Hebburn Town
Hebburn Town
1 vs 4

FA Cup · Matchday

2026-09-19 14:00:00 · 22:00

Guiseley
Guiseley

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 1-4

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Hebburn Town
HEB
1 - 1
Guiseley
GUI
36%
Confidence
Unpredictable
45.0%Home
27.0%Draw
28.0%Away
*Note: AI Confidence is low (31/100) — this is a highly uncertain match.* Hebburn Town hold a narrow home advantage over Guiseley in this FA Cup tie, though probabilities are remarkably tight across all outcomes. The key battleground will be Hebburn's ability to control the midfield and leverage home crowd energy against a well-organized Guiseley side. AI pick: Hebburn Town Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
56% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Hebburn Town Guiseley
16%
38%
0
49%
62%
1
34%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

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Match Report

Hebburn Town 1–4 Guiseley | FA Cup | 19 September 2026

Result Summary

Guiseley produced a commanding FA Cup performance at Hebburn Town, running out convincing 4–1 winners to advance in the competition. Mark Bower's side were the dominant force across the afternoon, with the contest effectively settled in a ruthless burst either side of half-time that left the hosts with too much ground to recover.

Match Analysis

The match turned decisively in the moments surrounding the interval. Guiseley struck on the stroke of half-time at the 45th minute, giving them the lead heading into the break and setting the tone for what was to follow. The psychological advantage of a late first-half goal proved significant, and Bower's men wasted no time in pressing their advantage after the restart.

A second goal arrived just five minutes into the second half, and the pattern of play continued almost immediately when Cameron Wilson added a third at the 55th minute — three goals in a devastating ten-minute spell that effectively put the tie beyond Hebburn Town's reach. The rapid accumulation of goals in that period spoke to Guiseley's clinical efficiency and their ability to punish defensive frailties in quick succession.

To their credit, Hebburn Town refused to capitulate entirely. Thomas David Allan pulled one back for the hosts at the 62nd minute, offering a brief moment of encouragement and a degree of respectability to the scoreline. However, any lingering hope of a dramatic comeback was extinguished when Guiseley restored their three-goal advantage at the 72nd minute, securing the result and confirming their place in the next round.

It was a particularly impressive display by Guiseley's attacking unit, who demonstrated the kind of composure and sharpness that separates National League-level sides from those competing at lower tiers. Mark Bower will be pleased not only with the victory, but with the manner in which his team controlled large portions of the contest and converted their opportunities with efficiency.

For Hebburn Town, the defeat is a sobering experience, though the FA Cup remains a competition where such results are not unexpected against higher-division opposition. Allan's goal at least demonstrated some spirit from the home side in difficult circumstances.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast of a 1–1 draw proved well wide of the mark, and this outcome falls firmly in the incorrect column. The model assigned a 45% probability to a home win, with the away win sitting at just 28% — a significant underestimation of Guiseley's quality and intent on the day. With a low confidence rating of 36/100, there was always uncertainty baked into this prediction, but the margin of victory was notably beyond what the analysis anticipated. The 4–1 scoreline suggests Guiseley's travelling side was operating at a level that the pre-match data did not fully capture.

Key Takeaways

  • Guiseley's devastating spell between the 45th and 55th minutes proved the defining passage of play, producing three goals in rapid succession.
  • Cameron Wilson was among the named scorers, highlighting a strong individual contribution in the second half.
  • Thomas David Allan provided Hebburn Town's sole moment of reward, but it was insufficient to alter the outcome.
  • Mark Bower's Guiseley look well-equipped for a strong FA Cup run and will be a team to monitor in the next round.
  • Our forecast significantly underrated the away side — a useful recalibration point for future analysis of cross-division FA Cup ties.

Hebburn Town vs Guiseley — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Hebburn Town vs Guiseley?

PredictNext's AI model favours Hebburn Town with a 45% win probability — Hebburn Town 45%, draw 27%, Guiseley 28%.

What is the predicted score for Hebburn Town vs Guiseley?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Hebburn Town vs Guiseley, generated with 36% model confidence.

Will Hebburn Town vs Guiseley have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Hebburn Town vs Guiseley.

How accurate was the Hebburn Town vs Guiseley prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 1-4. The winner call was incorrect.

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