HamKam
HamKam
1 vs 5

Eliteserien · Matchday

2026-09-13 15:00:00 · 23:00

Molde
Molde

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 1-5

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

HamKam
HAM
1 - 2
Molde
MOL
60%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
23.0%Home
22.0%Draw
55.0%Away
21.9%Home
22.9%Draw
55.2%Away
Molde enter as clear favorites, backed by a dominant H2H record of four wins in the last five meetings, while HamKam face a notable disruption with M. Gjone suspended via red card, weakening their defensive structure. Molde's ability to exploit that gap through their midfield runners could prove decisive in what is expected to be a tight away victory. AI pick: Molde Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
78% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
54% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

HamKam Molde
37%
0%
0
47%
36%
1
15%
64%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

23%
22%
+0.9%
22%
23%
-0.7%
55%
55%
-0.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

Polymarket Odds

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Match Report

HamKam 1–5 Molde: Doherty Masterclass Seals Emphatic Away Victory

Molde delivered a commanding performance in Hamar on Sunday afternoon, dismantling HamKam 5–1 in an Eliteserien contest that was ultimately far more one-sided than the early exchanges might have suggested. Sindre Tjelmeland's side were clinical, efficient, and devastating in the second half, while Thomas Myhre's HamKam paid a heavy price for their inability to convert pressure into goals.

Match Analysis

The tone was set within five minutes when Wolji Jalal Abdulai opened the scoring with a composed left-foot finish, assisted by goalkeeper Niklas Ødegård — an unusual but effective combination that put Molde in the driving seat almost immediately. Jalal Abdulai was booked just a minute later, but the early lead had already done its psychological damage.

HamKam, to their credit, carried a genuine attacking threat throughout. The home side registered 15 total shots to Molde's 18, enjoyed 6 corners to their opponents' 2, and launched 92 attacks compared to Molde's 76. However, the critical difference was precision: HamKam managed only 3 shots on target, while Molde converted from 7, a disparity that tells the true story of the afternoon.

The home side found a foothold at the start of the second half when Mohamed Ofkir headed home from an Aleksander Andresen assist just seconds after the restart, making it 1–1 and briefly raising hopes of a comeback. However, those hopes were extinguished swiftly.

Trent Kone Doherty was the defining figure of the match. The Molde forward scored three times in the second half — restoring the lead in the 56th minute via a right-foot finish set up by Sondre Granaas, adding a second just two minutes later with another right-foot effort assisted by Jalal Abdulai, and completing his hat-trick in the 84th minute with a left-foot strike from a Kristian Lonebu delivery. It was a devastating personal display that put the contest firmly to bed.

Substitute Kristian Hemmingsen Lonnebu — who had entered the field in the 63rd minute — rounded off the scoring in stoppage time, converting from an Emil Breivik assist to make it 5–1. Molde's intelligent use of substitutions, including the introductions of Mats Møller Dæhli and Martin Linnes around the hour mark, helped maintain their intensity and quality as HamKam visibly tired.

Ball possession was relatively balanced — 52% Molde, 48% HamKam — and both sides completed passes at a similarly high rate (81% vs 80%), suggesting HamKam were not simply overrun in midfield. Rather, Molde's superiority came from their ruthlessness in dangerous areas, registering 51 dangerous attacks to HamKam's 40.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis pointed toward a Molde victory with 55% probability, ultimately yielding a correct directional forecast, albeit with a predicted scoreline of 1–2. The actual 5–1 result exceeded expectations significantly, particularly in terms of the margin. The 60/100 confidence rating proved justified in direction, though the scale of the win was underestimated — largely due to Doherty's exceptional individual contribution, which is difficult to anticipate in any model.

Key Takeaways

  • Trent Kone Doherty's hat-trick was the decisive factor, transforming a tight 1–1 contest into a rout within minutes.
  • HamKam's volume of attacks without sufficient shots on target (3 from 15 shots) highlights a finishing problem that will concern Thomas Myhre.
  • Molde's clinical finishing and second-half intensity underline their credentials as serious Eliteserien contenders.
  • HamKam will need to regroup quickly, as this result does significant damage to their goal difference and morale.

HamKam vs Molde — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win HamKam vs Molde?

PredictNext's AI model favours Molde with a 55% win probability — HamKam 23%, draw 22%, Molde 55%.

What is the predicted score for HamKam vs Molde?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for HamKam vs Molde, generated with 60% model confidence.

Will HamKam vs Molde have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in HamKam vs Molde.

How accurate was the HamKam vs Molde prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 1-5. The winner call was correct.

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