Molde
Molde
6 vs 1

Eliteserien · Matchday

2026-10-18 15:00:00 · 23:00 · Aker Stadion

Start
Start

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 6-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Molde
MOL
2 - 1
Start
IKS
69%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
68.0%Home
18.0%Draw
14.0%Away
70.3%Home
16.7%Draw
13.0%Away
Molde enter as clear favorites at home, backed by a dominant 67% win probability against a Start side that has struggled on the road this season. The key battleground will be Molde's creative midfield control against Start's defensive shape, where any early breakthrough could prove decisive. AI pick: Molde Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredMOL or Draw
86% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
56% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
56% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreOskar Spiten-NysaeterAlso: Igor Gosik, Seydina Diop

Goal Probability

MOL IKS
0%
52%
0
16%
48%
1
52%
0%
2
31%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

68%
71%
-2.6%
18%
17%
+1.1%
14%
12%
+1.5%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3651.335.257.00-9.6%-5.5%-2.0%
PinnacleVALUE1.325.737.59-10.2%+3.1%+6.3%
1xbetVALUE1.345.687.95-8.9%+2.2%+11.3%
WilliamHill1.335.007.00-9.6%-10.0%-2.0%
BetfairVALUE1.295.508.00-12.3%-1.0%+12.0%
bwinVALUE1.335.507.25-9.6%-1.0%+1.5%
Ladbrokes1.305.256.50-11.6%-5.5%-9.0%
MacauslotVALUE1.206.008.10-18.4%+8.0%+13.4%
Sbo1.294.946.09-12.3%-11.1%-14.7%
Coral1.305.256.50-11.6%-5.5%-9.0%
DafabetVALUE1.326.007.80-10.2%+8.0%+9.2%
MelBetVALUE1.335.657.90-9.6%+1.7%+10.6%
MansionBetVALUE1.325.507.40-10.2%-1.0%+3.6%
BetVictorVALUE1.295.258.00-12.3%-5.5%+12.0%
MarathonbetVALUE1.315.507.70-10.9%-1.0%+7.8%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Molde Demolish Start in Six-Goal Eliteserien Rout

Molde 6–1 Start | Eliteserien | 18 October 2026


Result Summary

Molde delivered a commanding performance at home, dismantling Start 6–1 in what proved to be one of the more emphatic results of the Eliteserien season. Sander Hestetun Kilen was the standout performer, completing a hat-trick, while the scoreline reflected near-total home dominance across the ninety minutes. For Start and coach Azar Karadas, it was a humbling afternoon that offered precious few positives.


Match Analysis

Molde, marshalled by coach Sindre Tjelmeland, controlled this contest from the outset. With 69% ball possession, an 89% successful pass rate, and 128 attacks compared to Start's 69, the statistics tell the story of a side that suffocated their visitors at every turn.

The opening goal arrived on 29 minutes when Sander Hestetun Kilen converted with a right-foot finish, assisted by Caleb Zady Sery. Molde looked comfortable going into the break, though Start had shown enough industry — evidenced by their six corners and ten fouls — to suggest they would not simply fold.

The second half began with real intrigue. A VAR review involving Nicolas Koutsakos at 52 minutes momentarily halted momentum, and just two minutes later Start pulled level through John Olav Norheim, finishing from the left foot after being set up by M. Ugland. For a brief moment, the match was finely poised at 1–1.

Molde's response, however, was immediate and brutal. Within two minutes, Caleb Zady Sery restored the lead on 56 minutes, with Sander Kilen returning the earlier assist favour. From that point, Start had no answer. Kilen struck again on 65 minutes — this time from the left foot, assisted by Emil Breivik — before completing his hat-trick on 76 minutes with another left-footed finish. Breivik then got on the scoresheet himself on 79 minutes, converting a right-foot effort set up by substitute Niklas Ødegård, who had entered the field just twelve minutes earlier. Molde's 12 shots on target from 21 total underscored their clinical efficiency, while Start managed only 3 on target across the entire match.

Disciplinary matters were largely minor. Start's Santino Samuyiwa and Erlend Segberg picked up first-half yellows for fouls, while Molde's Fredrik Kristensen Dahl was booked for an argument at 53 minutes and Eirik Haugan was cautioned on 72 minutes. No red cards were issued.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Molde 2–1 victory, giving the home side a 68% probability of winning — a figure that reflected genuine confidence in Molde's quality at home. The predicted winner proved correct, though the scale of the victory far exceeded the conservative 2–1 scoreline we anticipated. The match statistics validated the directional confidence in Molde's superiority, but the sheer volume of goals — and Start's inability to defend after briefly equalising — surpassed our model's expectations. A correct prediction, but one that significantly underestimated the margin.


Key Takeaways

  • Kilen's hat-trick was the defining storyline, with the forward proving lethal across both feet and in multiple phases of the game.
  • Start's brief equaliser was an illusion — Molde's response within two minutes demonstrated the gulf in quality between the sides.
  • The statistics were overwhelming: 96 dangerous attacks to 24, and a passing accuracy advantage of 14 percentage points.
  • Molde's depth showed: six substitutes were used with the result already secured, and substitute Niklas Ødegård still contributed an assist.
  • For Start, a sobering afternoon raises serious questions heading into their remaining fixtures.

Molde vs Start Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Molde and Start: Molde 10W · 8D · Start 5W.

10

8

5

Sun, Apr 19, 2026Start1-1Molde
Wed, Aug 5, 2020Molde5-0Start
Wed, Jun 24, 2020Start2-3Molde
Mon, Oct 29, 2018Start1-3Molde
Sun, May 27, 2018Molde3-1Start

Molde vs Start — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Molde vs Start?

PredictNext's AI model favours Molde with a 68% win probability — Molde 68%, draw 18%, Start 14%.

What is the predicted score for Molde vs Start?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Molde vs Start, generated with 69% model confidence.

Will Molde vs Start have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for under 2.5 goals in Molde vs Start.

How accurate was the Molde vs Start prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 6-1. The winner call was correct.

More Eliteserien AI Predictions