Pisa
Pisa
3 vs 1

Serie B · Matchday

2026-10-17 17:30:00 · 01:30 · Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Cremonese
Cremonese

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 3-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Pisa
PIS
2 - 1
Cremonese
USC
57%
Confidence
Low Confidence
44.0%Home
28.0%Draw
28.0%Away
42.7%Home
29.5%Draw
27.8%Away
**Pisa** hold a slight edge at home against **Cremonese**, supported by their superior home record in Serie B this season. The key battleground will be Pisa's midfield control, where their pressing intensity could neutralize Cremonese's build-up play. AI pick: Pisa Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredPIS or Draw
72% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
60% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreAndrea PetagnaAlso: Stefano Moreo, Manuel De Luca

Goal Probability

PIS USC
14%
40%
0
44%
60%
1
42%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

44%
43%
+1.4%
28%
29%
-1.0%
28%
28%
-0.4%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3652.203.103.30-3.2%-13.2%-7.6%
Pinnacle2.233.223.42-1.9%-9.8%-4.2%
1xbet2.203.253.25-3.2%-9.0%-9.0%
WilliamHill2.203.003.30-3.2%-16.0%-7.6%
Betfair2.053.403.30-9.8%-4.8%-7.6%
bwin2.153.253.30-5.4%-9.0%-7.6%
Ladbrokes2.103.103.10-7.6%-13.2%-13.2%
MelBet2.203.253.25-3.2%-9.0%-9.0%
Marathonbet2.183.253.24-4.1%-9.0%-9.3%
Dafabet2.173.203.35-4.5%-10.4%-6.2%
Coral2.103.103.10-7.6%-13.2%-13.2%
Sbo2.142.902.96-5.8%-18.8%-17.1%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Pisa 3-1 Cremonese: Hosts Cement Serie B Credentials with Commanding Win

Result Summary

Pisa delivered a thoroughly convincing home performance on Saturday, defeating Cremonese 3-1 at the Arena Garibaldi to claim all three points in this Serie B encounter. Mattéo Tramoni's early opener set the tone, and while Cremonese briefly levelled matters, second-half goals from Stefano Moreo and substitute Tommaso Simone Marras sealed a deserved victory for Paolo Bianco's side.

Match Analysis

Pisa wasted no time making their intentions clear. Just three minutes in, Tramoni converted from a Stefano Moreo assist with a composed right-foot finish, immediately placing Cremonese on the back foot. The hosts looked well-organised and purposeful in the opening stages, ultimately finishing the match with 55% ball possession and an impressive 86% successful pass rate, compared to Cremonese's 79%.

Cremonese responded well, however, and found an equaliser in the 32nd minute through Tommaso Berti, who tucked away a left-foot effort assisted by Jari Vandeputte. That goal arrived in a lively spell that also saw Pisa's Arturo Calabresi booked for an argument in the same minute, and Cremonese's Marco Nasti cautioned for an off-the-ball foul just three minutes later.

Despite the equaliser, the underlying statistics tell a story of two contrasting approaches. Cremonese generated 56 dangerous attacks to Pisa's 38, suggesting Fabio Pecchia's side were direct and threatening in transition, yet ultimately lacked the clinical edge. Pisa's shot efficiency was superior — 5 shots on target from 14 total, compared to Cremonese's 3 from 10 — and it was this cutting edge that ultimately proved decisive.

The second half saw Pisa reassert control. Cremonese made tactical adjustments at the break, bringing on Adrian Lickūnas for the booked Nasti, while Pisa made two changes on 63 minutes — Rosen Bozhinov and Felipe Loyola Olea entering to freshen the attack. The match's decisive moment came on 79 minutes, when Moreo — who had opened the scoring with an assist — now got on the scoresheet himself with a right-foot effort, restoring Pisa's lead and visibly deflating the visitors.

Cremonese attempted to respond with a triple substitution around the 72nd and 76th minutes, bringing on Manuel De Luca, Simone Lottici Tessadri, and Alessandro Vogliacco, though the latter was quickly booked for a foul on 81 minutes. Pisa put the game to bed in the 88th minute, when substitute Tommaso Marras — on the pitch for only ten minutes — drilled home a left-foot finish to make it 3-1. Marras was then cautioned for unsportsmanlike conduct moments later, one of seven yellow cards distributed across a competitive but ultimately controlled contest.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast of a 2-1 Pisa victory proved directionally accurate — a correct outcome prediction — with our model assigning a 44% probability to a home win, compared to 28% each for a draw and away victory. The confidence level of 57/100 reflected a genuinely competitive fixture on paper, and Cremonese's dangerous attack numbers (56 to Pisa's 38) confirmed they were no pushover. That said, Pisa's efficiency and home advantage proved the defining factors, validating the cautious but correct lean toward the hosts.

Key Takeaways

  • Tramoni's early strike set a platform Cremonese never fully recovered from, despite Berti's equaliser.
  • Moreo was central to the win, contributing both an assist and a goal — a complete performance from the experienced forward.
  • Cremonese's inability to convert dangerous attacks into goals ultimately cost Fabio Pecchia's side dearly.
  • Paolo Bianco's use of his bench was effective, with Marras making an immediate impact after coming on in the 78th minute.
  • Pisa

Pisa vs Cremonese Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Pisa and Cremonese: Pisa 6W · 4D · Cremonese 3W.

6

4

3

Sun, May 10, 2026Cremonese3-0Pisa
Fri, Nov 7, 2025Pisa1-0Cremonese
Tue, May 13, 2025Pisa2-1Cremonese
Sun, Nov 3, 2024Cremonese1-3Pisa
Wed, May 1, 2024Cremonese2-1Pisa

Pisa vs Cremonese — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Pisa vs Cremonese?

PredictNext's AI model favours Pisa with a 44% win probability — Pisa 44%, draw 28%, Cremonese 28%.

What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Cremonese?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Pisa vs Cremonese, generated with 57% model confidence.

Will Pisa vs Cremonese have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for under 2.5 goals in Pisa vs Cremonese.

How accurate was the Pisa vs Cremonese prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 3-1. The winner call was correct.

More Serie B AI Predictions