Serie B · Matchday
2026-08-29 17:00:00 · 01:00 · Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-2
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 3.00 | 4.33 | -6.9% | -14.5% | -2.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.24 | 4.38 | -4.9% | -7.7% | -1.4% |
| 1xbet | 1.93 | 3.24 | 4.18 | -5.4% | -7.7% | -5.9% |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 | 3.00 | 4.20 | -6.4% | -14.5% | -5.5% |
| bwin | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.10 | -4.4% | -8.8% | -7.8% |
| Unibet | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.25 | -6.9% | -8.8% | -4.4% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 | 3.00 | 3.80 | -6.4% | -14.5% | -14.5% |
| CloudBet | 1.90 | 3.15 | 4.25 | -6.9% | -10.2% | -4.4% |
| MelBet | 1.92 | 3.24 | 4.18 | -5.9% | -7.7% | -5.9% |
| MansionBet | 1.96 | 3.25 | 3.80 | -4.0% | -7.4% | -14.5% |
| Coral | 1.91 | 3.00 | 3.80 | -6.4% | -14.5% | -14.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.24 | 4.20 | -6.4% | -7.7% | -5.5% |
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.20 | -6.9% | -6.0% | -5.5% |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.20 | 4.40 | -4.0% | -8.8% | -1.0% |
| Sbo | 1.94 | 2.87 | 3.50 | -4.9% | -18.2% | -21.3% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Sampdoria 1–2 Juve Stabia | Serie B | 29 August 2026
Result Summary
A dramatic second-half turnaround saw Juve Stabia claim all three points at the Marassi, defeating Sampdoria 1–2 in what proved to be a compelling Serie B encounter. Despite taking the lead through Gennaro Tutino deep into first-half stoppage time, Sampdoria ultimately surrendered control to a clinical and well-organised Juve Stabia side, who scored twice after the hour mark to seal a memorable away victory.
Match Analysis
The first half was a competitive affair, punctuated by early bookings on both sides — Manuel Cicconi picking up a yellow card for Sampdoria at 13 minutes and Davide Bettella cautioned for Juve Stabia at 22 minutes. Sampdoria lost Salvatore Esposito to injury as early as the 35th minute, bringing on Tjaš Begić, a disruption that slightly unsettled their rhythm heading into the break.
The defining moment of the first period arrived in the 45+3rd minute, when Gennaro Tutino converted with a right-foot shot, assisted by Yari Verschaeren — himself having entered the pitch just moments earlier as a substitute for Fabio Depaoli. It was a sharp, opportunistic finish that appeared to hand Sampdoria the platform for a home victory.
However, the statistics told a broader story. Juve Stabia dominated possession at 55% to Sampdoria's 45%, generated more corners (7 to 2), and recorded more overall attacks (92 to 81). While Sampdoria edged shots on target 6 to 5, it was the visitors who made their efforts count when it mattered most.
Pietro De Giorgio's changes proved decisive. The introduction of Federico Artioli, Thomas Battistella, Antonio Di Nardo, and Saná Fernandes — all between the 65th and 70th minutes — completely reshaped the contest. Just eight minutes after coming on, Marco Bellich equalised at 73 minutes, heading home from an Artioli assist. Then, in the 82nd minute, Antonio Di Nardo — another substitute — buried a right-foot finish set up by Thomas Battistella to put Juve Stabia ahead. The visitors' bench had proved far more impactful than that of Bernardo Corradi's Sampdoria.
A second yellow was issued before the turnaround was complete, with Antoine Makoumbou booked at 49 minutes following an argument. The double booking at the 49-minute mark — also involving Davide Buglio for Juve Stabia — reflected rising tensions that ultimately favoured the away side's momentum.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast projected a Sampdoria victory (49% probability) with a predicted scoreline of 1–0, carrying a confidence rating of 56/100. The outcome proved incorrect, as Juve Stabia overturned a deficit to win 2–1. In hindsight, the model underestimated the visitors' attacking depth and the potential impact of their substitutions bench — a factor that became the decisive element of this fixture. The relatively low confidence rating of 56/100 did reflect genuine uncertainty in this matchup, though the scale of the tactical shift by De Giorgio in the second half was difficult to anticipate.
Key Takeaways
- Juve Stabia's substitutions were the turning point: all three second-half goals involved players who entered after the 65th minute.
- Sampdoria's early lead proved misleading, masking the visitors' overall control of the contest in terms of possession and attacking volume.
- Corradi's side will be frustrated by their inability to manage the game after the break, having generated 17 shots but conceding twice from a position of strength.
- Juve Stabia's clinical efficiency — two goals from five shots on target — underlined their quality on the road in this early Serie B campaign.
Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Sampdoria and Juve Stabia: Sampdoria 2W · 4D · Juve Stabia 1W.
2
Sampdoria wins
4
Draws
1
Juve Stabia wins
Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
PredictNext's AI model favours Sampdoria with a 49% win probability — Sampdoria 49%, draw 28%, Juve Stabia 23%.
What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia, generated with 56% model confidence.
Will Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for under 2.5 goals in Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia.
How accurate was the Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was incorrect.