Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais
3 vs 1

Ligue 1 · Matchday

2026-09-04 17:00:00 · 01:00 · Groupama Stadium

Auxerre
Auxerre

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 3-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
2 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
59%
Confidence
Low Confidence
60.0%Home
22.0%Draw
18.0%Away
61.1%Home
22.1%Draw
16.8%Away
Olympique Lyonnais enter as favorites at home, boosted by a key player returning to contention, while Auxerre face a notable midfield blow with A. Dioussé El Hadji ruled out through a cruciate ligament tear. Lyon's home dominance and Auxerre's depleted engine room make the central midfield battle decisive. AI pick: Olympique Lyonnais Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredLYO or Draw
82% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
55% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreLois OpendaAlso: Pavel Sulc, Malick Fofana

Goal Probability

LYO AUX
0%
50%
0
40%
50%
1
47%
0%
2
13%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

60%
62%
-1.7%
22%
22%
+0.0%
18%
16%
+1.6%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3651.504.205.50-10.0%-7.6%-1.0%
PinnacleVALUE1.544.476.09-7.6%-1.7%+9.6%
1xbetVALUE1.584.536.25-5.2%-0.3%+12.5%
WilliamHill1.534.005.50-8.2%-12.0%-1.0%
BetfairVALUE1.534.506.00-8.2%-1.0%+8.0%
bwin1.554.335.50-7.0%-4.7%-1.0%
UnibetVALUE1.494.256.10-10.6%-6.5%+9.8%
Ladbrokes1.554.335.50-7.0%-4.7%-1.0%
MansionBet1.534.205.30-8.2%-7.6%-4.6%
Sbo1.463.915.32-12.4%-14.0%-4.2%
CloudBetVALUE1.524.406.00-8.8%-3.2%+8.0%
10Bet1.544.205.50-7.6%-7.6%-1.0%
MelBetVALUE1.524.366.00-8.8%-4.1%+8.0%
Coral1.554.335.50-7.0%-4.7%-1.0%
BetVictorVALUE1.504.005.75-10.0%-12.0%+3.5%
DafabetVALUE1.544.506.00-7.6%-1.0%+8.0%
MarathonbetVALUE1.554.456.15-7.0%-2.1%+10.7%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Olympique Lyonnais 3–1 Auxerre | Ligue 1 Post-Match Analysis

September 4, 2026 | Groupama Stadium

Result Summary

Olympique Lyonnais delivered a commanding home performance to dispatch Auxerre 3–1 in Ligue 1, with goals from Felix Bacher, Zachary Athekame, and Ernest Nuamah securing all three points. Cameron Archer's 42nd-minute strike offered a brief glimmer of hope for William Still's side, but Paulo Fonseca's men proved far too strong over the course of 90 minutes.


Match Analysis

Lyon were dominant from the outset, and the statistics underline just how thoroughly they controlled proceedings. 64% ball possession, 21 total shots compared to Auxerre's 8, and an 86% successful passing rate painted the picture of a side operating with considerable confidence and structure at home.

The opening exchanges were not without incident, however. VAR interventions in the 18th and 22nd minutes — involving Loïs Openda and Cameron Archer respectively — disrupted early momentum, but Lyon quickly found their rhythm thereafter. A yellow card for Auxerre's Arthur Piedfort in the 26th minute for a foul set a combative tone, and within minutes Lyon had struck twice.

Felix Bacher opened the scoring in the 28th minute with a clinical header, assisted by the lively Ernest Nuamah, and just three minutes later Zachary Athekame doubled the advantage with a composed right-foot finish, set up by Loïs Openda. Lyon's front line was devastatingly efficient in that first-half spell, exploiting space and quality in equal measure.

Auxerre responded with some character. Cameron Archer pulled one back three minutes before half-time with a left-foot shot, keeping the visitors in contention heading into the break and reflecting their 55 dangerous attacks — a figure that actually exceeded Lyon's 42 — suggesting they were capable of causing problems on the counter.

Any hopes of an Auxerre comeback were extinguished early in the second half, however. Ernest Nuamah — who had assisted the opener — turned scorer himself in the 53rd minute, finishing with his left foot from a Pavel Sulc assist to restore Lyon's two-goal cushion and effectively seal the contest.

William Still responded with a triple substitution in the 66th minute, introducing Pierre Ekwah Elimby, Rayan Edwards Kwedi Mandengue, and Aristide Zossou, but the game's narrative had already been written. Fonseca rotated similarly in the closing stages, bringing on Kaïl Boudache, Khalis Merah, Tanner Tessmann, Ruben Kluivert, and Noah Teye Nartey as Lyon managed the result comfortably. Yellow cards for Bacher (62') and Tyler Morton (77') were minor blemishes on an otherwise controlled second-half display.

Lyon's 16 key passes to Auxerre's 6 illustrated the creative gulf between the two sides, while 9 corners to 5 reflected Lyon's sustained territorial dominance.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–0 Lyon win, with a 60% probability assigned to a home victory. The outcome — a Lyon win — was correctly predicted, making this a successful forecast, albeit with the final scoreline slightly exceeding expectations at 3–1. The confidence rating of 59/100 was well-calibrated; Lyon were clear favourites but Auxerre's goal demonstrated that the visitors were not without threat.


Key Takeaways

  • Nuamah was Lyon's standout contributor, directly involved in two of the three goals with an assist and a finish.
  • Lyon's first-half blitz between the 28th and 31st minutes proved decisive — clinical execution at a crucial phase of the match.
  • Auxerre's 55 dangerous attacks suggest they are not without ambition, but their inability to convert more than one chance was ultimately their undoing.
  • Paulo Fonseca's side look well-equipped for a strong Ligue

Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Olympique Lyonnais and Auxerre: Olympique Lyonnais 11W · 6D · Auxerre 3W.

11

6

3

Sat, Apr 25, 2026Olympique Lyonnais3-2Auxerre
Sun, Nov 23, 2025Auxerre0-0Olympique Lyonnais
Sun, Apr 13, 2025Auxerre1-3Olympique Lyonnais
Sun, Oct 27, 2024Olympique Lyonnais2-2Auxerre
Fri, Feb 17, 2023Auxerre2-1Olympique Lyonnais

Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre?

PredictNext's AI model favours Olympique Lyonnais with a 60% win probability — Olympique Lyonnais 60%, draw 22%, Auxerre 18%.

What is the predicted score for Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre, generated with 59% model confidence.

Will Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for under 2.5 goals in Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre.

How accurate was the Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 3-1. The winner call was correct.

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