
Ligue 2 · Matchday
2026-08-21 18:00:00 · 02:00 · Stade Gabriel Montpied

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 1-1
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Match Report
Clermont 1–1 Dijon | Ligue 2 | 21 August 2026
Result Summary
A breathtaking finale unfolded at Clermont's ground as two goals in the final two minutes of regulation produced a share of the spoils. Jordan Marié broke the deadlock in the 90th minute, converting with his left foot from an assist by Julio Tavarès — only for Clermont to immediately hit back in the 91st minute through an equaliser assisted by Adrien Hunou, denying Dijon what would have been a fully deserved victory on the balance of play.
Match Analysis
The statistics paint a stark picture of Dijon's dominance throughout proceedings. Baptiste Ridira's side controlled 61% of possession, completed passes at a 92% success rate, and registered an extraordinary 168 attacks to Clermont's 55, with 94 dangerous attacks compared to just 20 for the hosts. On shots alone, Dijon had 18 total attempts — six on target — against Clermont's eight shots and merely two on target. By almost every measurable metric, this was a Dijon performance that deserved all three points.
David Guion's Clermont were resolute and compact, managing the game primarily from a defensive posture. Their 81% passing accuracy in a low-volume possession game suggests a disciplined rather than passive approach, but Dijon's superiority in key passes (15 vs 6) and corners (7 to Clermont's 2) underlines just how one-directional the contest was for long stretches.
The introduction of substitutes proved decisive in the closing stages. Dijon coach Ridira made five changes, bringing on Jordan Marié and Julio Tavarès in the 66th minute — and it was precisely that combination that produced the 90th-minute opener, with Tavarès teeing up Marié for what appeared to be a match-winning goal. On the Clermont side, Adrien Hunou's arrival in the 71st minute proved equally impactful, as he provided the assist for the stoppage-time leveller, rescuing a point for the home side against the run of play.
Disciplinary matters were confined to Dijon, with Lenny Lacroix picking up a yellow card in the 59th minute for a foul, followed by Tyris Dong being booked in the 88th minute, just moments before the drama unfolded in injury time. Clermont's four offsides compared to Dijon's three also hint at occasional attempts to stretch the visitors' defensive line during rare forays forward.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–1 draw, with the probability of each side winning assessed at 36.5% and 36% respectively, leaving a 27.5% chance of a draw. A confidence level of 50/100 reflected the genuine uncertainty surrounding a closely matched fixture — and that caution proved well-founded. The prediction landed correctly, though the manner of the draw, decided by two goals in the final 90 seconds, could scarcely have been more dramatic or difficult to foresee.
Key Takeaways
- Dijon were the dominant side by a significant margin across all statistical categories but were undone by an inability to convert their volume of chances earlier in the match.
- Clinical substitutions shaped the outcome: the Marié-Tavarès combination and Hunou's contribution both arrived from the bench within the final 25 minutes.
- Clermont demonstrated resilience and efficiency, scoring with limited resources and snatching a point they perhaps did not deserve statistically.
- Both sides will reflect on moments that got away — Dijon on failing to close out the win, Clermont on their passive display for large portions of the contest.
Clermont vs Dijon Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Clermont and Dijon: Clermont 3W · 6D · Dijon 9W.
3
Clermont wins
6
Draws
9
Dijon wins
Clermont vs Dijon — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Clermont vs Dijon?
PredictNext's AI model favours Clermont with a 36% win probability — Clermont 36%, draw 28%, Dijon 36%.
What is the predicted score for Clermont vs Dijon?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Clermont vs Dijon, generated with 50% model confidence.
Will Clermont vs Dijon have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Clermont vs Dijon.
How accurate was the Clermont vs Dijon prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.