NEOM SC
NEOM SC
4 vs 2

Pro League · Matchday

2026-09-13 16:20:00 · 00:20

Al Fateh
Al Fateh

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 4-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

NEOM SC
NEO
2 - 1
Al Fateh
AL
57%
Confidence
Low Confidence
52.0%Home
24.0%Draw
24.0%Away
51.9%Home
23.9%Draw
24.2%Away
NEOM SC enter this Pro League clash as narrow favorites, bolstered by Al Fateh missing key absences in M. Saadane and M. Benrahma through injury, disrupting their attacking options. The decisive factor will be NEOM's ability to exploit those depleted wide areas and control midfield transitions. AI pick: NEOM SC Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
76% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
62% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
68% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

NEOM SC Al Fateh
0%
43%
0
41%
57%
1
46%
0%
2
13%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

52%
52%
+0.1%
24%
24%
+0.1%
24%
24%
-0.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

NEOM SC 4–2 Al Fateh | Pro League | 13 September 2026

Result Summary

NEOM SC delivered a commanding home performance to defeat Al Fateh 4–2 in the Saudi Pro League, with the hosts overturning a half-time deficit to run out convincing winners. Despite going behind and enduring a turbulent first half — including finishing the opening period with ten men following a red card in injury time — Christophe Galtier's side showed remarkable resilience and quality to claim all three points.

Match Analysis

The opening 45 minutes were anything but straightforward for NEOM SC. Murad Batna broke the deadlock on 41 minutes with a free kick, giving Al Fateh a deserved lead heading into the break. The closing stages of the half were particularly chaotic: Amadou Koné picked up a yellow card on 39 minutes, and the situation deteriorated further when NEOM SC received two yellow cards in stoppage time (45+5' and 45+6'), with the second resulting in a red card following an argument, leaving the home side a man down at the interval.

Yet what followed was a stunning second-half response. Amadou Koné — who had walked a disciplinary tightrope in the first half — atoned brilliantly just six minutes after the restart, converting a left-foot shot on 51 minutes after a fine assist from Muhanad Al-Saad. Al Fateh momentarily restored their advantage through Wilfried Kanga's right-foot finish on 64 minutes, but NEOM SC refused to buckle.

Alexandre Lacazette drew the hosts level on 70 minutes, finishing with his left foot from an Islam Hawsawi assist — a crucial moment that swung momentum decisively. The winner came through substitute Valentín Vada, who arrived off the bench on 75 minutes and needed just four minutes to make his mark, converting on 79 minutes with a left-foot effort assisted by fellow substitute Mohannad Abu Taha. A fourth goal was added to seal a remarkable victory.

The statistics underline NEOM SC's dominance, particularly in the second half. The hosts controlled 63% of possession, registered 21 total shots to Al Fateh's 13, and generated 60 dangerous attacks compared to 35 from the visitors. 14 key passes to Al Fateh's 6 further highlights how effectively NEOM SC constructed their play, with a 91% successful pass rate emphasising the technical quality Galtier's side brought. The 11 corners to 3 in NEOM SC's favour also reflects their sustained territorial pressure throughout.

Al Fateh were far from passive — their 7 shots on target actually exceeded NEOM SC's 6 — but a lack of clinical composure in the decisive moments, combined with NEOM SC's superior depth off the bench, proved the difference. Al Fateh coach Khaled Fahad Al-Atwi made four substitutions on 81 minutes in an attempt to find a route back, but the match was beyond them by that stage.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis forecast a 2–1 NEOM SC victory with a 52% probability of a home win — a prediction that proved correct in outcome, even if the final scoreline of 4–2 exceeded expectations. The confidence rating of 57/100 reflected genuine uncertainty, particularly given Al Fateh's attacking capabilities, and those concerns were validated as the visitors scored twice. However, NEOM SC's underlying quality and home advantage ultimately prevailed as anticipated.

Key Takeaways

  • Galtier's substitutions were decisive: Vada and Abu Taha both contributed directly to the winning goal within minutes of entering the pitch.
  • Koné's second-half redemption — scoring after his first-half booking — was a pivotal moment in NEOM SC's comeback.
  • Playing with ten men for the second half did not derail NEOM SC, a testament to the squad's mental strength and technical quality.
  • Lacazette's coolness under pressure on 70 minutes proved the turning point in a closely contested game.

NEOM SC vs Al Fateh — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win NEOM SC vs Al Fateh?

PredictNext's AI model favours NEOM SC with a 52% win probability — NEOM SC 52%, draw 24%, Al Fateh 24%.

What is the predicted score for NEOM SC vs Al Fateh?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for NEOM SC vs Al Fateh, generated with 57% model confidence.

Will NEOM SC vs Al Fateh have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in NEOM SC vs Al Fateh.

How accurate was the NEOM SC vs Al Fateh prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 4-2. The winner call was correct.

More Pro League AI Predictions