Lommel SK
Lommel SK
0 vs 1

Pro League · Matchday

2026-08-16 17:15:00 · 01:15

Sporting Charleroi
Sporting Charleroi

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 0-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Lommel SK
LOM
1 - 2
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
55%
Confidence
Low Confidence
28.0%Home
26.0%Draw
46.0%Away
33.0%Home
28.4%Draw
38.6%Away
Sporting Charleroi enter this Pro League fixture as clear favorites against Lommel SK, holding a 44% win probability compared to the home side's 30%, though lineups are still pending which adds uncertainty to the assessment. Charleroi's ability to control midfield and convert on the counter could prove decisive against a Lommel side vulnerable on the road. AI pick: Sporting Charleroi Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
74% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
54% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Lommel SK Sporting Charleroi
38%
0%
0
47%
57%
1
15%
43%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

28%
28%
+0.3%
26%
26%
+0.2%
46%
46%
-0.5%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

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Match Report

Lommel SK 0–1 Sporting Charleroi | Pro League | 16 August 2026

Result Summary

Sporting Charleroi claimed a hard-fought but thoroughly deserved away victory at Lommel SK, with Amine Boukamir's 63rd-minute right-foot strike proving the decisive moment of an otherwise one-sided contest. Coach Mario Kohnen's side move on with three points, while Lee Johnson's Lommel side are left to reflect on a performance that offered little in the way of cutting edge.


Match Analysis

The statistics paint an unambiguous picture of how this game unfolded. Charleroi dominated in virtually every measurable category, registering 23 total shots to Lommel's 8, and crucially converting that pressure into a clean winning margin. The visitors recorded 5 shots on target against Lommel's zero, a staggering disparity that tells the story of a home side unable to truly threaten goalkeeper Martin Delavalée throughout the 90 minutes.

Charleroi's territorial control was equally pronounced. Their 12 corners to Lommel's 2, combined with 81 dangerous attacks against 36, illustrated that Lommel were pinned back for large portions of the match. With 56% ball possession and an 89% successful pass rate, Kohnen's men moved the ball with efficiency and purpose. Their 18 key passes against Lommel's 6 further underscored the quality of attacking intent from the visitors.

For Lommel, the first half was a battle of containment, with Henry Oware and Isaiah Dada-Mascoll making way at half-time for Shawn Adewoye and Juho Talvitie as Johnson sought to reshape his side. The double change injected some energy but did not fundamentally alter the balance of play. When Charleroi's Adama Bojang was withdrawn for Antoine Colassin shortly before the hour mark — coinciding with Lommel's own substitution of Sverre Halseth Nypan for Stredair Appuah — the game entered its most pivotal phase.

It was Boukamir who broke the deadlock in the 63rd minute with a composed right-foot finish, rewarding Charleroi's sustained pressure and giving Johnson's side a mountain to climb. Charleroi then made a triple substitution at 71 minutes — introducing Isaac Ismaël Cissé, Freddy Situmona Mbemba, and Noah Solheid — sensibly managing their lead and maintaining control.

Lommel's frustration boiled over in the 85th minute when Lucas Schoofs collected a yellow card for dissent following an argument. Late introductions of Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri and Z. Vancsa in the dying stages could not alter the outcome, with Lommel managing just 8 fouls across the match, suggesting a side more deflated than combative.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Sporting Charleroi victory, assigned a 46% probability, and projected a 1–2 scoreline. The prediction was correct in identifying the away side as favourites, and the actual 0–1 result closely aligned with the projected winning margin — though the exact scoreline differed slightly. With a confidence rating of 55/100, this was always considered a moderate-confidence forecast, and the margin of victory vindicated the directional call despite the uncertainty around the exact score.


Key Takeaways

  • Charleroi were dominant across every statistical category, underlining their quality advantage at this stage of the season.
  • Lommel's lack of shots on target is a serious concern for Lee Johnson — a total of zero is extremely difficult to build points from.
  • Boukamir's clinical finish was the difference, but the underlying numbers suggest the result could comfortably have been more emphatic.
  • Charleroi's depth from the bench — six substitutes deployed across the match — demonstrated squad quality and tactical flexibility.

Lommel SK vs Sporting Charleroi — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Lommel SK vs Sporting Charleroi?

PredictNext's AI model favours Sporting Charleroi with a 46% win probability — Lommel SK 28%, draw 26%, Sporting Charleroi 46%.

What is the predicted score for Lommel SK vs Sporting Charleroi?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Lommel SK vs Sporting Charleroi, generated with 55% model confidence.

Will Lommel SK vs Sporting Charleroi have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Lommel SK vs Sporting Charleroi.

How accurate was the Lommel SK vs Sporting Charleroi prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 0-1. The winner call was correct.

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