La Louvière
La Louvière
4 vs 1

Pro League · Matchday

2026-05-09 14:00:00 · 22:00

Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 4-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

La Louvière
LA
1 - 1
Cercle Brugge
CER
55%
Confidence
Low Confidence
43.0%Home
25.0%Draw
32.0%Away
La Louvière enter this Pro League clash as slight favorites, boosted by injuries to Cercle Brugge's C. Herrmann and L. Agyekum, weakening the visitors' attacking options. The H2H record is tightly balanced, but home advantage could prove decisive if La Louvière's midfield disrupts Cercle's depleted forward line effectively. AI pick: La Louvière Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
75% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
55% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
50% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

La Louvière Cercle Brugge
29%
33%
0
71%
38%
1
0%
29%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

43%
42%
+1.2%
25%
26%
-0.6%
32%
32%
-0.5%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

La Louvière 4–1 Cercle Brugge | Pro League | 09 May 2026

Result Summary

La Louvière produced a commanding second-half display to dismantle Cercle Brugge 4–1 at home, turning what had been a first-half deficit into a decisive victory. Cercle Brugge took the lead just before the break but were completely overrun after the interval, with Pape Moussa Fall claiming a brace and Wagane Faye adding a third to seal a memorable afternoon for coach Frédéric Taquin and his side.

Match Analysis

The opening 45 minutes belonged to Cercle Brugge in terms of control, with the visitors ultimately converting their pressure into a goal on 34 minutesOumar Diakité finishing with a left-foot shot, assisted by Dante Vanzeir, to send Lars Friis's side into the break with a deserved lead.

However, the second half told an entirely different story. La Louvière emerged transformed, and Thierry Lutonda provided the assist for Pape Moussa Fall to level with a right-foot shot on 51 minutes. Just four minutes later, Jordi Liongola — who would become the creative hub of the half — set up Wagane Faye to put the hosts ahead with another right-foot finish on 55 minutes. Faye received a yellow card immediately after for an argument, as did Cercle Brugge's Heriberto De Jesus Jurado Flores in the same incident, but the momentum was firmly with La Louvière.

Fall completed his brace on 69 minutes, heading home another Liongola assist to make it 3–1, and Liongola himself was the subject of a VAR decision on 74 minutes, underlining his central role in the game's key moments.

The statistics paint an interesting picture. Cercle Brugge dominated possession (55% vs 45%) and generated more attacks (77 vs 62) and dangerous attacks (36 vs 23), yet La Louvière proved devastatingly clinical. Both sides registered 13 total shots and 6 shots on target, but the hosts converted their opportunities at a significantly higher rate. Cercle Brugge also committed more fouls (11 vs 5) and were caught offside five times compared to La Louvière's one, highlighting a discipline and structure deficit that proved costly.

Coach Lars Friis attempted to alter the course with a triple substitution on 60 minutes, introducing Flávio Nazinho, Christiaan Ravych, and Gary Magnée — the latter picking up a yellow card on 64 minutes for an argument — but the changes failed to stem the tide.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast of a 1–1 draw proved wide of the mark, with a confidence rating of just 55/100 reflecting the inherent uncertainty in this fixture. The prediction assigned a 43% probability to a La Louvière home win, acknowledging their potential, but underestimated how emphatically the hosts would assert themselves after the break. The dominant attacking display and clinical finishing were beyond what our model anticipated.

Key Takeaways

  • Pape Moussa Fall was the standout performer, scoring twice and driving La Louvière's second-half surge.
  • Jordi Liongola was instrumental in orchestrating the comeback, registering two assists and attracting VAR scrutiny.
  • La Louvière's clinical efficiency — converting half their shots on target into goals — was the defining factor despite playing with less possession.
  • Cercle Brugge's inability to build on their lead and their disciplinary issues (three yellow cards) contributed significantly to their collapse.
  • A statement result for Frédéric Taquin's side in the Pro League.

La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between La Louvière and Cercle Brugge: La Louvière 3W · 1D · Cercle Brugge 2W.

3

1

2

Sat, May 9, 2026La Louvière4-1Cercle Brugge
Sat, Apr 11, 2026Cercle Brugge3-0La Louvière
Sun, Mar 15, 2026Cercle Brugge1-3La Louvière
Sun, Nov 2, 2025La Louvière2-1Cercle Brugge
Fri, Feb 10, 2006Cercle Brugge1-0La Louvière

La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?

PredictNext's AI model favours La Louvière (also known as La Louviere) with a 43% win probability — La Louvière 43%, draw 25%, Cercle Brugge 32%.

What is the predicted score for La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge, generated with 55% model confidence.

Will La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for under 2.5 goals in La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge.

How accurate was the La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 4-1. The winner call was correct.

More Pro League AI Predictions