Rosario Central 2–1 Aldosivi | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | August 9, 2026

Result Summary

A dramatic second-half comeback secured three points for Rosario Central at home, as they overturned a two-goal deficit to defeat Aldosivi 2–1. The match was entirely decided in the final 40 minutes, with Aldosivi striking twice in quick succession before an own goal and a substitute's intervention ultimately cost them the result.

Match Analysis

The numbers tell a story of comprehensive home dominance that the final scoreline barely reflects. Rosario Central controlled 73% of possession, completed passes at an 87% success rate, and generated a staggering 146 attacks compared to Aldosivi's 65, including 103 dangerous attacks against just 19 from the visitors. With 24 total shots to Aldosivi's 10 and 10 corners to three, Jorge Almirón's side were the clear aggressor throughout.

And yet, it was Aldosivi who drew first blood. Against the run of play, Alan Sosa broke the deadlock in the 52nd minute, finishing with a composed left-foot shot to silence the home crowd. Aldosivi's defensive discipline — reinforced by 13 fouls as opposed to Central's four — indicated a calculated, physical approach to disrupting the home side's rhythm.

The introduction of Jaminton Leandro Campaz at half-time for Julián Fernández proved to be the decisive tactical move from Almirón, though it took time to bear fruit. Before Campaz could make his mark, Aldosivi appeared to double their lead in the 61st minute, but it came via cruel misfortune — a Nicolás Mauricio Zalazar own goal handed Central a lifeline almost immediately after Israel Damonte's side had sent on Nicolás Cordero for Andrés Vombergar.

With the scores level, Central pressed relentlessly. Further substitutions — Tomás Badaloni and Federico Navarro entering in the 71st minute — added fresh legs to the push for a winner. That winner duly arrived in the 80th minute when Campaz, the substitute, curled home a left-foot shot to complete the turnaround and send the home supporters into rapture. It was a fitting reward for a team that had dominated the statistical landscape all match long despite the scoreboard temporarily working against them.

Aldosivi's afternoon ended with a yellow card for Rodrigo González in the 90+2nd minute for a foul, summing up a combative but ultimately futile rearguard effort. Their shots-on-target tally of five was notably higher than Rosario Central's four, underlining how clinical they were in the moments they did threaten — but efficiency alone could not compensate for the disparity in overall attacking intent and possession.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 Rosario Central victory, assigning the home side a 62% probability of winning, with a confidence rating of 61/100. While the precise scoreline differed — the match ended 2–1 rather than 1–0, and the path to victory was far more turbulent than anticipated — the directional prediction was correct. Central's underlying statistical dominance aligned closely with our model's assessment of their home advantage and attacking superiority. The own goal and the need for a late substitute winner were variables beyond standard forecasting, but the outcome validated the analytical framework.

Key Takeaways

• Jaminton Campaz was the match-winning substitute, justifying Almirón's decision to introduce him at the interval.
• Rosario Central's territorial and possession dominance (73% ball share, 103 dangerous attacks) underscored their quality, even as the scoreboard temporarily flattered Aldosivi.
• Aldosivi's own goal in the 61st minute proved the pivotal moment — turning potential 2–0 comfort into a 1–1 leveller that changed the game's psychology entirely.
• Coach Damonte's side showed resilience and clinical edge in front of goal but could not sustain their defensive shape against relentless Central pressure.