Juve Stabia 3-0 Südtirol | Serie B | 18 October 2026

Result Summary

A commanding home performance saw Juve Stabia dismantle Südtirol 3-0 at the Stadio Romeo Menti, with goals from Giuseppe Sibilli, Antonio Di Nardo, and Romeo Sandrucci sealing a comprehensive victory. Südtirol's task was made considerably harder by a red card for Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes on the hour mark, but the damage was already being done well before that moment.

Match Analysis

The opening exchanges were combative, with both sides picking up early bookings — Aljosa Vasic for Südtirol in the 18th minute and Marco Bellich for Juve Stabia in the 26th — setting a feisty tone. Despite the even possession split (50% each) and a high foul count on both sides (Juve Stabia 18, Südtirol 17), the home side were clearly the superior team in terms of attacking output.

The stats tell a decisive story: Juve Stabia registered 22 shots in total to Südtirol's 6, with 9 on target compared to just 2 for the visitors. Their 103 attacks versus Südtirol's 57, combined with 16 key passes to the opposition's 5, underlined a level of dominance that the scoreline accurately reflected.

Sibilli opened the scoring in the 43rd minute, finishing from a right-foot shot assisted by Fabio Maistro — a crucial goal that sent Juve Stabia into the interval with the advantage and confidence. Südtirol's night then took a dramatic turn in the 59th minute when Fortes Lopes received a red card for violent conduct, leaving Davide Possanzini's side to navigate the final half-hour a man down.

Pietro De Giorgio's team made the numerical advantage count. Substitute Romeo Sandrucci — introduced in the 67th minute — played a key role, while Antonio Di Nardo had already extended the lead in the 73rd minute with a composed left-foot finish, assisted by Marco Bellich. Sandrucci himself then got on the scoresheet in the 84th minute, converting a left-foot effort with an assist from Terrence Douglas, to complete the rout.

Südtirol attempted to reshape their attack through substitutions — bringing on Burnete and Mixtur in the 66th minute and later Brik and Pellini — but could offer little in response to a well-organised and energetic Juve Stabia unit.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1-0 home win, with Juve Stabia given a 44% probability of victory against 28.5% for Südtirol and 27.5% for a draw. The prediction confidence sat at 57/100, reflecting a moderately backed forecast rather than a certainty. The direction of the result was correct — the home win prediction was validated — though the margin of victory significantly exceeded our projected scoreline. The red card, Juve Stabia's attacking fluency, and the clinical finishing from their squad players added dimensions that tilted the result beyond a narrow win.

Key Takeaways

• Juve Stabia were thoroughly dominant in the attacking third, generating 44 dangerous attacks and maintaining an 85% successful pass rate.
• Südtirol's red card for Fortes Lopes in the 59th minute effectively ended the contest as a competitive encounter.
• Fabio Maistro and Terrence Douglas both contributed assists before being substituted, reflecting strong squad depth for De Giorgio's side.
• Our prediction correctly identified the winner but underestimated the scale of Juve Stabia's superiority on the day.