FA Cup · Matchday
2026-09-22 18:45:00 · 02:45 · The Northolme
AI Prediction
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Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.60 | -13.6% | -7.3% | -8.2% |
| 1xbet | 1.79 | 3.50 | 3.82 | -14.1% | -7.3% | -2.6% |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.80 | -13.6% | -7.3% | -3.1% |
| bwin | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.50 | -13.6% | -7.3% | -10.7% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.50 | -13.6% | -7.3% | -10.7% |
| Interwetten | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.70 | -11.2% | -7.3% | -5.6% |
| MelBet | 1.79 | 3.50 | 3.82 | -14.1% | -7.3% | -2.6% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.90 | 3.85 | 3.95 | -8.8% | +2.0% | +0.7% |
| Coral | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.50 | -13.6% | -7.3% | -10.7% |
| Cashpoint | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.72 | -13.6% | -7.3% | -5.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.50 | 3.74 | -15.0% | -7.3% | -4.6% |
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Match Preview & AI Analysis
FA Cup First Round Qualifying: Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington
Tuesday evening brings a intriguing FA Cup tie to the Gainsborough Trinity ground, as two non-league sides with a modest but meaningful shared history look to advance in the world's oldest cup competition. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45, and with both clubs carrying genuine ambitions, this fixture deserves closer scrutiny than its level might suggest.
Head-to-Head Context
The historical record between these two sides offers a telling starting point. Across their last three meetings, Gainsborough Trinity have not lost once — recording one win and two draws against Leamington, with the visitors yet to claim a victory in this fixture. The most recent encounter, a 1-1 draw in 2026, demonstrated that Leamington are capable of taking something from these contests, but equally that Trinity have consistently avoided defeat. Casting further back, Trinity's 2-0 win in 2017 remains the defining result of this rivalry, alongside a goalless stalemate from the same year. For Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington prediction purposes, that unbeaten head-to-head record is a genuinely significant factor rather than statistical noise.
Assessing Both Sides
Without fabricating current form or league-table specifics, what the available data does tell us is that Gainsborough Trinity enter this tie with structural home advantage reinforced by historical precedent. They have never been beaten by Leamington across three attempts, and the FA Cup's knockout format rewards teams capable of controlling pressure moments — something Trinity's record in this fixture implies they have managed reasonably well.
Leamington, for their part, are not without merit. The 1-1 draw earlier in 2026 shows they can match Trinity when conditions are level, and the away side will take confidence from the knowledge that they have not been blown away by this opposition. Their challenge is converting competitive performances into actual victories — something they have so far failed to do against this particular opponent.
Key Factors Shaping the Outcome
Several elements will likely determine how this tie unfolds:
- Home advantage: Trinity's unbeaten home record against Leamington across all three previous meetings is not coincidental — playing on familiar ground has consistently worked in their favour.
- Cup unpredictability: The FA Cup's single-leg format compresses the margins for error, and Leamington — who drew just months ago in 2026 — will know they have the tools to make this uncomfortable.
- Scoring patterns: The 2-0 win in 2017 sits alongside two draws in the record, suggesting these matches are rarely high-scoring affairs. A tight, low-scoring outcome appears the most plausible forecast.
Prediction Summary
Our AI model forecasts a 2-1 victory for Gainsborough Trinity, with a 48% probability of a home win, 26.5% for a draw, and 25.5% favouring Leamington. The confidence rating sits at 57 out of 100, which is appropriately measured — this is not a one-sided contest on paper, and Leamington's ability to draw in their most recent 2026 meeting confirms they remain competitive. Nevertheless, the head-to-head record carries real weight. Trinity's unbeaten run of three games without defeat against this specific opponent, combined with home advantage in a cup tie, tips the probability in their favour. The forecast of a 2-1 scoreline feels plausible — enough for Trinity to win without suggesting a comfortable evening. Expect a competitive cup tie where Leamington push hard, but where Gainsborough Trinity's historical resilience against this opponent ultimately proves decisive.
Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington Head-to-Head
Last 3 meetings between Gainsborough Trinity and Leamington: Gainsborough Trinity 1W · 2D · Leamington 0W.
1
Gainsborough Trinity wins
2
Draws
0
Leamington wins
Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington?
PredictNext's AI model favours Gainsborough Trinity with a 48% win probability — Gainsborough Trinity 48%, draw 27%, Leamington 25%.
What is the predicted score for Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington, generated with 57% model confidence.
Will Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for under 2.5 goals in Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington.