
Super Lig · Matchday
2026-09-19 14:00:00 · 22:00

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-2
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Match Report
Çorum FK 1–2 Alanyaspor | Super Lig | 19 September 2026
Result Summary
A dramatic eight-minute spell in the second half proved decisive as Alanyaspor claimed a hard-fought 2–1 victory away at Çorum FK in the Super Lig. Despite Çorum's dominance across multiple statistical categories, Natanael João Pereira Costa's side demonstrated ruthless efficiency in front of goal, converting their moments when it mattered most.
Match Analysis
For large portions of this contest, Çorum FK looked the more threatening side. Under Uğur Uçar, they controlled 66% of possession, generated 114 attacks compared to Alanyaspor's 58, and registered 12 total shots against the visitors' 9. On paper, this was a home side in command — yet the scoreboard told an entirely different story.
The first hour passed goalless, with both defences remaining organised. Çorum's discipline was tested throughout, however, accumulating 21 fouls and picking up four yellow cards before the hour mark. Cengiz Ünder was booked as early as the 28th minute, followed by Serdar Saatçı in the 40th, Andrei Sebastian Borza in the 56th, and Ahmed Ildız — who had only just come on at half-time — in the 57th minute. That wave of bookings created a sense of fragility in the home side's structure.
Alanyaspor broke the deadlock in the 67th minute. Gaïus Makouta met a delivery from Florent Hadergjonaj with a header to put the visitors ahead against the run of play. It was a classic sucker-punch moment — Çorum's territorial superiority had not translated into a lead, and Alanyaspor punished them.
Çorum responded almost immediately. In the 76th minute, Jesús Andrés Ramírez Díaz powered home a header assisted by Alexandros Kyziridis to level the score at 1–1 and restore hope for the home support. Yet the equaliser lasted barely two minutes. Fresh substitute Arda Usluoğlu, who had entered in the 76th minute, headed home from a Ruan assist in the 78th minute to restore Alanyaspor's lead. All three goals came via headers — a striking tactical detail that underlines how aerial deliveries shaped the outcome entirely.
Çorum pushed hard for a second equaliser, and Caglar Söyüncü — himself introduced at half-time — was booked deep into stoppage time for an argument as frustrations boiled over. Despite 5 shots on target and 8 key passes, the hosts could not find a way through in the closing stages.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis forecast a 1–0 Çorum FK home win, with a 46% probability assigned to the home side and only 26.5% to an Alanyaspor victory. The prediction carried a confidence level of just 55/100, reflecting genuine uncertainty — and that caution proved warranted. While Çorum's statistical dominance aligned broadly with our home-side assessment, Alanyaspor's clinical finishing and the impact of second-half substitutions, particularly Usluoğlu's match-winning header within seconds of his introduction, turned the match on its head. The outcome was incorrect.
Key Takeaways
- Statistics deceive: Çorum's 66% possession and 114 attacks meant nothing when Alanyaspor converted five shots on target into two goals.
- Disciplinary issues hampered Çorum, with four yellows conceded before the 60th minute disrupting their rhythm.
- Substitute impact was decisive — Arda Usluoğlu scored within two minutes of coming on, underlining Alanyaspor's bench depth.
- All three goals were headers, making aerial delivery the defining tactical weapon of the evening.
Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?
PredictNext's AI model favours Çorum FK (also known as Corum FK) with a 46% win probability — Çorum FK 46%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 26%.
What is the predicted score for Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor, generated with 55% model confidence.
Will Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor.
How accurate was the Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was incorrect.