Dominica 1–5 Guyana | CONCACAF Nations League | October 1, 2026

Result Summary

Guyana delivered a commanding performance in this CONCACAF Nations League fixture, dismantling Dominica 5–1 to claim a convincing away victory. Coach Marco Bonofiglio's side were clinical throughout, with Osaze De Rosario pulling the strings as the architect of much of their attacking play. For Dominica's Kurt Herd, it was a difficult evening to assess, with his side ultimately undone by a combination of Guyanese quality and their own inability to contain the visitors' attacking threat.

Match Analysis

Guyana set the tone early, Osaze De Rosario opening the scoring in the 27th minute with a header to give the visitors a deserved lead. The Guyanese had firmly established their dominance in terms of possession — they would ultimately control 63% of the ball compared to Dominica's 37% — and that control translated into sustained pressure.

Just before half-time, Dominica's afternoon worsened when Lyan Edwards was booked for a foul in the 40th minute, and moments later Omari Glasgow doubled Guyana's advantage with a right-foot finish in the 41st minute, leaving the hosts with a significant mountain to climb at the break.

The second half brought no relief for Dominica. Deon Moore extended the lead to 3–0 in the 50th minute, finishing from a De Rosario assist, and despite Guyana rotating their squad with substitutions at the 63rd minute — introducing Imani Barker and Darron Niles — the quality never dropped.

A moment of consolation arrived in the 75th minute when substitute Troy Jules Moné, introduced in the 64th minute, pulled one back for Dominica with a right-foot shot assisted by Marcus Bredas. However, any hope of a comeback was quickly extinguished. Kelsey Benjamin restored the four-goal cushion in the 79th minute, again with De Rosario claiming the assist, before late substitute Enoch George rounded off the scoring in the 90th minute with a composed right-foot finish.

The statistics paint a clear picture of Guyana's superiority. They registered 16 total shots to Dominica's 11, with 8 on target compared to just 3 for the hosts. Their dangerous attack count of 49 versus Dominica's 32 further underlines how thoroughly they controlled the threat-generating phases of the match. Guyana's successful pass percentage of 83% against Dominica's 66% reflected a side entirely comfortable in their technical execution throughout the 90 minutes.

Dominica's discipline also came into question late on, with Javid George and Audel Josiah O'Neal Laville picking up yellow cards in the 85th and 88th minutes respectively, compounding a frustrating evening for the home side.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Guyana victory at 60% probability, ultimately making the outcome a correct prediction, though the margin of 5–1 surpassed expectations. The forecast carried a confidence level of 45/100, reflecting genuine uncertainty — Dominica held a 16% chance of winning with a 24% draw probability. The scoreline validated the directional call emphatically, even if the magnitude of Guyana's dominance was difficult to fully anticipate.

Key Takeaways

• Osaze De Rosario was the standout performer, contributing a goal and two assists before being substituted in the 81st minute.
• Guyana's depth proved decisive, with substitutes seamlessly maintaining the team's quality and Enoch George capping the win with a late goal.
• Dominica's inability to convert their 11 shots more effectively — only 3 on target — left them without the foothold needed to mount any realistic comeback.
• A difficult evening for Kurt Herd's side, who will need to significantly tighten defensively in future fixtures.