Lanús 1–0 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 26 July 2026

Result Summary

Lanús claimed all three points at home with a narrow but thoroughly deserved 1–0 victory over San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Yoshan Stiven Valois Murillo proved to be the difference-maker, converting a 65th-minute right-foot effort — assisted by substitute Dylan Aquino — to settle a contest that the statistics suggest the hosts controlled for long stretches.

Match Analysis

Mauricio Pellegrino's side produced a performance that was reflected emphatically in the numbers. Lanús registered 23 total shots to San Lorenzo's 13, with 10 on target compared to just 5 for Néstor Gorosito's visitors. The corner count told a similar story: 8 corners for Lanús against just 2 for San Lorenzo. Perhaps most telling of all, Lanús generated 53 dangerous attacks throughout the match, nearly three times San Lorenzo's tally of 19 — a statistic that underlines how thoroughly the home side dominated the threat-creating phases of the game despite the possession being split exactly evenly at 50% each.

The match's decisive moment arrived in the 65th minute, shortly after a double substitution by Pellegrino that appeared to shift the game's dynamic. Aquino had only been on the pitch for roughly two minutes when he provided the assist for Valois Murillo, who finished with his right foot to break the deadlock. Aquino and Eduardo Antonio Salvio had both entered in the 62nd–63rd minute window, replacing Ramiro Carrera and Lucas Besozzi respectively, and their impact was immediate.

San Lorenzo's afternoon was further complicated by a VAR decision at the 45+1' mark involving Alejo Maximiliano Córdoba, a moment that brought additional scrutiny to the visitors' first half. The disciplinary picture was also notable: Gorosito's side picked up yellow cards for Ezequiel Herrera (19'), Franco Lorenzón (45+5'), and substitute Ignacio Perruzzi Ambrosini (90+4'), reflecting a degree of frustration that built as the match progressed. Lanús were not without their own discipline issues — Carrera, Felipe Peña Biafore, and Diego Agustín Medina all received bookings — but they held their shape when it mattered most.

San Lorenzo's double substitution at the interval, bringing on Mauricio Cardillo and Perruzzi Ambrosini, signalled Gorosito's intent to reshape his side, but the changes did little to shift the balance of dangerous play. The visitors' 19 key passes to Lanús's 8 gap is particularly stark, underlining just how little San Lorenzo could consistently threaten Lanús's goal in the second half. Both sides completed passes at a similar rate — 81% for Lanús, 78% for San Lorenzo — but Lanús converted that possession into far more meaningful attacking output.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Lanús win at 1–0, with a 48% probability assigned to the home side and a confidence rating of 58/100. The prediction landed correctly on both the result and the scoreline, a satisfying outcome given the competitive nature of these two sides. The stats validated the model's reasoning: Lanús's home advantage and attacking intent were evident throughout, even if the margin remained slim until the final whistle.

Key Takeaways

• Valois Murillo's clinical finish and Aquino's immediate impact off the bench were the pivotal contributions in a tight match.
• Lanús's attacking dominance — 53 dangerous attacks, 10 shots on target, 8 corners — was overwhelming despite level possession.
• San Lorenzo struggled to convert pressure into genuine danger, managing only 19 dangerous attacks all match.
• Pellegrino's timely substitutions proved tactically astute, with the winning goal arriving just minutes after fresh legs were introduced.