Gent
Gent
1 vs 1

Pro League · Matchday

2026-05-10 11:30:00 · 19:30

Anderlecht
Anderlecht

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 1-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Gent
GEN
1 - 1
Anderlecht
AND
55%
Confidence
Low Confidence
43.0%Home
27.5%Draw
29.5%Away
**Gent** host **Anderlecht** in a tricky Pro League clash where history favors the visitors (4 wins in last 5 H2H), but **Anderlecht** arrive weakened — K. Sardella is suspended after a red card, disrupting their defensive shape. That right-flank vulnerability could be the decisive factor for **Gent** to exploit on home turf. AI pick: Gent Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
55% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
50% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Gent Anderlecht
29%
33%
0
42%
38%
1
29%
29%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

43%
42%
+0.9%
28%
28%
-0.4%
29%
30%
-0.5%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Gent 1–1 Anderlecht | Pro League | 10 May 2026

Result Summary

A fiercely contested Pro League derby ended all square at the Ghelamco Arena, with Gent and Anderlecht sharing the spoils in a 1–1 draw. An own goal gifted Anderlecht an early lead before Jean-Kevin Duverne restored parity just before half-time — a half that also saw Anderlecht reduced to ten men following a red card for Mihajlo Cvetković. Despite their numerical advantage, Gent could not find a winner, leaving both sides with a point from a fractious afternoon.

Match Analysis

Gent were the dominant side by almost every statistical measure. Under coach Rik Demil, they controlled 64% of possession, registered 140 attacks to Anderlecht's 72, and produced 103 dangerous attacks compared to just 30 from the visitors. Their 89% successful pass rate illustrated a composed, structured approach throughout.

Yet it was Anderlecht who struck first. In the 11th minute, Leonardo da Silva Lopes turned the ball into his own net, giving Jérémy Taravel's side a somewhat fortunate foothold in the match. Despite being on the back foot for much of the opening period, Anderlecht looked dangerous on the counter — a point underlined by their 5 shots on target versus Gent's 3, despite Gent taking 15 total shots to Anderlecht's 8.

Gent's equaliser arrived in the 44th minute. Hyllarion Goore provided the assist and Jean-Kevin Duverne converted with a composed left-foot finish to level proceedings at 1–1, setting the stage for a chaotic end to the first half.

The closing minutes of the first half were explosive. In first-half stoppage time, Anderlecht's Mihajlo Cvetković received a red card for violent conduct (45+2'), fundamentally altering the match's dynamic. Marco Kana had already been cautioned in the 28th minute for a foul, and tensions clearly ran high across both camps — Siebe Van der Heyden was booked for arguing (45+3') and Ibrahima Cissé for simulation (45+6') in the same frantic spell.

Anderlecht made three simultaneous substitutions at the hour mark — bringing on Mats Rits, Ali Maamar, and Ibrahim Kanate — in a clear attempt to reorganise and absorb Gent's pressure with ten men. Gent responded with their own changes, introducing Max Dean and Momodou Lamin Sonko from the bench at the 67th minute.

Despite sustained second-half pressure, Gent's final product let them down. 15 total shots with only 3 on target tells its own story — Anderlecht's defensive organisation, even with a man disadvantage, proved resilient enough to see out the point. A flurry of late bookings — including yellow cards for Sonko, Danylo Sikan, Ali Maamar, Tiago Filipe Alves Araújo, and Nathan De Cat — reflected the fractious nature of the finale.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–1 draw, which proved to be exactly the result. With a confidence rating of 55/100, the model acknowledged significant uncertainty in what was always likely to be a tightly contested derby. The draw probability was estimated at 27.5%, yet the model's specific scoreline prediction was vindicated — a pleasing outcome that reflects the competitive balance between these two sides, even accounting for the red card that gave Gent a structural advantage.

Key Takeaways

  • Gent dominated possession and volume but lacked the clinical edge to convert numerical and territorial superiority into a victory.
  • Cvetković's red card was the pivotal moment — Anderlecht's resilience with ten men was commendable.
  • Duverne's goal and Goore's assist were the creative highlights for the home side before both were eventually withdrawn.
  • A share of the points reflects the honesty of the contest, but Gent will feel they left two points on the table.

Gent vs Anderlecht — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Gent vs Anderlecht?

PredictNext's AI model favours Gent with a 43% win probability — Gent 43%, draw 28%, Anderlecht 29%.

What is the predicted score for Gent vs Anderlecht?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Gent vs Anderlecht, generated with 55% model confidence.

Will Gent vs Anderlecht have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for under 2.5 goals in Gent vs Anderlecht.

How accurate was the Gent vs Anderlecht prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.

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