Eliteserien · Matchday
2026-07-18 14:00:00 · 22:00 · Aker Stadion
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 1-2
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 2.20 | 3.80 | 3.00 | +3.4% | -8.8% | -13.0% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 2.18 | 4.14 | 3.00 | +2.5% | -0.6% | -13.0% |
| 1xbet | 2.10 | 3.83 | 3.18 | -1.3% | -8.1% | -7.8% |
| WilliamHill | 2.10 | 3.70 | 2.90 | -1.3% | -11.2% | -15.9% |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.80 | 2.80 | -3.7% | -8.8% | -18.8% |
| bwin | 2.10 | 3.80 | 2.95 | -1.3% | -8.8% | -14.4% |
| Unibet | 2.02 | 4.00 | 3.00 | -5.1% | -4.0% | -13.0% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.05 | 3.60 | 2.80 | -3.7% | -13.6% | -18.8% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 2.14 | 3.82 | 2.91 | +0.6% | -8.3% | -15.6% |
| MansionBet | 2.12 | 3.80 | 3.20 | -0.4% | -8.8% | -7.2% |
| Macauslot | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.70 | -1.3% | -13.6% | -21.7% |
| Coral | 2.05 | 3.60 | 2.80 | -3.7% | -13.6% | -18.8% |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.75 | 2.90 | -3.7% | -10.0% | -15.9% |
| Sbo | 2.12 | 3.70 | 2.87 | -0.4% | -11.2% | -16.8% |
| DafabetVALUE | 2.15 | 3.90 | 3.05 | +1.0% | -6.4% | -11.6% |
| Cashpoint | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.04 | -3.7% | -8.8% | -11.8% |
| MelBet | 2.12 | 3.79 | 3.15 | -0.4% | -9.0% | -8.7% |
| CloudBetVALUE | 2.16 | 4.10 | 2.95 | +1.5% | -1.6% | -14.4% |
| InterwettenVALUE | 2.15 | 3.80 | 2.95 | +1.0% | -8.8% | -14.4% |
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 3.90 | 3.00 | -1.3% | -6.4% | -13.0% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Brann Claim Valuable Away Victory at Molde
Brann produced a disciplined and clinical performance at Aker Stadion on Saturday, defeating Molde 2-1 in Eliteserien action to secure three important away points. Despite Molde dominating large portions of the match in terms of attacking volume, Eirik Horneland's side proved far more efficient in front of goal, punishing the hosts twice in the first half before holding firm through a nervy finale.
Match Analysis
Brann set the tone remarkably early. Denzel De Roeve broke the deadlock in just the 8th minute, converting a right-foot shot after being set up by Joachim Soltvedt, immediately putting Molde on the back foot. Sindre Tjelmeland's side struggled to respond, and their afternoon worsened significantly when Kristian Eriksen doubled the lead in the 35th minute, finishing from a right-foot shot assisted by Ulrik Mathisen. Two goals from two shots on target in the opening half told the story of Brann's ruthless efficiency.
The statistics paint a telling picture of how the afternoon unfolded. Molde generated 15 total shots to Brann's 8, posted 121 attacks against Brann's 105, and held a 9-6 edge in key passes — yet managed just 2 shots on target, identical to Brann's tally. With 9 shots off target, Molde's attacking play lacked the precision needed to consistently trouble Mathias Lønne Dyngeland. Brann, meanwhile, held 53% possession and were content to play on the counter, making their opportunities count when they arrived.
Molde's frustration was evident in their disciplinary record. Four yellow cards were distributed to Molde players — Samukelo Kabini (20'), Mathias Fjörtoft Lövik (45+2'), Sivert Sira Hansen (78'), and Viktor Bender Larsen (83') — reflecting both their desperation and recurring indiscipline. Kristian Eriksen collected Brann's sole booking in the 54th minute.
Tjelmeland made bold halftime changes, introducing Seydina Mohamed Diop and Birk Risa, and it was Diop who provided the late consolation in the 88th minute, converting a right-foot shot assisted by Emil Breivik. It was too little, too late for the hosts, though it ensured a tense closing period. Brann's triple substitution at the 63rd minute — bringing on Niklas Castro, Vetle Winger Dragsnes, and Jakob Lungi Sørensen — reflected Horneland's pragmatic approach to managing the result.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a Molde home win at 2-1, backed by a 47% home win probability and a confidence level of 61/100. That prediction proved incorrect. While the scoreline of 2-1 was accurately forecast, we misjudged the direction of the result. The underlying statistics — Molde's higher shot volume and attack count — superficially supported a home win scenario, but Brann's superior clinical edge and composure in possession told a different story. This serves as a reminder that efficiency often outweighs volume, particularly in away performances built on counter-attacking structure.
Key Takeaways
- Brann's clinical finishing was the decisive factor — two goals from limited first-half opportunities proved enough to secure the points.
- Molde's wastefulness in front of goal was costly; 15 shots yielding just one goal reflects a significant conversion problem.
- Molde's four yellow cards highlight a disciplinary concern that coach Tjelmeland will need to address.
- Brann move away from Aker Stadion with a morale-boosting win, while Molde will reflect on missed chances and a defensive vulnerability in the opening 35 minutes.
Molde vs Brann Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Molde and Brann: Molde 22W · 4D · Brann 10W.
22
Molde wins
4
Draws
10
Brann wins
Molde vs Brann — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Molde vs Brann?
PredictNext's AI model favours Molde with a 47% win probability — Molde 47%, draw 24%, Brann 29%.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Brann?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Molde vs Brann, generated with 61% model confidence.
Will Molde vs Brann have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in Molde vs Brann.
How accurate was the Molde vs Brann prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was incorrect.