Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
1 vs 2

Eliteserien · Matchday

2026-09-04 17:00:00 · 01:00

Bodø / Glimt
Bodø / Glimt

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 1-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Fredrikstad
FRE
0 - 2
Bodø / Glimt
BOD
66%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
13.0%Home
17.0%Draw
70.0%Away
14.4%Home
18.9%Draw
66.7%Away
Bodø / Glimt enter as heavy favorites, with Fredrikstad further weakened by confirmed absences of A. Mikkelsen (groin surgery) and J. Maurstad Gundersen (hamstring injury). Glimt's dominant H2H record — four wins from the last five meetings — underlines their superiority in this fixture, and their fluid attacking press should exploit a depleted Fredrikstad backline. AI pick: Bodø / Glimt Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or Away
87% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Fredrikstad Bodø / Glimt
67%
0%
0
33%
36%
1
0%
48%
2
0%
16%
3+

Odds Comparison

13%
12%
+0.9%
17%
16%
+0.7%
70%
72%
-1.6%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Bodø/Glimt Grind Out Victory at Fredrikstad

Bodø/Glimt continued their dominance over domestic opposition with a 2-1 victory at Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien on September 4th, 2026. Despite a spirited second-half equaliser from the hosts, the visitors' superior quality ultimately proved decisive, with Jens Petter Hauge's 73rd-minute winner settling the contest.

Match Analysis

Kjetil Knutsen's side were the dominant force throughout the 90 minutes, and the statistics leave little room for debate. Bodø/Glimt controlled 58% of possession, completed passes at a 92% success rate, and generated an overwhelming 76 dangerous attacks compared to Fredrikstad's 35. Their 17 total shots to Fredrikstad's 9 told a similar story of territorial and creative superiority.

Ole Didrik Blomberg opened the scoring on 29 minutes, converting a right-footed effort assisted by Patrick Berg, rewarding Glimt's early pressure and giving the visitors a deserved lead heading into the break. The half-time whistle was preceded by a yellow card for Fredrikstad's Max Mattias Nilsson for a foul in stoppage time.

Casper Røjkjaer's side re-emerged with more purpose after the interval, and Bryan Fiabema levelled on 56 minutes, finishing with his right foot from a Henrik Langaas Skogvold assist to breathe genuine tension back into the match. The momentum briefly swung toward the hosts, with Solomon Owusu picking up a yellow card at 58 minutes and subsequently being replaced by Simen Rafn at 64 minutes.

However, Bodø/Glimt restored their lead on 73 minutes through substitute Jens Petter Hauge, who had only entered the field four minutes earlier. His right-footed finish, assisted by Sondre Fet, proved to be the decisive moment of the match. It was a clinical illustration of Glimt's squad depth — a player coming off the bench and immediately influencing the result. Hauge himself was withdrawn at 84 minutes, with Joel Mvuka completing the rotation as Knutsen managed his resources through to the final whistle.

Fredrikstad remained competitive — their 4 shots on target actually matched Glimt's 3 — but the visitors' ability to control territory and generate volume ultimately made the difference. Daniel Eid received a late yellow card at 81 minutes as frustrations mounted for the home side, while Fredrik Sjøvold had picked up Glimt's solitary booking at 61 minutes.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Bodø/Glimt win (0-2), with a 70% probability assigned to an away victory and a confidence rating of 66/100. The outcome confirms the prediction as correct — Glimt did win, though the scoreline of 1-2 rather than 0-2 reflected Fredrikstad's ability to find a moment of quality that our model did not account for. The underlying statistical dominance of the visitors, however, was very much in line with expectations.

Key Takeaways

  • Bodø/Glimt's depth was decisive: Hauge's impact directly off the bench underscores why Knutsen's squad remains the benchmark in Norwegian football.
  • Fredrikstad showed fight: Fiabema's equaliser demonstrated the hosts' threat on the counter, but they were ultimately unable to sustain pressure against a higher-quality opponent.
  • Statistical control translated to points: Glimt's 76 dangerous attacks and 92% passing accuracy reflect a side that knows how to turn possession into results, even when the scoreline tightens.

Fredrikstad vs Bodø / Glimt — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Fredrikstad vs Bodø / Glimt?

PredictNext's AI model favours Bodø / Glimt with a 70% win probability — Fredrikstad 13%, draw 17%, Bodø / Glimt 70%.

What is the predicted score for Fredrikstad vs Bodø / Glimt?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Fredrikstad vs Bodø / Glimt, generated with 66% model confidence.

Will Fredrikstad vs Bodø / Glimt have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Fredrikstad vs Bodø / Glimt.

How accurate was the Fredrikstad vs Bodø / Glimt prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was correct.

More Eliteserien AI Predictions