Eliteserien · Matchday
2026-07-18 14:00:00 · 22:00 · Briskeby Arena
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 1-4
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.64 | 3.10 | 2.22 | -1.7% | -8.6% | -3.4% |
| 1xbet | 3.56 | 3.18 | 2.21 | -3.9% | -6.2% | -3.9% |
| WilliamHill | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.15 | -13.6% | -8.6% | -6.5% |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.15 | -10.9% | -2.7% | -6.5% |
| bwin | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.15 | -10.9% | -4.1% | -6.5% |
| Unibet | 3.55 | 3.05 | 2.15 | -4.1% | -10.0% | -6.5% |
| Ladbrokes | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.10 | -13.6% | -8.6% | -8.7% |
| Coral | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.10 | -13.6% | -8.6% | -8.7% |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.20 | 2.22 | -6.8% | -5.6% | -3.4% |
| Sbo | 3.12 | 3.07 | 2.06 | -15.8% | -9.4% | -10.4% |
| Marathonbet | 3.48 | 3.10 | 2.16 | -6.0% | -8.6% | -6.0% |
| 10Bet | 3.35 | 3.25 | 2.15 | -9.5% | -4.1% | -6.5% |
| MelBet | 3.54 | 3.16 | 2.20 | -4.4% | -6.8% | -4.3% |
| CloudBet | 3.55 | 3.00 | 2.18 | -4.1% | -11.5% | -5.2% |
| MansionBet | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.23 | -13.6% | -8.6% | -3.0% |
| Macauslot | 2.95 | 3.25 | 2.10 | -20.3% | -4.1% | -8.7% |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.10 | -12.2% | -5.6% | -8.7% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
HamKam 1–4 Tromsø | Eliteserien | 18 July 2026
Result Summary
Tromsø delivered a dominant and thoroughly convincing display at HamKam's ground, running out emphatic 4–1 winners to claim all three points. Jørgen Vik's side controlled virtually every facet of the contest, with goals from Heine Larsen, Jens Hjertø-Dahl, Ruben Yttergård Jenssen, and a late effort from substitute Ieltsin Jerónimo Semedo Camões sealing a result that was never seriously in doubt after the break.
Match Analysis
Tromsø drew first blood in the 28th minute when Heine Larsen converted with a right-foot finish, benefiting from a well-timed assist by Troy Engseth Nyhammer. HamKam had struggled to establish themselves in possession — a trend that would define the entire afternoon — and Tromsø's early lead was fully merited.
The second half brought a ruthless burst of Tromsø goals that effectively killed the contest. Jens Hjertø-Dahl extended the lead just two minutes after the restart (47'), guided home via Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd's assist, before Ruben Yttergård Jenssen added a third in the 52nd minute, drilling home with his left foot courtesy of Heine Åsen Larsen's contribution. Three goals in just over ten second-half minutes told the story of an overwhelmed HamKam side managed by Thomas Myhre.
The only moment of home brightness came at the 58th minute when Mame Alassane Niang pulled one back with a left-foot finish, set up by David Benjamin — a mere consolation that briefly interrupted Tromsø's momentum. HamKam's coaching staff responded immediately with a triple substitution in the 59th minute, bringing on William Osnes-Ringen, Fredrik Sjølstad, and Henrik Udahl, but the changes could do little to alter the match's complexion.
The statistics paint a damning picture for HamKam. Tromsø dominated possession at 63% to 37%, launched 165 attacks compared to HamKam's 74, and recorded an extraordinary 62 dangerous attacks against just 24 from the home side. With 21 total shots — 7 on target — against HamKam's 7 total and only 2 on target, Tromsø's superiority was comprehensive and statistical, not merely circumstantial. Their 17 key passes to HamKam's 4 underscores the gulf in creative output between the two sides. Substitute Ieltsin Jerónimo Semedo Camões capped the performance in stoppage time (90+2'), tapping home an assist from Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd — his second assist of the match — to complete the rout.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a Tromsø win at 43.5% probability, with the scoreline predicted at 1–2. While the direction of the result proved correct — earning a successful prediction outcome — the margin of victory was significantly wider than anticipated. A confidence rating of 58/100 reflected genuine uncertainty, which in hindsight underestimated Tromsø's capacity to dominate HamKam so comprehensively. The 1–4 final scoreline suggests that even our away-win forecast was conservative in its projection of the visitors' quality advantage.
Key Takeaways
- Tromsø are in exceptional form, with their attacking fluidity and control of possession proving too much for HamKam to handle at home.
- HamKam's 37% possession and just 2 shots on target highlight serious structural issues that Thomas Myhre will need to address.
- Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd was particularly influential, contributing two assists and consistently unlocking HamKam's defence.
- The triple substitution at 59' came too late to be meaningful — the match was lost before the hour mark.
HamKam vs Tromsø Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between HamKam and Tromsø: HamKam 2W · 2D · Tromsø 10W.
2
HamKam wins
2
Draws
10
Tromsø wins
HamKam vs Tromsø — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win HamKam vs Tromsø?
PredictNext's AI model favours Tromsø with a 43% win probability — HamKam 27%, draw 30%, Tromsø 43%.
What is the predicted score for HamKam vs Tromsø?
The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for HamKam vs Tromsø, generated with 58% model confidence.
Will HamKam vs Tromsø have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in HamKam vs Tromsø.
How accurate was the HamKam vs Tromsø prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 1-4. The winner call was correct.