Serie A · Matchday
2026-10-24 21:30:00 · 05:30 · Allianz Parque
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 2-0
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 1.53 | 4.10 | 6.25 | -9.7% | -5.7% | +12.5% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 1.56 | 4.26 | 6.31 | -8.0% | -2.0% | +13.6% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.55 | 4.16 | 6.34 | -8.6% | -4.3% | +14.1% |
| WilliamHillVALUE | 1.50 | 3.90 | 6.00 | -11.5% | -10.3% | +8.0% |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.50 | -15.0% | -3.4% | -1.0% |
| bwinVALUE | 1.17 | 5.50 | 17.50 | -31.0% | +26.5% | +215.0% |
| UnibetVALUE | 1.16 | 6.50 | 17.00 | -31.6% | +49.5% | +206.0% |
| LadbrokesVALUE | 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.75 | -9.7% | -0.4% | +3.5% |
| CoralVALUE | 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.75 | -9.7% | -0.4% | +3.5% |
| Macauslot | 1.43 | 4.25 | 5.30 | -15.6% | -2.2% | -4.6% |
| BetVictorVALUE | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.00 | -11.5% | -3.4% | +8.0% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.56 | 4.40 | 5.80 | -8.0% | +1.2% | +4.4% |
| MelBetVALUE | 1.20 | 6.00 | 18.00 | -29.2% | +38.0% | +224.0% |
| Sbo | 1.48 | 3.76 | 4.94 | -12.7% | -13.5% | -11.1% |
| MansionBetVALUE | 1.19 | 5.10 | 16.00 | -29.8% | +17.3% | +188.0% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.85 | -11.5% | -3.4% | +5.3% |
| BetssonVALUE | 1.18 | 5.80 | 16.00 | -30.4% | +33.4% | +188.0% |
| CloudBetVALUE | 1.19 | 5.90 | 21.00 | -29.8% | +35.7% | +278.0% |
| InterwettenVALUE | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.75 | -8.6% | -3.4% | +3.5% |
Polymarket Odds
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Match Report
Palmeiras Grind Out Comfortable Win Over Bragantino
Palmeiras 2–0 Bragantino | Série A | 24 October 2026
Result Summary
Palmeiras secured a composed and largely controlled victory over Bragantino at home, with the decisive moments arriving in the final quarter of the match. Agustín Giay's goal in the 77th minute, assisted by substitute José Manuel López, opened the scoring before Palmeiras added a second to seal all three points. Abel Ferreira's side demonstrated a level of attacking intent and sustained pressure that Bragantino's defensive structure ultimately could not withstand.
Match Analysis
For much of the first half, both teams struggled to find a decisive edge despite Palmeiras clearly establishing territorial advantage. Two VAR checks impacted the early rhythm — one involving Ramón Sosa Acosta at the 20th minute and another concerning Gustavo Gómez in first-half stoppage time — contributing to a disjointed opening period. Bragantino goalkeeper Tiago Volpi picked up a yellow card in the 31st minute for an argument, while José María Herrera was also cautioned before the break.
The statistics tell the clearest story of Palmeiras' dominance. Abel Ferreira's side registered 24 total shots to Bragantino's 11, with 7 on target compared to just 2 from the visitors. Palmeiras generated 67 dangerous attacks to Bragantino's 34 and controlled 56% of ball possession, maintaining an 87% successful pass rate throughout. With 17 key passes versus Bragantino's 8, the home side's creative superiority was evident.
Vágner Mancini responded to a difficult opening half with a double substitution at the break, introducing Eduardo Colcenti Antunes and Wallace Yan in place of Isidro Pitta and Herrera. Despite these changes, Bragantino struggled to exert sustained pressure, managing only a single offside — compared to Palmeiras' four — suggesting they rarely threatened in behind.
Palmeiras' own substitutions proved pivotal. José Manuel López came on in the 64th minute for Ramón Sosa, and within 13 minutes had delivered the assist for Giay's opener. Felipe Anderson and Murilo also entered in the 76th minute, injecting fresh energy. Giay's goal was somewhat tempered by the fact he received a yellow card just two minutes later, though by then the match was well in hand.
Bragantino's frustration boiled over in the 81st minute, when Gabriel Girotto Franco and Alix Vinicius both received yellow cards following an argument, effectively ending any realistic hope of a comeback. The second Palmeiras goal then closed out a deserved win.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 Palmeiras home win, with a confidence rating of 62/100 and a 59% probability assigned to a home victory. While the scoreline ultimately exceeded our forecast by one goal, the outcome was correctly predicted — a Palmeiras win was always the likeliest scenario, and the match data supports that assessment. The dominant shot count, territorial control, and disciplinary issues for Bragantino all aligned with the anticipated shape of the contest.
Key Takeaways
- Palmeiras were the superior side in nearly every statistical category, converting sustained pressure into goals in the final quarter.
- Agustín Giay was the standout moment-maker, scoring and earning a yellow card in the same two-minute window.
- Bragantino's second-half discipline was a concern, with three yellow cards conceded after the 79th minute undermining any recovery effort.
- Abel Ferreira's use of the bench — particularly the impact of José Manuel López — proved decisive in unlocking the match.
Palmeiras vs Bragantino Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Palmeiras and Bragantino: Palmeiras 9W · 3D · Bragantino 3W.
9
Palmeiras wins
3
Draws
3
Bragantino wins
Palmeiras vs Bragantino — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Palmeiras vs Bragantino?
PredictNext's AI model favours Palmeiras with a 59% win probability — Palmeiras 59%, draw 23%, Bragantino 18%.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Bragantino?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Palmeiras vs Bragantino, generated with 62% model confidence.
Will Palmeiras vs Bragantino have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for under 2.5 goals in Palmeiras vs Bragantino.
How accurate was the Palmeiras vs Bragantino prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 2-0. The winner call was correct.