Flamengo
Flamengo
3 vs 0

Serie A · Matchday

2026-05-30 19:00:00 · 03:00 · Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Coritiba
Coritiba

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 3-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Flamengo
FLA
2 - 0
Coritiba
COR
67%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
65.0%Home
20.0%Draw
15.0%Away
Flamengo enter this Serie A clash as clear favorites, boosted by multiple players recently cleared from the sidelined list and returning to contention, giving coach a fuller squad to work with. Their dominance in recent head-to-head meetings — winning 4 of the last 5 encounters — underlines Coritiba's struggle to contain Flamengo's attacking depth, which will be the decisive factor. AI pick: Flamengo Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredFLA or Draw
85% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
58% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
54% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

FLA Coritiba
0%
48%
0
36%
52%
1
49%
0%
2
15%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

65%
65%
+0.1%
20%
20%
-0.5%
15%
15%
+0.4%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
Pinnacle1.464.846.14-5.1%-3.2%-7.9%
1xbetVALUE1.464.786.74-5.1%-4.4%+1.1%
WilliamHill1.444.406.00-6.4%-12.0%-10.0%
BetfairVALUE1.404.607.00-9.0%-8.0%+5.0%
bwin1.474.506.50-4.4%-10.0%-2.5%
UnibetVALUE1.385.007.00-10.3%0.0%+5.0%
Ladbrokes1.484.506.50-3.8%-10.0%-2.5%
CloudBet1.434.756.00-7.1%-5.0%-10.0%
Sbo1.434.086.20-7.1%-18.4%-7.0%
Dafabet1.494.606.60-3.1%-8.0%-1.0%
Marathonbet1.424.656.55-7.7%-7.0%-1.8%
MansionBet1.474.206.00-4.4%-16.0%-10.0%
MelBet1.444.726.65-6.4%-5.6%-0.2%
Coral1.484.506.50-3.8%-10.0%-2.5%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Flamengo 3–0 Coritiba | Série A Match Analysis — 30 May 2026

Result Summary

Flamengo delivered a commanding home performance at the Maracanã, dismantling Coritiba 3–0 in a contest that was effectively settled long before the final whistle. Samuel Lino was the standout performer, scoring a brace and contributing an assist, while Pedro added a second-half goal to put the gloss on a thoroughly professional victory under coach Leonardo Jardim.

Match Analysis

Flamengo set the tone early. Just 11 minutes in, Samuel Lino opened the scoring with a right-foot finish, assisted by Pedro — a combination that would continue to torment the visitors throughout the afternoon. Flamengo's dominance in the statistics was overwhelming: 62% possession, 135 attacks to Coritiba's 53, and a 92% successful pass rate painted the picture of a side completely in control of the contest.

The match's defining moment arrived before half-time. In the 34th minute, a VAR review flagged Pedro Rocha Neves of Coritiba, and the decision resulted in a red card at the 36th minute — leaving Fernando Seabra's side to compete with ten men for the majority of the match. That dismissal effectively ended any realistic prospect of a Coritiba comeback.

Despite going a man down, Coritiba managed just 2 shots on target throughout the entire game compared to Flamengo's 9, underlining how thoroughly the hosts suffocated their opponents. Flamengo launched 21 total shots and generated 71 dangerous attacks, a staggering level of pressure that the depleted visitors simply could not contain.

The second goal arrived on the hour mark, as Pedro converted with a right-foot finish, with the assist provided by Samuel Lino — neatly reversing the roles from the opener. Lino then completed his brace on 70 minutes, finishing from an Ayrton Lucas delivery to seal the three points emphatically.

Coritiba's triple substitution on 63 minutes — bringing on Gustavo Silva, Felipe Jonatan, and Vinicius Romualdo simultaneously — spoke to the tactical scramble Seabra was forced into, but the changes produced little improvement against a Flamengo side that managed the game with composure. Flamengo's own substitutions in the final quarter, including the introduction of Everton Soares and Saúl Ñíguez, allowed Jardim to rotate with the result secured.

Flamengo's only blemish was a slight disciplinary looseness late on — Erick Pulgar, Evertton, and Luiz Araújo all collected yellow cards — though these were largely inconsequential to the result.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–0 Flamengo win, with a confidence rating of 67/100 and a 65% probability assigned to a home victory. The outcome vindicates the directional call — Flamengo win was correctly predicted — while the final margin of 3–0 exceeded our projected scoreline. The early red card for Coritiba amplified what was already expected to be a difficult afternoon for the visitors, accelerating the gulf in class that our model had anticipated.

Key Takeaways

  • Samuel Lino was the decisive individual, combining two goals and an assist for a match-defining display.
  • The VAR-triggered red card for Pedro Rocha Neves at 36 minutes proved a critical turning point.
  • Flamengo's statistical dominance — 92% pass accuracy, 17 key passes, 9 shots on target — reflects a team operating at a high level under Jardim.
  • Coritiba, even at full strength, offered limited threat; their 2 shots on target tell the story of a side thoroughly outclassed.

Flamengo vs Coritiba Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Flamengo and Coritiba: Flamengo 17W · 2D · Coritiba 8W.

17

2

8

Sat, May 30, 2026Flamengo3-0Coritiba
Sun, Aug 20, 2023Coritiba2-3Flamengo
Sun, Apr 16, 2023Flamengo3-0Coritiba
Sun, Nov 6, 2022Coritiba1-0Flamengo
Sat, Jul 16, 2022Flamengo2-0Coritiba

Flamengo vs Coritiba — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Flamengo vs Coritiba?

PredictNext's AI model favours Flamengo with a 65% win probability — Flamengo 65%, draw 20%, Coritiba 15%.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Coritiba?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Flamengo vs Coritiba, generated with 67% model confidence.

Will Flamengo vs Coritiba have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 58% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for under 2.5 goals in Flamengo vs Coritiba.

How accurate was the Flamengo vs Coritiba prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 3-0. The winner call was correct.

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