Hartberg
Hartberg
0 vs 2

Admiral Bundesliga · Matchday

2026-08-08 17:30:00 · 01:30

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 0-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Hartberg
HAR
0 - 2
Sturm Graz
STU
63%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
17.0%Home
24.0%Draw
59.0%Away
18.8%Home
24.1%Draw
57.1%Away
Sturm Graz enter this Admiral Bundesliga fixture as clear favorites, backed by a dominant 60% win probability against a Hartberg side that has struggled to assert themselves at home this season. The key tactical battle will be Sturm's press-heavy midfield looking to suffocate Hartberg's buildup and create the transition opportunities that fuel their away performances. AI pick: Sturm Graz Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or Away
83% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
66% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Hartberg Sturm Graz
60%
0%
0
40%
38%
1
0%
50%
2
0%
12%
3+

Odds Comparison

17%
20%
-2.5%
24%
24%
-0.5%
59%
56%
+3.0%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Sturm Graz Cruise to Comfortable Win in Hartberg

Sturm Graz delivered a composed and ultimately dominant performance in Hartberg on Saturday, claiming a 2-0 victory courtesy of a clinical second-half double from substitute Nelson Felix Patrick Weiper. The result was largely shaped by a numerical advantage gained midway through the second half, and Sturm's superior quality proved too much for the hosts to handle.

Match Analysis

For the majority of the contest, Hartberg held their shape reasonably well, though the statistics tell a clear story of Sturm Graz's control. The visitors enjoyed 54% possession, registered 20 shots in total compared to Hartberg's six, and generated 13 key passes against just three from the home side. The gulf in attacking intent was equally telling — Sturm recorded 58 dangerous attacks to Hartberg's 31.

The pivotal moment arrived not in the goal column, but in the referee's notebook. Konstantin Schopp, already on a yellow card from the 37th minute, was dismissed for a second foul in the 61st minute, leaving Hartberg to defend with ten men for the remainder of the match. That red card fundamentally altered the contest.

Sturm Graz's coaching staff responded immediately. At 62 minutes, Fabio Ingolitsch sent on a triple substitution, introducing Simon Seidl, Emran Gamal Marwan Soglo, and crucially, Nelson Felix Patrick Weiper — a change that would prove decisive. Weiper needed only seven minutes to make his mark.

In the 69th minute, Weiper converted a header from Simon Seidl's assist to break the deadlock. The same combination proved irresistible again in the 81st minute, with Weiper finishing from the right foot following another Seidl delivery. Two goals, two identical assist credits — a remarkable contribution from Seidl off the bench. Hartberg's attempts to respond through their own substitutions, including Jed Drew, Oliver Lukic, and Agustín Urrutia, came to nothing against an organised and energised Sturm side.

A VAR decision involving Luca Weinhandl at the 89th minute added late intrigue, and Albert Vallci received a yellow card for unsportsmanlike conduct in stoppage time, but neither incident altered the outcome. Hartberg's 15 fouls throughout the match, compared to Sturm's 10, reflected the physical pressure they were placed under.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Sturm Graz win at 2-0, and that is precisely how the scoreline finished. With a 63/100 confidence rating and a 59% probability assigned to an away victory, the analysis pointed toward Sturm's superior quality eventually telling — a judgement that proved well-founded. The dismissal of Schopp accelerated the inevitable, but Sturm's statistical dominance suggests they would have found a way through regardless.

Key Takeaways

  • Weiper's brace off the bench was the defining contribution of the match, underscoring the quality depth available to Sturm Graz.
  • Simon Seidl's double assist highlighted the immediate impact of Ingolitsch's triple substitution at the hour mark.
  • Schopp's red card was the turning point structurally, but Sturm's superiority in shots (20 vs 6) and key passes (13 vs 3) suggested the outcome was already leaning their way.
  • Hartberg's Markus Schopp will need to address the disciplinary issues — conceding a man advantage at this level proved fatal.

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Hartberg and Sturm Graz: Hartberg 4W · 5D · Sturm Graz 13W.

4

5

13

Sun, May 10, 2026Hartberg2-4Sturm Graz
Sun, Apr 12, 2026Sturm Graz0-0Hartberg
Sun, Nov 30, 2025Hartberg0-1Sturm Graz
Sun, Sep 28, 2025Sturm Graz1-0Hartberg
Sat, Nov 9, 2024Hartberg1-2Sturm Graz

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?

PredictNext's AI model favours Sturm Graz with a 59% win probability — Hartberg 17%, draw 24%, Sturm Graz 59%.

What is the predicted score for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz, generated with 63% model confidence.

Will Hartberg vs Sturm Graz have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Hartberg vs Sturm Graz.

How accurate was the Hartberg vs Sturm Graz prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 0-2. The winner call was correct.

More Admiral Bundesliga AI Predictions