Eliteserien · Matchday
2026-05-30 14:00:00 · 22:00 · Aker Stadion
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 2-1
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 | 4.20 | 4.75 | -7.4% | -7.6% | -2.6% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 1.64 | 4.39 | 5.03 | -5.7% | -3.4% | +3.1% |
| 1xbet | 1.63 | 4.40 | 4.86 | -6.3% | -3.2% | -0.4% |
| WilliamHill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.60 | -6.9% | -12.0% | -5.7% |
| BetfairVALUE | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 | -9.7% | -7.6% | +2.5% |
| bwin | 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.75 | -8.0% | -7.6% | -2.6% |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 4.10 | 4.75 | -8.0% | -9.8% | -2.6% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.40 | -9.7% | -14.2% | -9.8% |
| CloudBetVALUE | 1.62 | 4.35 | 5.00 | -6.9% | -4.3% | +2.5% |
| MansionBetVALUE | 1.60 | 4.35 | 5.10 | -8.0% | -4.3% | +4.5% |
| Interwetten | 1.63 | 4.20 | 4.80 | -6.3% | -7.6% | -1.6% |
| Coral | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.40 | -9.7% | -14.2% | -9.8% |
| Macauslot | 1.53 | 4.20 | 4.30 | -12.0% | -7.6% | -11.9% |
| 10Bet | 1.60 | 4.33 | 4.75 | -8.0% | -4.7% | -2.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.10 | 4.60 | -9.7% | -9.8% | -5.7% |
| 888Sport | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.75 | -8.0% | -12.0% | -2.6% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.62 | 4.40 | 5.00 | -6.9% | -3.2% | +2.5% |
| Cashpoint | 1.57 | 4.35 | 4.69 | -9.7% | -4.3% | -3.9% |
| MelBet | 1.62 | 4.36 | 4.82 | -6.9% | -4.1% | -1.2% |
| Sbo | 1.60 | 4.12 | 4.66 | -8.0% | -9.4% | -4.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 4.30 | 4.75 | -8.6% | -5.4% | -2.6% |
Polymarket Odds
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Match Report
Molde 2–1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien | 30 May 2026
Result Summary
Molde secured a hard-fought three points at home, defeating Sandefjord 2–1 in a competitive Eliteserien fixture. Fredrik Gulbrandsen struck early to set the tone, Eirik Hestad doubled the advantage after the break, and although Sebastian Holm Mathisen pulled one back deep into stoppage time, Martin Falk's side held on for a deserved victory.
Match Analysis
Molde wasted little time asserting themselves. Just six minutes in, Fredrik Gulbrandsen converted from the right with an assist from Emil Breivik, giving the home side an ideal platform. The early goal allowed Molde to settle into their rhythm, and the statistics reflect a largely balanced contest — 51% possession for Molde versus 49% for Sandefjord — though the home side were more clinical when it mattered.
Sandefjord actually generated more attacking volume throughout the match, recording 104 attacks to Molde's 91 and 14 key passes compared to Molde's 7, suggesting Andreas Tegström's side were not without ambition. However, their finishing proved wasteful: 14 shots off target out of 16 total compared to Molde's more efficient 5 shots on target from 14 attempts underlines where the visitors fell short.
Eirik Hestad extended Molde's lead on 57 minutes with a composed left-foot finish, capitalising on the hosts' clinical edge in front of goal. The two-goal cushion seemed to prompt a wave of changes from both benches — Molde made three substitutions between the 70th and 71st minute, with Igor Fabian Gosik, Oskar Spiten-Nysæter, and Caleb Zady Sery all introduced, while Sandefjord had already made a triple change at the 65-minute mark, bringing on Foster Apetorgbor, Bendik Slotfeldt Berntsen, and Sebastian Holm Mathisen.
It was one of those substitutes who made the game nervy late on. Mathisen, assisted by the energetic Apetorgbor, headed home in the 89th minute to set up a tense conclusion. A flurry of yellow cards followed — Jakob Vester Nielsen (66'), Foster Apetorgbor (90+3'), Isak Helstad Amundsen (90+4'), and Elias Hadaya (90+6') were all booked as temperatures rose. A VAR decision involving Vebjørn Hoff in the 90+9th minute added further drama, though Molde ultimately saw out the result.
The 10 corners earned by Sandefjord versus Molde's 6 further illustrates the visitors' pressure in the final stages, but their inability to convert quality into goals earlier in the game proved decisive.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–1 Molde victory, with the home side given a 57.5% probability of winning. That prediction landed correctly, and the scoreline was an exact match — a strong result for our model with a confidence rating of 62/100. The forecast correctly identified Molde's home advantage and Sandefjord's tendency to stay competitive without consistently converting chances. The late Sandefjord goal added the expected tension but didn't alter the outcome, aligning well with the projected margins.
Key Takeaways
- Gulbrandsen's early goal was decisive in shaping the game's narrative, allowing Molde to play with composure.
- Sandefjord created more volume but lacked efficiency — a costly imbalance.
- Hestad's second-half goal was the result of clinical finishing at the right moment before he was substituted off just 14 minutes later.
- The VAR incident involving Hoff in added time added late drama without changing the outcome.
- Molde's three-goal period of control between the 57th and 88th minute proved the match-winning window.
Molde vs Sandefjord Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Molde and Sandefjord: Molde 11W · 5D · Sandefjord 9W.
11
Molde wins
5
Draws
9
Sandefjord wins
Molde vs Sandefjord — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Molde vs Sandefjord?
PredictNext's AI model favours Molde with a 57% win probability — Molde 57%, draw 22%, Sandefjord 21%.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Sandefjord?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Molde vs Sandefjord, generated with 62% model confidence.
Will Molde vs Sandefjord have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Molde vs Sandefjord.
How accurate was the Molde vs Sandefjord prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 2-1. The winner call was correct.