Puebla
Puebla
3 vs 2

Liga MX · Matchday

2026-08-23 01:00:00 · 09:00

Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 3-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Puebla
PUE
1 - 0
Santos Laguna
SAN
56%
Confidence
Low Confidence
47.0%Home
26.0%Draw
27.0%Away
44.2%Home
26.0%Draw
29.8%Away
**Puebla** hold a slight edge at home against **Santos Laguna**, with Santos forward L. Di Yorio ruled out due to a lower leg fracture — a notable attacking absence that weakens their threat up front. **Puebla's** H2H form at home has been strong, winning three of the last five meetings, and their defensive solidity could prove decisive in a tight contest. AI pick: Puebla Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
74% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
62% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
60% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Puebla Santos Laguna
13%
43%
0
51%
57%
1
36%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

47%
46%
+1.0%
26%
26%
-0.2%
27%
28%
-0.8%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Puebla 3–2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX Post-Match Analysis

Result Summary

Puebla delivered a commanding home performance to defeat Santos Laguna 3–2 in a lively Liga MX clash on August 23, 2026. Eduardo Mustre Torres was the standout performer, netting a brace, while Carlos Alberto Baltazar Agraz added a third to seal the points. Santos Laguna's brief second-half revival, courtesy of Ezequiel Eduardo Bullaude, ultimately proved insufficient as Gerardo Espinoza Ahumada's side held firm for an important three points.

Match Analysis

The opening minutes set the tone for an eventful evening. Just four minutes in, Facundo Ezequiel Almada turned the ball into his own net, handing Puebla an early advantage in somewhat fortunate circumstances. The hosts doubled down quickly, with Eduardo Mustre Torres converting via a left foot shot in the 9th minute, assisted by Carlos Baltazar, giving Puebla a commanding 2–0 cushion before the match had barely settled.

Santos Laguna, who controlled 62% of possession throughout, attempted to dictate terms from deep but struggled to translate that dominance into clear-cut chances. The visitors mustered only 6 total shots compared to Puebla's 16, with just 2 shots on target against the home side's 7. Despite Santos generating 94 attacks overall, Puebla's 41 dangerous attacks demonstrated a far more clinical and direct approach.

The second half opened with Santos Laguna showing renewed intent. Substitute pressure began to shift momentum, and on 51 minutes, Ezequiel Eduardo Bullaude headed home, assisted by Fran Villalba, to make it 2–1 and set up a nervy conclusion. Santos threatened to draw level entirely when Bullaude struck again — but Puebla responded decisively. Eduardo Mustre Torres restored the two-goal buffer in the 54th minute with another left foot finish, this time assisted by Juan Pablo Vargas, effectively silencing the Santos revival almost immediately.

Carlos Alberto Baltazar Agraz then put the game beyond doubt in the 62nd minute, converting a right foot shot assisted by Brayan Garnica to make it 4–1 on the evening... 3–1, cementing Puebla's control. Santos did pull one back to make the scoreline 3–2, but the late threat was never enough to genuinely trouble the hosts, who managed the closing stages with composure. Coach Espinoza Ahumada's late triple substitution in the 89th minute — bringing on Luifer Enrique Hernández Quintero, Jose Rodrigo Pachuca Martinez, and Sergio Abel Sanabria Ortega — ensured fresh legs to see out the result. The only card of the evening, a yellow for Santos Laguna's Kevin Oswaldo Picón Álvarez deep in stoppage time, reflected the frustration in the visitors' camp.

Puebla's 85% successful pass percentage and 11 key passes underlined the efficiency of their attacking play, even while ceding territorial dominance to an opponent boasting 90% passing accuracy but far less end product.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 Puebla win with a confidence rating of 56/100, assigning the home side a 47% probability of victory. While the scoreline was busier than anticipated, the direction of the prediction was correct — Puebla did prevail. The forecast correctly identified the home advantage as the decisive factor, even if the attacking output of both sides surpassed expectations.

Key Takeaways

  • Eduardo Mustre Torres was the defining figure of the match, combining clinical finishing with intelligent movement to earn a match-winning brace.
  • Santos Laguna's possession dominance (62%) was rendered largely ineffective, a cautionary reminder that control without conversion carries limited reward.
  • Puebla's efficiency in front of goal — 7 shots on target from 16 total — proved the true difference between two sides with contrasting styles.
  • The result signals genuine home strength for **Gerardo Espinoza Ahumada

Puebla vs Santos Laguna — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Puebla vs Santos Laguna?

PredictNext's AI model favours Puebla with a 47% win probability — Puebla 47%, draw 26%, Santos Laguna 27%.

What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Santos Laguna?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Puebla vs Santos Laguna, generated with 56% model confidence.

Will Puebla vs Santos Laguna have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Puebla vs Santos Laguna.

How accurate was the Puebla vs Santos Laguna prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 3-2. The winner call was correct.

More Liga MX AI Predictions