Cuba
Cuba
2 vs 0

CONCACAF Nations League · Matchday

2026-09-28 21:00:00 · 05:00

Bonaire
Bonaire

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 2-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Cuba
CUB
2 - 1
Bonaire
BON
41%
Confidence
Low Confidence
58.0%Home
22.0%Draw
20.0%Away
**Cuba** hold a narrow edge at home in this CONCACAF Nations League clash against **Bonaire**, backed by a slight home advantage and superior regional pedigree. The key battleground will be Cuba's ability to control midfield and limit Bonaire's counter-attacking transitions. AI pick: Cuba Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
80% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Cuba Bonaire
15%
42%
0
41%
58%
1
44%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

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Match Report

Cuba 2–0 Bonaire | CONCACAF Nations League | September 28, 2026

Result Summary

Cuba secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Bonaire in the CONCACAF Nations League, with goals in either half cementing a dominant performance that was thoroughly reflected in the match statistics. The Cubans controlled proceedings from the opening whistle, and the scoreline, while modest, barely scratched the surface of their overall superiority on the night.


Match Analysis

Cuba wasted no time imposing themselves, with Yasniel Matos Rodríguez breaking the deadlock as early as the 3rd minute, converting via a right foot shot assisted by Y. Pérez. The early goal set the tone for a match in which Cuba rarely looked troubled, dictating terms through dominant possession and relentless attacking intent.

The statistics tell a compelling story of Cuban control. Cuba held 67% of ball possession to Bonaire's 33%, completing passes at an 89% success rate compared to Bonaire's 78%. Cuba registered 26 total shots — 7 on target — while generating 92 dangerous attacks versus Bonaire's 60. Bonaire managed just 7 total shots and only 3 on target, highlighting how effectively Cuba restricted their opponents to peripheral threat.

Bonaire did show some fight in terms of physicality, picking up three yellow cards — Marshelon Pourier in the 15th minute, Shedwin Martina in the 59th, and a fourth booking in the 86th minute — accumulating 17 fouls across the match. Cuba's Marcos Antonio Campo Surén was the home side's sole booking, carded in the 17th minute.

The second half began with Cuba putting the result beyond doubt. Substitute Michael Camejo, who had entered at half-time replacing Y. Matos, made an immediate impact by providing the assist for Diego Elías Catasus Lazcano, who finished clinically in the 49th minute to double the advantage with another right foot shot. Cuba's 18 key passes to Bonaire's 5 further underline how thoroughly coach Pedro Pereira Mesa's side controlled the creative channels throughout.

Both coaches made numerous tactical adjustments in the second half, with Cuba introducing Daniel Díaz Quiala, Didier Lorenzo Reinoso Maturell, and Maikol Vega Milián as the game progressed, managing the result with confidence. Bonaire coach Rilove Janga also rotated heavily, but could not alter the fundamental balance of the contest.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–1 Cuba win, with Cuba assigned a 58% probability of victory. While the final scoreline of 2–0 differed slightly from the predicted margin, the outcome was correct — Cuba won as anticipated. The confidence rating of 41/100 reflected reasonable uncertainty given Bonaire's unpredictability at this level, but Cuba's superiority proved even more clear-cut than projected, with a clean sheet rather than a tight finish.


Key Takeaways

  • Cuba's early goal was decisive, setting the tone for a dominant home performance.
  • Cuba's statistical supremacy — in possession, attacks, shots, and passing — translated directly into the result.
  • Camejo's immediate impact off the bench, creating the second goal within minutes of entering, was a notable tactical contribution.
  • Bonaire's discipline was an issue, with four yellow cards reflecting their difficulty in competing with Cuba's rhythm through legal means.
  • Cuba head into their next fixture with confidence, having shown they can control matches at both ends of the pitch.

Cuba vs Bonaire — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Cuba vs Bonaire?

PredictNext's AI model favours Cuba with a 58% win probability — Cuba 58%, draw 22%, Bonaire 20%.

What is the predicted score for Cuba vs Bonaire?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Cuba vs Bonaire, generated with 41% model confidence.

Will Cuba vs Bonaire have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Cuba vs Bonaire.

How accurate was the Cuba vs Bonaire prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 2-0. The winner call was correct.

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