their comeback win.
Brann vs Start Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Brann and Start: Brann 9W · 7D · Start 6W.
9
Brann wins
7
Draws
6
Start wins
Brann vs Start — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Brann vs Start?
PredictNext's AI model favours Brann with a 67% win probability — Brann 67%, draw 19%, Start 14%.
What is the predicted score for Brann vs Start?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Brann vs Start, generated with 62% model confidence.
Will Brann vs Start have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for under 2.5 goals in Brann vs Start.
How accurate was the Brann vs Start prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 2-1. The winner call was correct.