Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen | Scottish Premiership | 1 May 2026

A dramatic evening at the Tony Macaroni Arena produced a share of the spoils, with Livingston twice leading only to be pegged back — including through a costly own goal — before Robbie Muirhead's late strike sealed a point apiece in a compelling Premiership contest.

Match Analysis

Aberdeen made the brighter start and were rewarded in the 24th minute, when Mitchel Frame converted with his right foot, finishing off an assist from Dennis Geiger to give Stephen Robinson's side a well-taken lead. The visitors looked comfortable as the half wore on, but the match turned dramatically at the interval.

Marvin Bartley's half-time triple substitution — Barry McKay, Scott Pittman, and Macauley Tait all introduced simultaneously — injected fresh energy into Livingston's play. Within two minutes of the restart, Jon Nouble capitalised, driving home a right-footed effort to level the match in the 47th minute.

The second half then delivered one of the more unusual twists of the season. In the 71st minute, Daniel Finlayson put the ball into his own net, handing Aberdeen a lead that appeared to shift momentum firmly in the visitors' favour. However, Livingston refused to capitulate. Substitute Robbie Muirhead — who had entered the pitch just seven minutes prior — rifled home with his left foot in the 78th minute to make it 2–2 and earn a gutsy point for the home side.

The statistics underline Livingston's dominance in terms of attacking output. They registered 16 total shots to Aberdeen's 7, with 5 on target compared to Aberdeen's 2, and created 12 key passes versus just 4 for the visitors. Livingston also held the edge in dangerous attacks (52 to 44) and corners (6 to 3). Possession was evenly split at 50% each, while pass accuracy was remarkably similar — 75% for Livingston, 73% for Aberdeen. Despite controlling more of the creative phases, Livingston's profligacy meant the match remained tightly contested throughout.

Disciplinary matters were concentrated in the final stages, with Babacar Fati picking up a yellow in the 70th minute, followed by Finlayson in the 81st and Tait in the 90th. Aberdeen's Topi Keskinen also received a booking deep in stoppage time.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–1 draw, with the draw assessed at a 28.5% probability and overall confidence rated at a modest 53/100. While the scoreline ended 2–2 rather than 1–1, the fundamental outcome — a shared result — proved correct, validating the analysis that neither side held a commanding advantage. Notably, our model gave Aberdeen the higher probability of winning (39.4%), which ultimately did not materialise despite Frame's early goal.

Key Takeaways

• Livingston's half-time changes were decisive, with three substitutions transforming their second-half performance and ultimately earning a point.
• Finlayson's own goal was the pivotal, if unfortunate, moment — briefly threatening to undo Livingston's hard work before Muirhead's equaliser restored parity.
• Aberdeen showed efficiency early but could not hold onto their advantage against a Livingston side that outshot them significantly across the 90 minutes.
• The draw keeps this fixture delicately balanced, with both teams demonstrating enough quality to suggest close encounters between these sides will remain the norm.