Estudiantes Edge Past Platense in Late Drama at La Plata

Estudiantes de La Plata secured a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Platense in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on September 12, 2026, with substitute Guido Marcelo Carrillo delivering the decisive blow deep into stoppage time to send the home crowd into raptures.

Match Analysis

The opening exchanges were feisty, with yellow cards arriving early for Valente Pierani (13') and Platense's Iván Gómez (15') as both sides set a combative tone. It was Estudiantes who broke the deadlock first, as Adolfo Julián Gaich converted a right-footed effort in the 19th minute, benefiting from a well-weighted assist by Edwuin Cetré. The lead proved short-lived, however. Just five minutes later, Guido Mainero leveled for Platense with a right-foot finish, assisted by Franco Maximiliano Amarfil, and the scoreline remained locked at 1-1 heading into the break.

The second half was notably scrappy. A flurry of bookings — Amarfil (49'), José Ernesto Sosa (50'), Santiago Núñez (52'), and Leandro Martín González Pírez (60') — reflected the tension on the pitch and kept referee interventions frequent. Alexander Medina's Estudiantes made bold use of their substitutions, with González Pírez entering at halftime and Carlos Joaquín Correa and Joaquín Tobio Burgos introduced in the 59th minute to inject fresh energy. Martín Palermo's Platense responded in kind with a series of changes, bringing on Agustín Lagos, Juan Carlos Gauto, and Bruno Sepúlveda as the game wore on.

The statistics paint a picture of clear Estudiantes dominance in terms of creation: 57% ball possession, 10 shots on target to Platense's 2, and a 78% successful pass rate compared to Platense's 67%. Despite this, Platense registered 40 dangerous attacks to Estudiantes' 32, suggesting the visitors offered genuine threat on the counter. Ultimately, Estudiantes' pressure told. With the clock reading 90+1', substitute Guido Marcelo Carrillo — who had been on the pitch for just over ten minutes after replacing Cetré — buried a right-footed strike to clinch all three points in dramatic fashion.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1-0 Estudiantes win, and while the scoreline read 2-1, the prediction outcome was correct — we identified Estudiantes as the most likely winners, assigning them a 52% probability. The 60/100 confidence rating reflected a reasonable degree of uncertainty, and the match lived up to that billing, with Platense finding an equalizer and keeping the result in doubt until the final whistle. The core directional call held firm.

Key Takeaways

• Gaich and Carrillo proved to be Estudiantes' most impactful attackers, contributing the two decisive goals in what was an otherwise even contest on the scoreboard.
• Platense's Mainero showed why the visitors were never out of the game, but their 2 shots on target ultimately proved insufficient against a more clinical home side.
• Martín Palermo will be frustrated that his side generated 40 dangerous attacks without converting more, pointing to a finishing efficiency issue.
• Estudiantes' 10 shots on target from 16 total reflects genuine quality in front of goal and bodes well for their Liga Profesional campaign under Medina.