Mathare United
Mathare United
0 vs 0

Premier League · Matchday

2026-09-19 12:00:00 · 20:00 · Police Sacco Stadium

APS Bomet
APS Bomet

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 0-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Mathare United
MAT
1 - 1
APS Bomet
APS
35%
Confidence
Unpredictable
34.0%Home
30.0%Draw
36.0%Away
35.9%Home
30.1%Draw
34.0%Away
**Mathare United** hold a narrow home advantage over **APS Bomet**, though probabilities are remarkably tight across all three outcomes. The key factor will be whether **Mathare United** can exploit home familiarity to control midfield tempo and limit **APS Bomet's** counter-attacking threat. With confidence low, this is a highly unpredictable contest — but our model sides with the hosts. AI pick: Mathare United Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
70% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
68% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Mathare United APS Bomet
37%
21%
0
49%
63%
1
14%
16%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

34%
36%
-1.9%
30%
30%
-0.1%
36%
34%
+2.0%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI Contrarian Pick: Away Win

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Match Report

Mathare United 0-0 APS Bomet | Kenya Premier League | 19 September 2026

Result Summary

A hard-fought stalemate at Mathare United's ground produced a goalless draw, with neither side able to find the breakthrough despite a reasonably competitive 90 minutes. The point is shared, though Mathare United will likely feel the more frustrated of the two given their statistical dominance throughout the contest.


Match Analysis

Mathare United controlled large portions of this game, finishing with 51% ball possession and generating 126 total attacks compared to APS Bomet's 103. More tellingly, their 78 dangerous attacks to Bomet's 65 underlines that the hosts were not merely recycling possession idly — they were consistently probing and creating threatening situations in the final third.

The corner count told a similar story. Mathare earned seven corners to APS Bomet's two, a significant disparity that reflects how persistently they pushed play into wide and advanced areas. Yet, for all that territorial pressure, the goals simply did not arrive.

With 4 shots on target versus APS Bomet's 1, Mathare United came closer on paper, but the visitors' defensive resilience — marshalled under coach Charles Odero Okumu — held firm. Bomet's backline absorbed the pressure effectively, limiting Mathare to shots that, while on target, ultimately failed to test the goalkeeper sufficiently to yield a goal.

The disciplinary record was relatively clean but not without incident. A yellow card in the 37th minute for Mathare United interrupted their attacking rhythm at a key point in the first half, while APS Bomet received their booking in the 63rd minute as the visitors looked to protect the goalless scoreline during a potentially dangerous second-half phase. Both sides finished with a modest foul count — 12 for Mathare and 13 for Bomet — suggesting a competitive but not overly physical encounter.

Both teams were equally culpable in attack, each registering 4 shots off target, and the offsides tally was perfectly level at 4 apiece, hinting at similarly aggressive — if sometimes mistimed — forward runs from both camps.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1-1 draw, with the probability of a drawn outcome set at 30%. Despite the scoreline differing from the exact goals prediction, the draw outcome was correctly identified, representing a successful directional forecast. That said, with a confidence rating of just 35/100, this was always acknowledged as an uncertain match — and the tight, cagey nature of the game vindicated that measured caution.

The relatively even possession split (51-49) aligned with our expectation of a closely contested fixture. However, the absence of goals — despite Mathare's attacking superiority on several metrics — reflected the unpredictability that kept our confidence low.


Key Takeaways

  • Mathare United dominated territory and attacking play but lacked the clinical edge needed to convert pressure into goals.
  • APS Bomet showed strong defensive organisation under Charles Odero Okumu, earning a resilient point away from home.
  • The match was largely disciplined, with only a yellow card each in the first and second halves.
  • A draw was the correct directional prediction, though the goalless nature of the match was harder to forecast given both teams' attacking intent.
  • Both clubs will look to build on this point as the Premier League season progresses.

Mathare United vs APS Bomet Head-to-Head

Last 2 meetings between Mathare United and APS Bomet: Mathare United 0W · 1D · APS Bomet 1W.

0

1

1

Sun, May 10, 2026Mathare United0-2APS Bomet
Sun, Nov 9, 2025APS Bomet1-1Mathare United

Mathare United vs APS Bomet — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Mathare United vs APS Bomet?

PredictNext's AI model favours APS Bomet with a 36% win probability — Mathare United 34%, draw 30%, APS Bomet 36%.

What is the predicted score for Mathare United vs APS Bomet?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Mathare United vs APS Bomet, generated with 35% model confidence.

Will Mathare United vs APS Bomet have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for under 2.5 goals in Mathare United vs APS Bomet.

How accurate was the Mathare United vs APS Bomet prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 0-0. The winner call was incorrect.

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