Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia
0 vs 3

Serie B · Matchday

2026-09-06 13:00:00 · 21:00 · Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti

Pisa
Pisa

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 0-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Juve Stabia
JUV
1 - 1
Pisa
PIS
54%
Confidence
Low Confidence
34.0%Home
29.0%Draw
37.0%Away
33.1%Home
30.8%Draw
36.1%Away
**Juve Stabia** head into this fixture at a disadvantage, with defender M. Ricciardi ruled out through suspension, weakening their backline against a **Pisa** side that has won three of the last five head-to-head meetings. The key battleground will be **Pisa**'s ability to exploit the defensive reshuffle, particularly in wide areas. AI pick: Pisa Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredJUV or PIS
71% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
56% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
54% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreLeonardo CandelloneAlso: Antonio Di Nardo, Stefano Moreo

Goal Probability

JUV PIS
20%
21%
0
64%
64%
1
17%
15%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

34%
34%
-0.2%
29%
31%
-2.0%
37%
35%
+2.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet365VALUE2.552.902.80-13.3%-15.9%+3.6%
Pinnacle2.883.102.64-2.1%-10.1%-2.3%
1xbet2.823.002.60-4.1%-13.0%-3.8%
WilliamHill2.802.802.62-4.8%-18.8%-3.1%
BetfairVALUE2.553.002.80-13.3%-13.0%+3.6%
bwin2.653.002.70-9.9%-13.0%-0.1%
Ladbrokes2.502.902.62-15.0%-15.9%-3.1%
Coral2.502.902.62-15.0%-15.9%-3.1%
10Bet2.783.102.60-5.5%-10.1%-3.8%
MelBet2.813.022.60-4.5%-12.4%-3.8%
Marathonbet2.813.022.60-4.5%-12.4%-3.8%
CloudBet2.803.002.55-4.8%-13.0%-5.7%
DafabetVALUE2.653.002.80-9.9%-13.0%+3.6%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Juve Stabia 0–3 Pisa | Serie B | 6 September 2026

Result Summary

Pisa delivered a commanding away performance at Juve Stabia, securing a convincing 3–0 victory in Serie B. Goals from Arturo Calabresi, Mattéo Tramoni, and Francesco Coppola sealed a dominant three points for Paolo Bianco's side, leaving Pietro De Giorgio's hosts without answer on what proved to be a frustrating afternoon at home.

Match Analysis

On paper, the statistics told a somewhat misleading story. Juve Stabia dominated possession at 62% to Pisa's 38%, generated 96 attacks compared to Pisa's 64, and registered 15 total shots versus Pisa's 12. However, the critical detail lay in shot accuracy: the hosts managed just 3 shots on target, while Pisa registered an efficient 7, converting three of them with clinical precision.

The opening goal arrived just before the break, when Calabresi finished with a right-foot shot, assisted by Mattéo Tramoni, in the 42nd minute — a strike that rewarded Pisa's composure after an early booking for Kevin Piscopo (15') had set a physical tone. A VAR check involving Mehdi Pascal Marcel Léris occurred deep into first-half stoppage time, though it did not alter the scoreline.

Pisa's half-time substitutions proved decisive. Francesco Coppola had entered as early as the 41st minute for Rosen Bozhinov, and Filippo Pittarello came on at the break for Andrea Petagna. Juve Stabia made three changes at the interval themselves — Federico Artioli, Fabio Maistro, and Antonio Di Nardo all introduced — but the triple change failed to shift momentum.

Tramoni doubled the lead in the 68th minute with a right-foot finish, assisted by the lively Pittarello, essentially putting the contest to bed. Coppola then completed the scoring on 80 minutes, converting with a left-foot finish assisted by Simone Canestrelli — a move that was reviewed by VAR before being confirmed. Despite collecting a yellow card for time wasting at 66', Coppola had the last meaningful say on the scoreline. Juve Stabia's Giuseppe Sibilli earned a late booking in the 83rd minute for dissent, encapsulating the hosts' frustration.

Pisa's defensive discipline — absorbing Stabia's 33 dangerous attacks — was central to the result. Committing 22 fouls reflected a willingness to disrupt Stabia's rhythm, and it worked: despite the home side's 83% pass success rate and 13 key passes, they could not convert possession into meaningful threat on goal.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast pointed to a 1–1 draw, assigning a 37% probability to a Pisa victory — the highest of the three outcomes, though our model leaned toward a share of the spoils with a confidence rating of just 54/100. The final 3–0 scoreline represented a decisive Pisa win that exceeded even the away-win scenario we partially anticipated. The statistical signs were there — Pisa's superior shot conversion efficiency proved the defining factor that our model did not weight sufficiently.

Key Takeaways

  • Pisa's clinical edge was the decisive factor: 7 shots on target, 3 goals scored — ruthless efficiency from Paolo Bianco's side.
  • Juve Stabia's possession (62%) counted for very little without genuine cutting edge in front of goal.
  • Second-half substitutions by Pisa, particularly Pittarello, injected energy and directly contributed to goals.
  • Our prediction was incorrect — the draw outcome did not materialise, and Pisa's away strength deserves greater weighting going forward.

Juve Stabia vs Pisa Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Juve Stabia and Pisa: Juve Stabia 1W · 1D · Pisa 3W.

1

1

3

Sat, Feb 22, 2025Pisa3-1Juve Stabia
Sun, Sep 29, 2024Juve Stabia2-0Pisa
Wed, Sep 30, 2020Pisa2-0Juve Stabia
Sat, Jan 25, 2020Pisa1-1Juve Stabia
Sun, Sep 1, 2019Juve Stabia0-2Pisa

Juve Stabia vs Pisa — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Juve Stabia vs Pisa?

PredictNext's AI model favours Pisa with a 37% win probability — Juve Stabia 34%, draw 29%, Pisa 37%.

What is the predicted score for Juve Stabia vs Pisa?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Juve Stabia vs Pisa, generated with 54% model confidence.

Will Juve Stabia vs Pisa have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Juve Stabia vs Pisa.

How accurate was the Juve Stabia vs Pisa prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was correct.

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