Rosenborg
Rosenborg
3 vs 0

Eliteserien · Matchday

2026-07-12 15:00:00 · 23:00 · Lerkendal Stadion

Kristiansund
Kristiansund

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 3-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Rosenborg
RBK
2 - 1
Kristiansund
KRI
59%
Confidence
Low Confidence
55.0%Home
24.0%Draw
21.0%Away
57.2%Home
23.5%Draw
19.3%Away
**Rosenborg** hold a slim home advantage over **Kristiansund**, backed by their superior Eliteserien pedigree and the backing of Lerkendal Stadion's crowd. The key battleground will be Rosenborg's attacking midfield against Kristiansund's defensive shape, where a single moment of quality could prove decisive. AI pick: Rosenborg Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredRBK or Draw
79% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
54% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?Yes
52% both teams score
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreDino IslamovicAlso: Simen Nordli, Amin Chiakha

Goal Probability

RBK Kristiansund
0%
35%
0
41%
50%
1
59%
15%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

55%
58%
-2.5%
24%
23%
+0.6%
21%
19%
+1.9%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3651.603.904.75-12.0%-6.4%-0.3%
PinnacleVALUE1.624.185.09-10.9%+0.3%+6.9%
1xbetVALUE1.644.095.21-9.8%-1.8%+9.4%
WilliamHillVALUE1.623.804.80-10.9%-8.8%+0.8%
BetfairVALUE1.604.105.00-12.0%-1.6%+5.0%
bwinVALUE1.624.004.80-10.9%-4.0%+0.8%
Ladbrokes1.603.804.50-12.0%-8.8%-5.5%
MelBetVALUE1.634.065.15-10.4%-2.6%+8.2%
Coral1.603.804.50-12.0%-8.8%-5.5%
CloudBetVALUE1.594.105.00-12.5%-1.6%+5.0%
Sbo1.573.714.61-13.6%-11.0%-3.2%
MansionBet1.654.004.45-9.3%-4.0%-6.6%
BetVictorVALUE1.603.904.80-12.0%-6.4%+0.8%
Macauslot1.533.984.55-15.8%-4.5%-4.5%
10BetVALUE1.643.955.00-9.8%-5.2%+5.0%
888SportVALUE1.623.804.80-10.9%-8.8%+0.8%
DafabetVALUE1.644.105.00-9.8%-1.6%+5.0%
MarathonbetVALUE1.604.005.10-12.0%-4.0%+7.1%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Rosenborg 3–0 Kristiansund | Eliteserien | 12 July 2026

Result Summary

Rosenborg delivered a commanding home performance at Lerkendal, dismantling Kristiansund with a convincing 3–0 victory. Goals from Jonas Svensson, David Duris, and Amin Chiakha ensured Freyr Alexandersson's side claimed all three points in a match that was rarely in doubt after the opening half-hour.

Match Analysis

Rosenborg were dominant from the outset, and the statistics paint a stark picture of that superiority. 70% ball possession, 113 attacks to Kristiansund's 70, and a 75–36 advantage in dangerous attacks tell the story of a match where the home side controlled the tempo almost entirely. An 87% successful pass percentage, compared to Kristiansund's 75%, underlined Rosenborg's technical authority throughout.

The opener arrived in the 25th minute, when Jonas Svensson found the net with a composed left-foot finish to break the deadlock. The lead was quickly doubled just six minutes later, as David Duris converted with a right-foot shot in the 31st minute, effectively putting the game to bed before the interval. Kristiansund were unable to respond in kind — they managed only 2 shots on target across the entire match against Rosenborg's 9 — and their four offside traps caught out suggest they were chasing shadows defensively.

Amund Robertsen Skiri responded at half-time with a sweeping quadruple substitution, introducing Haakon Haugen, Mustapha Isah Ubandoma, Hrannar Snær Magnússon, and Syver Skundberg Skeide simultaneously. Despite this bold reshuffle, Kristiansund were unable to stem the tide. In the 53rd minute, Amin Chiakha added a third with a right-foot finish, assisted by Ole Selnæs in what proved to be the veteran midfielder's final contribution before being replaced by Santeri Väänänen just one minute later.

Skundberg Skeide, one of those second-half introductions, was cautioned in the 78th minute — perhaps reflecting Kristiansund's mounting frustration. Despite generating 7 corners and 11 total shots, the visitors never truly threatened Leopold Wahlstedt's goal with any consistency.

For Rosenborg, Chiakha and Svensson were bright throughout, while Selnæs earned credit for his creative influence before his substitution. The hosts' discipline was also notable: 14 fouls conceded to Kristiansund's 22, with Rosenborg finding zero offsides against them.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–1 Rosenborg victory, assigning a 55% probability to a home win. While the winner was correctly identified — making this a correct prediction outcome — the margin of victory was underestimated. Rosenborg were even more dominant than the moderate 59/100 confidence score suggested, producing a clean sheet where a tight affair had been anticipated. The scoreline reflected control rather than fortune.

Key Takeaways

  • Rosenborg were ruthless in front of goal, scoring twice before the break to effectively settle the contest early.
  • The half-time quadruple substitution by Kristiansund was a sign of distress rather than tactical ingenuity, and made no meaningful impact on the scoreline.
  • Rosenborg's possession-based dominance — 70% of the ball and 11 key passes — reflected a team operating at a high level at home.
  • Kristiansund's four offsides and inability to generate meaningful goal threats suggest structural and tactical difficulties that Rosenborg were well-equipped to exploit.

A statement performance from Freyr Alexandersson's side.

Rosenborg vs Kristiansund Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Rosenborg and Kristiansund: Rosenborg 7W · 7D · Kristiansund 2W.

7

7

2

Sun, Jun 22, 2025Kristiansund4-1Rosenborg
Thu, May 1, 2025Rosenborg1-1Kristiansund
Sun, Dec 1, 2024Kristiansund0-4Rosenborg
Sun, May 26, 2024Rosenborg2-1Kristiansund
Sun, Oct 2, 2022Kristiansund4-4Rosenborg

Rosenborg vs Kristiansund — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Rosenborg vs Kristiansund?

PredictNext's AI model favours Rosenborg with a 55% win probability — Rosenborg 55%, draw 24%, Kristiansund 21%.

What is the predicted score for Rosenborg vs Kristiansund?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Rosenborg vs Kristiansund, generated with 59% model confidence.

Will Rosenborg vs Kristiansund have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 54% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for under 2.5 goals in Rosenborg vs Kristiansund.

How accurate was the Rosenborg vs Kristiansund prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 3-0. The winner call was correct.

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