Grêmio 1–2 Vasco da Gama | Série A | 12 September 2026

Result Summary

A dramatic second-half comeback saw Vasco da Gama claim all three points at Grêmio's ground, overturning a first-half deficit with two goals in a frantic four-minute spell late in the match. Mathías Villasanti's opener for the hosts proved insufficient as Thiago Henrique and Facundo Colidio turned the game on its head, handing coach Pedro Emanuel a memorable away victory against Luís Castro's side.

Match Analysis

The first half belonged largely to Grêmio in terms of initiative, and the scoreline reflected that. Mathías Adalberto Villasanti Rolón broke the deadlock in the 39th minute with a composed left-foot finish, rewarding the home side's persistent pressure. The stats support Grêmio's dominance in terms of attacking intent — they registered 122 attacks to Vasco's 104 — though the match remained closer than that figure might suggest, with both sides generating 10 key passes apiece.

Discipline was a recurring theme throughout the contest. Seven yellow cards were distributed across both teams, with Grêmio's Pedro Gabriel Crisostomo Pinheiro and an unknown teammate both booked inside the opening 7 minutes, setting a feisty tone early. Vasco also accumulated bookings steadily, with Danilo das Neves Pinheiro, Luis Eduardo Soares da Silva, and Robert Renan Alves Barbosa all cautioned before the hour mark.

The second half told a very different story. Pedro Emanuel made decisive tactical adjustments, introducing Bruno Duarte da Silva and José Luis Rodríguez Bebanz simultaneously in the 55th minute. The impact was swift and significant. Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro levelled proceedings in the 76th minute with a right-foot strike, and just four minutes later, Facundo Colidio — assisted by the recently introduced Bruno Duarte — fired home a left-foot effort in the 80th minute to complete the turnaround. Vasco's substitutions proved to be the decisive factor, with Bruno Duarte making an immediate contribution upon entering the pitch.

Grêmio's own changes — including the introductions of Juan Ignacio Nardoni and José David Enamorado Gómez — failed to arrest the slide. The final statistics show a remarkably balanced contest: possession was split almost evenly at 51% to 49% in Grêmio's favour, while Vasco edged shots on target 5 to 4 and corners 5 to 3, underlining their growing threat as the match progressed.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 Grêmio home win, backed by a 45% probability for the home side and a confidence rating of just 55/100. The low confidence proved telling — this was always flagged as an uncertain fixture. Grêmio's first-half goal appeared to validate the prediction's direction, but Vasco's clinical second-half response exposed the fragility of any forecast in a match this evenly contested. The 26.5% away win probability ultimately materialised, a reminder that in Série A, fixture outcomes can shift dramatically with the right substitutions at the right moment.

Key Takeaways

• Vasco's bench depth was decisive — Bruno Duarte directly assisted Colidio's winner within 25 minutes of coming on.
• Grêmio's early disciplinary issues (two yellows inside 7 minutes) may have constrained their aggressive approach throughout.
• Despite generating more attacks overall, Grêmio could not convert their territorial advantage into a cushion, ultimately paying the price.
• Facundo Colidio delivered the match-winning moment and will be a name to watch as Vasco push forward in the Série A campaign.