Flamengo
Flamengo
2 vs 0

Serie A · Matchday

2026-09-02 22:30:00 · 06:30

Mirassol
Mirassol

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 2-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Flamengo
FLA
2 - 0
Mirassol
MIR
67%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
78.0%Home
14.5%Draw
7.5%Away
73.1%Home
17.7%Draw
9.3%Away
Flamengo enter this Serie A clash as heavy favorites, bolstered by a strong H2H record and Mirassol's defensive concerns, with A. Lobo Silva ruled out through tendonitis and A. Moura Neto suspended. The absence of two key Mirassol contributors should allow Flamengo's attack to exploit gaps and control the tempo. AI pick: Flamengo Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
93% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
62% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Flamengo Mirassol
0%
59%
0
17%
41%
1
50%
0%
2
33%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

78%
81%
-2.7%
14%
13%
+1.2%
8%
6%
+1.5%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol | Série A | 2 September 2026

Result Summary

Flamengo delivered a composed and controlled home performance at the Maracanã, defeating Mirassol 2–0 to claim a comfortable three points in Série A. Goals from Jorge Carrascal in the 14th minute and Lucas Tolentino in the 43rd gave Leonardo Jardim's side a commanding first-half lead that they never relinquished, ultimately seeing out the result with relative ease.


Match Analysis

Flamengo set the tone early, taking the lead just 14 minutes in when Jorge Carrascal converted with a right-foot finish, assisted by Pedro. The Colombian midfielder's goal came at the ideal moment, settling Flamengo into their rhythm and applying early pressure on a Mirassol side that would struggle to find consistent attacking quality throughout the first half.

The hosts doubled their advantage before the break in the 43rd minute, this time through a Lucas Tolentino header assisted by Carrascal, who turned provider to complete a productive first-half double act between the two. A 2–0 lead at the interval put Flamengo firmly in control heading into the second 45.

The match statistics reinforce Flamengo's dominance in key areas. They enjoyed 55% ball possession, created 14 total shots (four on target) compared to Mirassol's eight, and generated 11 key passes to Mirassol's five. Their 88% successful pass rate matched Mirassol's, but Flamengo's 28 dangerous attacks to Mirassol's 44 is a notable figure — suggesting Mirassol were occasionally threatening in transition, even if they lacked the clinical edge to trouble the scoreline.

An early substitution disrupted Flamengo's midfield rhythm, with Erick Pulgar withdrawn in the 31st minute for Evertton Araújo, before Giorgian De Arrascaeta entered at the break — a change that added further creative depth in the second half. Saúl Ñíguez and Bruno Henrique also came on in the 73rd minute, replacing Carrascal and Pedro respectively, as Jardim managed his squad with the result secured.

Mirassol's afternoon was further frustrated by discipline issues in the second half. An unnamed player received a yellow card in the 62nd minute for dissent, followed by bookings for João Victor Carroll Santana (66') and Denilson Alves Borges (81') for fouls, painting a picture of a side growing increasingly frustrated as the game slipped away from them. Their five fouls to Flamengo's two underlined the tension within Mirassol's defensive performance.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Flamengo win at 2–0, carrying a confidence rating of 67/100, with Flamengo assigned a 78% win probability. The prediction proved to be fully correct — both the result and the exact scoreline aligned with the forecast. Flamengo's home quality, combined with Mirassol's limited firepower, made the Rubro-Negro the clear favourites, and the match unfolded largely within those expected parameters.


Key Takeaways

  • Carrascal was the standout performer, contributing a goal and an assist in an impressive first-half display before being managed off in the 73rd minute.
  • Flamengo's efficiency in front of goal was crucial — four shots on target yielded two goals, a clinical conversion rate that punished Mirassol's defensive lapses.
  • Mirassol's dangerous attack count (44) is worth monitoring; they created pressure in patches but lacked end product, a recurring theme for a side still finding their footing at this level.
  • Flamengo continue to build momentum under Leonardo Jardim, with their creative midfield options offering significant depth and flexibility going forward.

Flamengo vs Mirassol — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Flamengo vs Mirassol?

PredictNext's AI model favours Flamengo with a 78% win probability — Flamengo 78%, draw 14%, Mirassol 8%.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Flamengo vs Mirassol, generated with 67% model confidence.

Will Flamengo vs Mirassol have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in Flamengo vs Mirassol.

How accurate was the Flamengo vs Mirassol prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 2-0. The winner call was correct.

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