
Ligue 2 · Matchday
2026-08-29 18:00:00 · 02:00

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 3-3
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Match Report
Guingamp 3–3 Nantes | Ligue 2 | 29 August 2026
Result Summary
A pulsating six-goal thriller at the Roudourou ended all square, as Guingamp and Nantes shared the spoils in a 3–3 draw that had everything — early dominance, a second-half comeback, and a stoppage-time equaliser to cap a remarkable evening in Brittany. Sylvain Ripoll's side looked to be cruising before Michel Der Zakarian's Nantes rallied superbly, only for Guingamp to snatch a point in the eighth minute of added time.
Match Analysis
Guingamp came flying out of the blocks. Samir Ben Brahim opened the scoring in the 9th minute, converting a right-footed effort assisted by Jérémie Matumona, before Donatien Gomis doubled the lead in the 15th minute with a header set up by Teddy Averlant. Two goals in six minutes gave Guingamp every reason to feel confident, and the home side appeared in complete control of the early exchanges.
However, Nantes began to grow into the contest, and Wilitty Younoussa pulled one back in the 22nd minute with a right-footed strike, assisted by Bahereba Guirassy. That goal proved critical in keeping Nantes alive heading into half-time. The statistics reflect Nantes' broader dominance across the match — 59% ball possession, 50 attacks to Guingamp's 35, and 14 key passes to 8 — yet Guingamp's defensive resilience kept them ahead at the break.
The second half belonged to Nantes. Younoussa levelled matters in the 49th minute with another right-footed finish, completing a brace that underlined his threat in behind. Guingamp responded with a raft of substitutions — Tuomas Ollila, Amadou Samoura, and Tom Ducrocq all introduced around the hour mark, followed by Jasser Chamakh and Erwin Koffi on 68 minutes — clearly attempting to reshape the dynamic. Despite those changes, it was Nantes who grabbed what looked like the winner when substitute Antoine Joujou converted a right-footed shot assisted by Lucas Perrin in the 85th minute.
Yet Guingamp refused to accept defeat. Deep into stoppage time, Donatien Gomis struck again — a right-footed effort in the 90+8' — to level the score at 3–3 in dramatic fashion. The goal earned Gomis a yellow card for unsportsmanlike conduct, though the moment of ecstasy likely overshadowed the booking. Nantes had managed 11 shots off target compared to Guingamp's 3, and while Nantes fired 20 shots in total to Guingamp's 14, it was the home side who ultimately showed greater clinical efficiency, registering 7 shots on target to Nantes' 6.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis forecast a 1–1 draw, with a predicted probability of 27% for the draw outcome and a slight lean toward a Nantes win at 39%. While the scoreline far exceeded the anticipated 1–1, the prediction of a shared result proved correct, validating the low confidence rating of 51/100. The match's chaotic, end-to-end nature was broadly consistent with our assessment that neither side held a commanding advantage.
Key Takeaways
- Donatien Gomis was the standout performer, delivering a brace including a last-gasp equaliser.
- Wilitty Younoussa was equally influential for Nantes before his substitution in the 71st minute, scoring twice and nearly engineering a Nantes victory.
- Guingamp's early two-goal lead ultimately proved insufficient against a Nantes side that dominated territory and volume of play.
- Both coaches will take different perspectives — Ripoll relieved to salvage a point, Der Zakarian frustrated that a 90th-minute lead slipped away.
Guingamp vs Nantes — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guingamp vs Nantes?
PredictNext's AI model favours Nantes with a 39% win probability — Guingamp 34%, draw 27%, Nantes 39%.
What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs Nantes?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Guingamp vs Nantes, generated with 51% model confidence.
Will Guingamp vs Nantes have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Guingamp vs Nantes.
How accurate was the Guingamp vs Nantes prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 3-3. The winner call was incorrect.