Serie A · Matchday
2026-07-22 00:00:00 · 08:00 · Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 0-1|Actual: 1-3
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.15 | -11.6% | -16.3% | +1.0% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 3.55 | 3.30 | 2.15 | -7.7% | -10.9% | +1.0% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 3.54 | 3.23 | 2.22 | -8.0% | -12.8% | +4.3% |
| WilliamHillVALUE | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.15 | -11.6% | -19.0% | +1.0% |
| bwinVALUE | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.15 | -11.6% | -12.2% | +1.0% |
| UnibetVALUE | 3.85 | 3.15 | 1.87 | +0.1% | -14.9% | -12.1% |
| LadbrokesVALUE | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.15 | -11.6% | -12.2% | +1.0% |
| DafabetVALUE | 3.55 | 3.25 | 2.17 | -7.7% | -12.2% | +2.0% |
| SboVALUE | 3.14 | 3.01 | 2.21 | -18.4% | -18.7% | +3.9% |
| MelBetVALUE | 3.62 | 3.18 | 2.16 | -5.9% | -14.1% | +1.5% |
| CoralVALUE | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.20 | -11.6% | -12.2% | +3.4% |
| CloudBet | 3.45 | 3.20 | 2.11 | -10.3% | -13.6% | -0.8% |
| 888SportVALUE | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.15 | -11.6% | -19.0% | +1.0% |
| Marathonbet | 3.56 | 3.12 | 2.12 | -7.4% | -15.8% | -0.4% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Coritiba 1–3 Palmeiras | Série A | 22 July 2026
Result Summary
Palmeiras delivered a commanding performance in Curitiba, securing a 3–1 victory over Coritiba to claim all three points on the road. Mauricio Magalhães Prado was the standout performer, netting a brace inside the first 20 minutes to set the visitors firmly on course, with Ramón Sosa Acosta adding a third shortly after the hour mark. Coritiba pulled one back almost immediately through an unknown scorer, but it was far too little to alter the outcome. Abel Ferreira's side leave with a thoroughly merited win despite a surprisingly competitive statistical showing from the hosts.
Match Analysis
Palmeiras wasted no time making their intentions clear. Mauricio Magalhães Prado opened the scoring in the 9th minute with a composed left-foot finish, assisted by Ramón Sosa, and doubled the lead just ten minutes later with a right-foot effort — a devastating early spell that effectively put the contest to bed before it had truly begun. The Paraguayan winger Sosa, despite picking up a yellow card in the 15th minute for an argument, remained a constant threat throughout the first half and was rewarded with a goal of his own in the 67th minute, converting a right-foot shot assisted by Joaquín Piquerez.
What makes Palmeiras' victory particularly impressive is that Coritiba were far from passive. Fernando Seabra's side actually edged the statistical battle in several key areas: 51% possession, 17 total shots to Palmeiras' 13, 105 attacks versus 75, and 64 dangerous attacks compared to just 39 from the visitors. Coritiba also registered 12 key passes to Palmeiras' 8 and won 8 corners to 4. On paper, these numbers suggest a more competitive match — yet clinical finishing from the visitors made all the difference.
Coritiba's response came swiftly in the 68th minute, when an unknown scorer converted with a right-foot effort assisted by Josué, making it 3–1. However, the goal served only as a consolation, with Palmeiras' defensive structure holding firm through the final stages. Palmeiras were the more disciplined side in terms of decision-making, though they did accumulate four yellow cards — Sosa, Alexander Barboza, and Khellven all entered the book across the 90 minutes. Coritiba received one caution, Thiago dos Santos booked in the 45th minute.
Fernando Seabra made five substitutions in an attempt to inject energy, most notably bringing on Felipe Jonatan and Brian Ocampo in the second half. Palmeiras' changes were more conservative, with Mauricio coming off in the 79th minute after his impactful evening, replaced by Emiliano Martínez.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 0–1 Palmeiras victory, with a 47% probability assigned to an away win and a confidence rating of 56/100. The predicted winner was correct — Palmeiras did prevail — though the actual scoreline of 3–1 suggested a more decisive result than anticipated. The model correctly identified Palmeiras as the likely winners despite Coritiba holding home advantage, making this a correct prediction outcome. The margin, however, underscored how ruthless Abel Ferreira's side can be in front of goal when their attackers are on form.
Key Takeaways
- Mauricio Magalhães Prado's brace in 10 minutes was the defining moment of the match, setting a platform Coritiba could never recover from.
- Despite dominating possession and shots, Coritiba's lack of clinical finishing proved costly — a cautionary tale in the importance of converting chances.
- Ramón Sosa contributed a goal and an assist despite a yellow card, confirming his status as one of Palmeiras' most dangerous outlets.
- Palmeiras continue to demonstrate their ability to win away from home against sides who statistically outperform them across large portions of the game.
Coritiba vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Coritiba and Palmeiras: Coritiba 11W · 4D · Palmeiras 9W.
11
Coritiba wins
4
Draws
9
Palmeiras wins
Coritiba vs Palmeiras — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Coritiba vs Palmeiras?
PredictNext's AI model favours Palmeiras with a 47% win probability — Coritiba 26%, draw 27%, Palmeiras 47%.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Palmeiras?
The AI forecasts a 0-1 scoreline for Coritiba vs Palmeiras, generated with 56% model confidence.
Will Coritiba vs Palmeiras have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Coritiba vs Palmeiras.
How accurate was the Coritiba vs Palmeiras prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 0-1; the match finished 1-3. The winner call was correct.